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Chemical Cartography with APOGEE: Mapping Disk Populations with a Two-Process Model and Residual Abundances

David H. Weinberg Department of Astronomy and Center for Cosmology and AstroParticle Physics, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA Institute for Advanced Study, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA Jon A. Holtzman Department of Astronomy, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM 88003, USA Jennifer A. Johnson Department of Astronomy and Center for Cosmology and AstroParticle Physics, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA Christian Hayes Department of Astronomy, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA Sten Hasselquist Department of Physics & Astronomy, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112,USA Matthew Shetrone University of California, Santa Cruz, UCO/Lick Observatory, 1156 High St., Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA Yuan-Sen Ting (丁源森) Institute for Advanced Study, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA Department of Astrophysical Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA Observatories of the Carnegie Institution of Washington, 813 Santa Barbara Street, Pasadena, CA 91101, USA Research School of Astronomy & Astrophysics, Australian National University, Cotter Rd., Weston, ACT 2611, Australia Rachael L. Beaton The Observatories of the Carnegie Institution for Science, 813 Santa Barbara Street, Pasadena, CA 91101, USA Timothy C. Beers Department of Physics and JINA Center for the Evolution of the Elements, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA Jonathan C. Bird Department of Physics and Astronomy, Vanderbilt University, VU Station 1807, Nashville, TN 37235, USA Dmitry Bizyaev Apache Point Observatory, P.O. Box 59, Sunspot, NM 88349 Michael R. Blanton Center for Cosmology and Particle Physics, Department of Physics, 726 Broadway, Room 1005, New York University, New York, NY 10003, USA Katia Cunha José G. Fernández-Trincado Instituto de Astronomía y Ciencias Planetarias, Universidad de Atacama, Copayapu 485, Copiapó, Chile Instituto de Astronomía, Universidad Católica del Norte, Av. Angamos 0610, Antofagasta, Chile Peter M. Frinchaboy Department of Physics & Astronomy, Texas Christian University, Fort Worth, TX 76129, USA D. A. García-Hernández Instituto de Astrofísica de Canarias, 38205 La Laguna, Tenerife, Spain Universidad de La Laguna (ULL), Departamento de Astrofísica, E-38206 La Laguna, Tenerife, Spain Emily Griffith Department of Astronomy and Center for Cosmology and AstroParticle Physics, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA James W. Johnson Department of Astronomy and Center for Cosmology and AstroParticle Physics, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA Henrik Jönsson Materials Science and Applied Mathematics, Malmö University, SE-205 06 Malmö, Sweden Richard R. Lane Centro de Investigación en Astronomía, Universidad Bernardo O’Higgins, Avenida Viel 1497, Santiago, Chile Henry W. Leung Dunlap Institute for Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of Toronto, 50 St. George Street, Toronto, ON M5S 3H4, Canada J. Ted Mackereth Dunlap Institute for Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of Toronto, 50 St. George Street, Toronto, ON M5S 3H4, Canada David A. Dunlap Department for Astronomy and Astrophysics, University of Toronto, 50 St. George Street, Toronto, ON M5S 3H4, Canada Canadian Institute for Theoretical Astrophysics, University of Toronto, 60 St. George Street, Toronto, ON, M5S 3H8, Canada Steven R. Majewski Department of Astronomy, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904, USA Szabolcz Mészáros ELTE Eötvös Loránd University, Gothard Astrophysical Observatory, 9700 Szombathely, Szent Imre H. st. 112, Hungary MTA-ELTE Lendület Milky Way Research Group, Hungary MTA-ELTE Exoplanet Research Group, Hungary Christian Nitschelm Centro de Astronomía (CITEVA), Universidad de Antofagasta, Avenida Angamos 601, Antofagasta 1270300, Chile Kaike Pan Apache Point Observatory, P.O. Box 59, Sunspot, NM 88349 Ricardo P. Schiavon Astrophysics Research Institute, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, L3 5RF, UK Donald P. Schneider Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA Institute for Gravitation and the Cosmos, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA Mathias Schultheis Observatoire de la Côte d’Azur, Laboratoire Lagrange, 06304 Nice Cedex 4, France Verne Smith NSF’s National Optical-Infrared Astronomy Research Laboratory, 950 North Cherry Avenue, Tucson, AZ 85719, USA Jennifer S. Sobeck Department of Astronomy, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA Keivan G. Stassun Department of Physics and Astronomy, Vanderbilt University, VU Station 1807, Nashville, TN 37235, USA Guy S. Stringfellow Center for Astrophysics and Space Astronomy, Department of Astrophysical and Planetary Sciences, University of Colorado, 389 UCB, Boulder, CO 80309-0389, USA Fiorenzo Vincenzo Department of Astronomy and Center for Cosmology and AstroParticle Physics, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA John C. Wilson Department of Astronomy, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA 22904, USA Gail Zasowski Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Utah, 115 S. 1400 E., Salt Lake City, UT 84112, USA
Abstract

We apply a novel statistical analysis to measurements of 16 elemental abundances in 34,410 Milky Way disk stars from the final data release (DR17) of APOGEE-2. Building on recent work, we fit median abundance ratio trends [X/Mg] vs. [Mg/H] with a 2-process model, which decomposes abundance patterns into a “prompt” component tracing core collapse supernovae and a “delayed” component tracing Type Ia supernovae. For each sample star, we fit the amplitudes of these two components, then compute the residuals Δ[X/H]\Delta[{\rm X}/{\rm H}] from this two-parameter fit. The rms residuals range from 0.010.03\sim 0.01-0.03 dex for the most precisely measured APOGEE abundances to 0.1\sim 0.1 dex for Na, V, and Ce. The correlations of residuals reveal a complex underlying structure, including a correlated element group comprised of Ca, Na, Al, K, Cr, and Ce and a separate group comprised of Ni, V, Mn, and Co. Selecting stars poorly fit by the 2-process model reveals a rich variety of physical outliers and sometimes subtle measurement errors. Residual abundances allow comparison of populations controlled for differences in metallicity and [α\alpha/Fe]. Relative to the main disk (R=313kpcR=3-13\,{\rm kpc}), we find nearly identical abundance patterns in the outer disk (R=1517kpcR=15-17\,{\rm kpc}), 0.05-0.2 dex depressions of multiple elements in LMC and Gaia Sausage/Enceladus stars, and wild deviations (0.4-1 dex) of multiple elements in ω\omega\,Cen. Residual abundance analysis opens new opportunities for discovering chemically distinctive stars and stellar populations, for empirically constraining nucleosynthetic yields, and for testing chemical evolution models that include stochasticity in the production and redistribution of elements.

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1 Introduction

Over the past decade, large and systematic spectroscopic surveys have mapped elemental abundance patterns of hundreds of thousands of stars across much of the Galactic disk, bulge, and halo, including RAVE, SEGUE, LAMOST, Gaia-ESO, APOGEE, GALAH, and H3 (Steinmetz et al., 2006; Yanny et al., 2009; Luo et al., 2015; Gilmore et al., 2012; De Silva et al., 2015; Majewski et al., 2017; Conroy et al., 2019). The APOGEE survey of SDSS-III (Eisenstein et al., 2011) and SDSS-IV (Blanton et al., 2017) is especially well suited to mapping the inner disk and bulge because it observes at near-IR wavelengths where dust obscuration is dramatically reduced, because it targets luminous evolved stars that can be observed at large distances, and because its high spectral resolution allows separate determinations of 15 or more elemental abundances per target star.111SDSS = Sloan Digital Sky Survey. APOGEE = Apache Point Observatory Galactic Evolution Experiment. We use APOGEE to refer to both the SDSS-III program and its SDSS-IV extension (a.k.a. APOGEE-2). In SDSS-V (Kollmeier et al., 2017) the Milky Way Mapper program is using the APOGEE spectrographs to observe a sample ten times larger than that of SDSS-III + IV. These surveys share two primary goals: to understand the astrophysical processes that govern the synthesis of the elements, and to trace the chemical evolution of the Milky Way, which is itself shaped by many processes including gas accretion, star formation, outflows, and radial migration of stars. This paper introduces a novel approach to characterizing and mapping abundance patterns in APOGEE, one that opens new avenues to addressing both of these goals.

Our study builds on a series of investigations that have used APOGEE data to characterize the multi-element abundance distributions of the Galactic disk and bulge (Anders et al., 2014; Hayden et al., 2014, 2015; Nidever et al., 2014; Ness et al., 2016; Ting et al., 2016; Mackereth et al., 2017; Schiavon et al., 2017; Bovy et al., 2019; Fernández-Trincado et al., 2019a, 2020b; Weinberg et al., 2019; Zasowski et al., 2019; Griffith et al., 2021a; Ting & Weinberg, 2021; Vincenzo et al., 2021a). Its most direct predecessors are the papers of Hayden et al. (2015, hereafter H15), who mapped the distribution of stars in [α/Fe][Fe/H][\alpha/{\rm Fe}]-[{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}] as a function of Galactocentric radius RR and midplane distance |Z||Z|, and Weinberg et al. (2019, hereafter W19), who examined the median trends of other abundance ratios as a function of RR and |Z||Z|. Because α\alpha elements such as O, Mg, and Si are produced mainly by core collapse supernovae (CCSN), while Fe is produced by both CCSN and Type Ia supernovae (SNIa), the [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] ratio is a diagnostic of the relative contribution of these two sources to a star’s chemical enrichment. Many studies have shown that stars in the solar neighborhood have a bimodal distribution of [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}], with “thin disk” stars having roughly solar abundance ratios and “thick disk” stars (which have larger vertical velocities and consequently larger excursions from the disk midplane) having elevated [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] (e.g., Fuhrmann 1998; Bensby et al. 2003; Adibekyan et al. 2012; Vincenzo et al. 2021a). H15 showed that the locus of the “high-α\alpha” sequence in the [α/Fe][Fe/H][\alpha/{\rm Fe}]-[{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}] plane is nearly constant throughout the disk (see also Nidever et al. 2014) but the relative number of high-α\alpha and low-α\alpha stars and the distribution of those stars in [Fe/H][{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}] changes systematically with RR and |Z||Z|. W19 advocated the use of Mg rather than Fe as a reference element because it traces a single enrichment source (CCSN), and they showed that the median trends of [X/Mg][{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}] for nearly all of the elements measured by APOGEE are universal throughout the disk, provided that one separates the high-α\alpha and low-α\alpha populations. Griffith et al. (2021a) showed that this universality of abundance ratio trends extends to the bulge.

Since the star formation and enrichment histories do change across the Galaxy, W19 argued that the universal median sequences must be determined mainly by IMF-averaged nucleosynthetic yields.222IMF = Initial Mass Function They interpreted these sequences in terms of a “2-process model,” which describes APOGEE abundances as the sum of a core collapse process representing the IMF-averaged yields of CCSN and a Type Ia process reflecting the IMF-averaged yields of SNIa. The elemental abundances of a given star can be summarized by the two parameters AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} that scale the amplitudes of these processes. The success of the 2-process model means that all of a disk or bulge star’s APOGEE abundances can be predicted to surprisingly high accuracy from its Mg and Fe abundances alone. They can be predicted to similar accuracy from the combination of [Fe/H][{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}] and age (Ness et al., 2019). Nonetheless, the residual abundances of other elements at fixed [Fe/H][{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}] and [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}] contain rich information, as demonstrated empirically by Ting & Weinberg (2021, hereafter TW21), who show that one must condition on at least seven APOGEE elements (e.g., Fe, Mg, O, Si, Ni, Ca, Al) before the correlations among the remaining abundances are reduced to a level consistent with observational uncertainties. In this paper, therefore, we turn our attention from median trends to the star-by-star abundance patterns described by 2-process model parameters and the residuals from this description. As argued by TW21, the correlations of residual abundances encode crucial information about nucleosynthetic processes and stochastic effects in chemical evolution.

Although “high-α\alpha” stars have elevated [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] compared to the Sun, this difference really arises because they have a lower contribution of SNIa to Fe rather than enhanced production of α\alpha elements by CCSN (Tinsley, 1980; Matteucci & Greggio, 1986; McWilliam, 1997). Adopting this physical interpretation, we will refer to high-α\alpha and low-α\alpha stars in this paper as the “low-Ia” and “high-Ia” populations, respectively, following terminology introduced by Griffith et al. (2019).

In §2 we describe the 2-process model, which is similar to that of W19 and Griffith et al. (2019) but with adjustments that make the model more flexible and easier to generalize. In §3 we describe our selection of APOGEE stars from SDSS Data Release 17 (DR17): red giants in a restricted range of logg{\rm log}\,g, TeffT_{\rm eff}, and [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] intended to minimize statistical and differential systematic errors while sampling the disk in the range 3R13kpc3\leq R\leq 13\,{\rm kpc} and |Z|2kpc|Z|\leq 2\,{\rm kpc}. Section 4 presents median abundance trends from this sample and uses them to infer the CCSN and SNIa 2-process vectors, i.e., the abundance of each of the APOGEE elements associated with these two processes at a given metallicity. In §5, the heart of the paper, we fit each sample star’s abundances with the 2-process model and examine the distributions and correlations of the abundance residuals. As in TW21, we find a rich correlation structure among these residuals, and we further examine the correlation of these residuals with stellar age and kinematics. In §6 we investigate stars whose abundance patterns deviate unusually far from the 2-process model fits, a group that includes both genuine physical outliers and stars with measurement errors that exceed the reported uncertainties. In §7 we examine the residual abundances of a few special populations, such as likely halo stars that reside within the geometrical boundaries of the disk and members of the rich cluster ω\omega\,Cen, which is thought to be the stripped core of an accreted dwarf spheroidal galaxy. Section 8 discusses ways to go beyond the 2-process model, first with a conceptual NN-process formulation, then with an empirical approach that fits two additional components to the APOGEE abundance residuals. We review our conclusions and outline prospects for future studies in §9.

This is a long paper covering many interconnected topics. Readers who want to start with a bird’s-eye view can read the introduction to the 2-process model at the start of §2, look through figures with particular attention to the median trends (Figure 4-7), distributions and covariance of residual abundances (Figures 12 and 15), examples of high-χ2\chi^{2} stars (Figure 20), and residual patterns of selected populations (Figure 22), then read the conclusions and loop back to earlier sections as needed. For readers interested in overall abundance trends and their interpretation, §4 is the most relevant. For readers interested in unusual stars and stellar populations, §6 and §7 are the most relevant. Readers interested in the dimensionality of the stellar distribution in abundance space and its connection to the physics of nucleosynthesis and chemical evolution should pay particular attention to §5 and §8. The challenge of determining accurate, precise, robust abundances for many elements in large stellar samples is a running theme throughout the paper.

2 The 2-process model

Refer to caption

Figure 1: (Left) [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}] vs. [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] for sample stars in the low-Ia (red) and high-Ia (blue) populations. Points are randomly downsampled by a factor of four to reduce crowding. Connected large points show the median [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}] in bins of [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]. An offset of 0.053 dex has been applied to the APOGEE Fe abundances (decreasing [Mg/Fe] by 0.053) so that the median high-Ia sequence passes through [Mg/Fe]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]=0 at [Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0. The dotted horizontal line shows the ratio [Mg/Fe]pl=0.30[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]_{\rm pl}=0.30 that is assumed to correspond to pure CCSN enrichment in our 2-process modeling. (Right) The fraction of iron inferred (via the 2-process model) to arise from CCSN at points along the median low-Ia (red) and high-Ia (blue) sequences (eq. 6). The dashed curve shows Acc=10[Mg/H]A_{\rm cc}=10^{[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]}.

We begin with a conceptual introduction to the 2-process model. The left panel of Figure 1 shows the distribution of our APOGEE sample (described in §3) in the familiar plane of [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}] vs. [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}], with the low-Ia and high-Ia populations as red and blue points, respectively. Like W19, we adopt [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] as our reference abundance on the xx-axis because Mg is well measured in APOGEE and, unlike Fe, it is thought to come from a single nucleosynthetic source (CCSN).333We choose Mg in preference to O because the observed trends for O are significantly different between optical and near-IR surveys. We choose Mg in preference to Si or Ca because these have non-negligible SNIa contributions. In the conventional interpretation of this diagram, which we adopt in this paper, the “plateau” in the abundances of metal-poor low-Ia stars at [Mg/Fe]0.3[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]\approx 0.3 represents the Mg/Fe ratio of CCSN yields, and stars that lie below this plateau do so primarily because they have additional Fe from SNIa. While the relative number of low-Ia and high-Ia stars depends strongly on Galactic location, the median [Mg/Fe][Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]-[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] tracks of these populations, shown by red and blue lines in Figure 1, are nearly universal throughout the disk (Nidever et al. 2014; H15; W19). The median [X/Mg][Mg/H][{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]-[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] tracks for other APOGEE elements are also universal throughout the disk (W19) and bulge (Griffith et al., 2021a), provided that one separates the low-Ia and high-Ia populations. This universality motivates the hypothesis that these tracks are governed by stellar yields and that differences between the two [X/Mg] tracks reflect the contribution of SNIa enrichment to element X.

In the 2-process model, the position of a star in the MM-dimensional space of its measured abundances is approximated as the weighted sum of two “vectors” that represent the contributions from CCSN and SNIa:

(X/H)(X/H)=Acc,qccX+AIa,qIaX.{({\rm X}/{\rm H})_{*}\over({\rm X}/{\rm H})_{\odot}}=A_{\rm cc,*}q^{X}_{\rm cc}+A_{\rm Ia,*}q^{X}_{\rm Ia}~. (1)

The 2-process vectors qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} are taken to be universal for the stellar sample under study, though they may depend on metallicity. The amplitudes AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} vary from star to star, and they are normalized such that Acc=AIa=1A_{\rm cc}=A_{\rm Ia}=1 for solar abundances. For notational compactness we define metallicity by

z10[Mg/H],z\equiv 10^{[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]}~, (2)

i.e., the Mg abundance in solar units. As discussed in §§2.1-2.3 below, we infer qccX(z)q^{X}_{\rm cc}(z) and qIaX(z)q^{X}_{\rm Ia}(z) from median abundance ratios of low-Ia and high-Ia stars, then determine AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} for all stars in the observational sample by a χ2\chi^{2} fit to a subset of their measured abundances.

Figure 2 illustrates the simple case of M=2M=2 dimensions, with points marking the location of four representative stars in (Fe/H) vs. (Mg/H), expressed in solar units. The 2-process (Mg,Fe) vectors are qcc=(1,0.5)\vec{q}_{\rm cc}=(1,0.5) and qIa=(0,0.5)\vec{q}_{\rm Ia}=(0,0.5), reflecting our model assumptions that Mg is produced entirely by CCSN and that solar Fe comes equally from CCSN and SNIa. The filled blue circle has solar abundances, with Acc=AIa=1A_{\rm cc}=A_{\rm Ia}=1 and (Mg/H,Fe/H)=Accqcc+AIaqIa=(1,1)({\rm Mg/H},{\rm Fe/H})=A_{\rm cc}\vec{q}_{\rm cc}+A_{\rm Ia}\vec{q}_{\rm Ia}=(1,1). The open blue circle has Acc=AIa=1/3A_{\rm cc}=A_{\rm Ia}=1/3, so its (Mg/H) and (Fe/H) abundances are 1/3 solar but its (Mg/Fe) ratio is solar. Filled and open red squares represent low-Ia stars with Acc=1A_{\rm cc}=1 and 1/31/3, respectively. These stars have AIa<AccA_{\rm Ia}<A_{\rm cc}, so they have (Mg/Fe) ratios above solar (“α\alpha-enhanced” or “iron poor”). With M=2M=2, the two parameters AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} suffice to fit each star’s abundances perfectly, but they recast the information from the space of individual elements to the space of the processes that produce those elements.

Refer to caption

Figure 2: Illustration of the 2-process model for the simple case of two abundances, (Mg/H) and (Fe/H), both linear ratios scaled to solar values. The (Mg,Fe) components of the two-process vectors are qcc=(1,0.5)\vec{q}_{\rm cc}=(1,0.5) and qIa=(0,0.5)\vec{q}_{\rm Ia}=(0,0.5), respectively. Large points show the abundances of stars with (Acc,AIa)=(1.0,1.0)(A_{\rm cc},A_{\rm Ia})=(1.0,1.0) (filled blue circle), (0.33,0.33) (open blue circle), (1.0,0.2) (filled red square), (0.33,0.02) (open red square). The inset marks the position of these four stars in the [Mg/Fe]-[Fe/H] plane, with red and blue curves showing the observed median sequences of low-Ia and high-Ia stars from Fig. 1. The dotted blue line marks the locus of [Mg/Fe]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]=0.

Refer to caption

Figure 3: Illustration of the 2-process model for the 16 elements considered in our analysis (one of which is the element combination C+N). In the top panel, open circles and filled triangles show the 2-process vectors qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} at [Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0 inferred from the APOGEE data in §4. For a star with Acc=AIa=1A_{\rm cc}=A_{\rm Ia}=1, the predicted abundances are the sum of these two vectors, which in this case yield exactly solar values (blue points) by construction. Red points show the predicted abundances for a low-Ia star with Acc=1A_{\rm cc}=1, AIa=0.2A_{\rm Ia}=0.2. The lower panel shows analogous results at [Mg/H]=0.5[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=-0.5, with predicted abundances multiplied by a factor of three in this panel to aid visual comparison with the top panel. In each panel, colored horizontal lines group elements with similar physical properties. The four combinations of (Acc,AIa)(A_{\rm cc},A_{\rm Ia}) in this Figure are the same cases illustrated in Figure 2.

Using the same four combinations of (Acc,AIa)(A_{\rm cc},A_{\rm Ia}) as Figure 2, Figure 3 illustrates the 2-process model for the full set of 16 abundances that we consider in this paper, one of which is the element combination C+N (eq. 27 in §3). In the upper panel, open circles and filled triangles show the components of qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} that we derive from the APOGEE median abundance trends in §4 below, at metallicity z=1z=1. For α\alpha-elements (on the left), qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} values are much larger than qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} values, while for iron-peak elements (on the right) they are roughly equal. For Acc=AIa=1A_{\rm cc}=A_{\rm Ia}=1, the predicted abundances are exactly solar by construction (blue points). For Acc=1A_{\rm cc}=1 and AIa=0.2A_{\rm Ia}=0.2, the predicted abundances (red points) are only slightly above qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} (black open circles), with sub-solar (X/H) values for all elements that have a substantial SNIa contribution in the Sun.

The lower panel shows our inferred 2-process vectors for [Mg/H]=0.5[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=-0.5 (Acc=z=1/3A_{\rm cc}=z=1/3). These vectors are similar to those found at z=1z=1, but they are not identical because some elements have metallicity dependent yields. As a result, the predicted abundances for AIa=Acc=1/3A_{\rm Ia}=A_{\rm cc}=1/3 have element ratios that are approximately but not exactly solar (blue points). For a star on the low-Ia (high-α\alpha) plateau, the predicted abundances (red points) are just slightly above AccqccXA_{\rm cc}q^{X}_{\rm cc}. The predicted abundances (blue and red points) are multiplied by a factor of three so that the patterns can be visually compared to those of the [Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0 stars shown in the upper panel.

With 16 abundances, any given star will not be perfectly reproduced by a 2-parameter (Acc,AIa)(A_{\rm cc},A_{\rm Ia}) fit, in part because of measurement errors, but also because the 2-process model is not a complete physical description of stellar abundances. For example, the model does not allow for stochastic variations around IMF-averaged yields or for varying contributions from other sources such as AGB enrichment. The 2-process vectors themselves are useful tests of supernova nucleosynthesis predictions (e.g., Griffith et al. 2019, 2021b), and the distributions of (Acc,AIa)(A_{\rm cc},A_{\rm Ia}) and their correlations with stellar age and kinematics are useful diagnostics of Galactic chemical evolution. However, our primary focus in this paper will be the star-by-star departures from the 2-process predictions, and what these departures can tell us about the astrophysical sources of the APOGEE elements, about distinct stellar populations within the geometric boundaries of the Milky Way disk, and about rare stars with distinctive abundance patterns. Disk stars span a range of >1>1 dex in [Fe/H] and typically 0.3 dex or more in [X/Fe]. With two free parameters, the 2-process model fits the measured APOGEE abundances of most disk stars to within 0.1\sim 0.1 dex, and for the best measured elements to within 0.010.04\sim 0.01-0.04 dex, so focusing on these residual abundances allows us to discern subtle patterns that might be lost within the much larger dynamic range of a conventional [X/Fe]-[Fe/H] analysis.

We now proceed to a more formal definition of the 2-process model and its assumptions, and our methods for inferring the 2-process vectors and fitting AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} values. While our approach is similar to that of W19, here we define the model in a way that is more general and allows natural extension to include other processes as discussed in §8.

2.1 Model assumptions and basic equations

We can express equation (1) in the alternative form

(XH)=Acc,pccX(z)+AIa,pIaX(z),\left({\rm X}\over{\rm H}\right)_{*}=A_{\rm cc,*}p_{\rm cc}^{X}(z)+A_{\rm Ia,*}p_{\rm Ia}^{X}(z)~, (3)

with

qjX(z)pjX(z)(X/H).q^{X}_{j}(z)\equiv{p_{j}^{X}(z)\over({\rm X}/{\rm H})_{\odot}}~. (4)

While it may seem gratuitous to introduce both pp and qq, many of our equations can be written more compactly in terms of pp, and these two forms of the process vectors respond differently to changes in the adopted solar abundance values. For example, if stellar abundances are inferred by purely ab initio model-fitting then the pp vectors are directly determined while the qq vectors depend on adopted solar abundances. Conversely, if zero-point offsets are used to calibrate the abundance scale to reproduce solar values, then the qq vectors are directly determined and the conversion to pp vectors depends on the adopted solar abundances. At a given zz, pccXp_{\rm cc}^{X} is a set of discrete values, one for each element X being modeled, and likewise for pIaXp_{\rm Ia}^{X}. For brevity, we will frequently drop the explicit zz-dependence of pccXp_{\rm cc}^{X} and pIaXp_{\rm Ia}^{X} in our equations if it is not needed for clarity, but it is only for Mg and Fe that we assume that these processes are actually independent of metallicity.

We define Acc=AIaA_{\rm cc}=A_{\rm Ia} in the Sun. Therefore, if we ignore the possible contribution of other processes,

pccX(z=1)+pIaX(z=1)=(XH)p_{\rm cc}^{X}(z=1)+p_{\rm Ia}^{X}(z=1)=\left({\rm X}\over{\rm H}\right)_{\odot}~ (5)

for all X. In a star with metallicity zz and amplitudes Acc,A_{\rm cc,*} and AIa,A_{\rm Ia,*}, the fraction of element XX that arises from CCSN is

fccX\displaystyle f^{X}_{\rm cc} =\displaystyle= Acc,pccX(z)Acc,pccX(z)+AIa,pIaX(z)\displaystyle{A_{\rm cc,*}p_{\rm cc}^{X}(z)\over A_{\rm cc,*}p_{\rm cc}^{X}(z)+A_{\rm Ia,*}p_{\rm Ia}^{X}(z)} (6)
=\displaystyle= [1+(AIa,/Acc,)(qIaX/qccX)]1,\displaystyle\left[1+(A_{\rm Ia,*}/A_{\rm cc,*})(q^{X}_{\rm Ia}/q^{X}_{\rm cc})\right]^{-1}~, (7)

where we have used the fact that qIaX/qccX=pIaX/pccXq^{X}_{\rm Ia}/q^{X}_{\rm cc}=p_{\rm Ia}^{X}/p_{\rm cc}^{X}. More generally, the denominator of equation (6) should be the sum of all processes that contribute to element X (see §8.1). For the Sun we have AIa=Acc=1A_{\rm Ia}=A_{\rm cc}=1 and qIaX=1qccXq^{X}_{\rm Ia}=1-q^{X}_{\rm cc}, which simplifies equation (7) to

fcc,X=qccX(z=1).f^{X}_{\rm cc,\odot}=q^{X}_{\rm cc}(z=1). (8)

For our implementation of the 2-process model, we assume that the Mg and Fe processes are independent of metallicity and that Mg is a pure core collapse element:

pccMg(z)\displaystyle p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Mg}(z) =\displaystyle= pccMg,pIaMg=0,\displaystyle p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Mg},\qquad p_{\rm Ia}^{\rm Mg}=0, (9)
pccFe(z)\displaystyle p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Fe}(z) =\displaystyle= pccFe,pIaFe(z)=pIaFe.\displaystyle p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Fe},\qquad p_{\rm Ia}^{\rm Fe}(z)=p_{\rm Ia}^{\rm Fe}~. (10)

Standard supernova models predict that Mg and Fe yields are approximately independent of metallicity (see, e.g., Fig. 20 of Andrews et al. 2017) and that the SNIa contribution to Mg is negligible. At low metallicity, the high-α\alpha population in APOGEE and other surveys exhibits a nearly flat plateau in [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}] at

[Mg/Fe]pl0.3[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]_{\rm pl}\approx 0.3 (11)

(see, e.g., Adibekyan et al. 2012; Bensby et al. 2014; Buder et al. 2018; Griffith et al. 2019; and Figure 1 above). This flatness provides empirical support for metallicity independence of the Mg and Fe CCSN processes. A flat plateau could also arise if CCSN yields of these elements have the same metallicity dependence while keeping the Mg/Fe ratio constant. Our formalism could be adapted to metallicity-dependent Mg and Fe processes if there were motivation to do so, but this would introduce some mathematical complication so we do not consider this generalization here.

Combining equations (9) and (3) implies

(MgH)=Acc,pccMg=Acc,(MgH)\left({\rm Mg}\over{\rm H}\right)_{*}=A_{\rm cc,*}p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Mg}=A_{\rm cc,*}\left({\rm Mg}\over{\rm H}\right)_{\odot} (12)

and thus

Acc,=10[Mg/H].A_{\rm cc,*}=10^{[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]_{*}}~. (13)

Equation (13) provides a simple way to estimate Acc,A_{\rm cc,*}, from a star’s Mg abundance alone, though in practice we will use a multi-element fit as described below (§2.3).

For iron, equations (10) and (3) imply

(Fe/Mg)(Fe/Mg)=Acc,pccFe+AIa,pIaFeAcc,pccMgpccMgpccFe+pIaFe,{({\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg})_{*}\over({\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg})_{\odot}}={A_{\rm cc,*}p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Fe}+A_{\rm Ia,*}p_{\rm Ia}^{\rm Fe}\over A_{\rm cc,*}p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Mg}}\cdot{p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Mg}\over p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Fe}+p_{\rm Ia}^{\rm Fe}}~, (14)

which can be rearranged to yield

10[Fe/Mg]=pccFe+(AIa,/Acc,)pIaFepccFe+pIaFe.10^{[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{*}}={p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Fe}+(A_{\rm Ia,*}/A_{\rm cc,*})p_{\rm Ia}^{\rm Fe}\over p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Fe}+p_{\rm Ia}^{\rm Fe}}~. (15)

Our third key assumption is that iron in stars on the [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}] plateau comes from CCSN alone, implying AIa,=0A_{\rm Ia,*}=0 and thus

10[Fe/Mg]pl=pccFepccFe+pIaFe=fcc,Fe.10^{[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl}}={p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Fe}\over p_{\rm cc}^{\rm Fe}+p_{\rm Ia}^{\rm Fe}}=f^{\rm Fe}_{\rm cc,\odot}~. (16)

By definition, if AIa,=Acc,=1A_{\rm Ia,*}=A_{\rm cc,*}=1 we are at solar abundances for Mg and Fe (because they are assumed to have no contributions from other processes), and therefore [Fe/Mg]=0[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]=0 as implied by equation (15).

With a bit of manipulation one can write

AIa,Acc,\displaystyle{A_{\rm Ia,*}\over A_{\rm cc,*}} =\displaystyle= (Fe/Mg)(Fe/Mg)pl(Fe/Mg)(Fe/Mg)pl\displaystyle{({\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg})_{*}-({\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg})_{\rm pl}\over({\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg})_{\odot}-({\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg})_{\rm pl}} (17)
=\displaystyle= 10[Fe/Mg]10[Fe/Mg]pl110[Fe/Mg]pl.\displaystyle{10^{[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{*}}-10^{[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl}}\over 1-10^{[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl}}}~. (18)

In the first equation, the numerator is the amount SNIa Fe in the star relative to Mg, and the denominator is the amount of SNIa Fe at solar [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}], for which AIa,/Acc,=1A_{\rm Ia,*}/A_{\rm cc,*}=1. The second equation relates AIa,/Acc,A_{\rm Ia,*}/A_{\rm cc,*} to the displacement of [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{*} below the CCSN plateau. We adopt [Fe/Mg]pl=[Mg/Fe]pl=0.3[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl}=-[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]_{\rm pl}=-0.3 as the observed level of the plateau, and thus 10[Fe/Mg]pl0.510^{[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl}}\approx 0.5.

Equation (18) provides a simple way to estimate AIa,A_{\rm Ia,*} after estimating Acc,A_{\rm cc,*} from equation (13). In the right panel of Figure 1, red and blue curves show the inferred values of fccFef^{\rm Fe}_{\rm cc} (equation 7) for points along the low-Ia and high-Ia median sequences shown in the left panel. The values of AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} are derived from the [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}] values along these sequences as described above. On the high-Ia sequence the inferred core collapse iron fraction is about 0.5 at all [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]. On the low-Ia sequence the fraction declines from nearly 100% at low [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] to about 0.6 at the highest [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]. The dashed curve shows the value of AccA_{\rm cc} corresponding to [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] via equation (13).

In terms of the solar-scaled process vectors, our model assumptions and [Fe/Mg]pl[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl} value correspond to qccMg=1q_{\rm cc}^{\rm Mg}=1 and qccFe=qIaFe=0.5q_{\rm cc}^{\rm Fe}=q_{\rm Ia}^{\rm Fe}=0.5. For an element X that is produced entirely by CCSN and SNIa, the solar-scaled abundances are

[X/H]=log10[Acc,qccX(z)+AIa,qIaX(z)].[{\rm X}/{\rm H}]_{*}=\log_{10}\left[A_{\rm cc,*}q^{X}_{\rm cc}(z)+A_{\rm Ia,*}q^{X}_{\rm Ia}(z)\right]~. (19)

Subtracting [Mg/H]=log10Acc,[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]_{*}=\log_{10}A_{\rm cc,*} gives

[X/Mg]=log10[qccX(z)+qIaX(z)AIa,/Acc,].[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]_{*}=\log_{10}\left[q^{X}_{\rm cc}(z)+q^{X}_{\rm Ia}(z)A_{\rm Ia,*}/A_{\rm cc,*}\right]~. (20)

More generally, an element may have contributions from CCSN or other “prompt” enrichment sources (e.g., massive star winds) that rapidly follow star formation, and additional contributions from enrichment sources with a distribution of delay times (e.g., SNIa, AGB stars). When modeled with the 2-process formalism, qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} represents the prompt contributions and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} represents the contributions that follow SNIa iron enrichment, with the implicit assumption that the ISM is sufficiently well mixed to average out the diverse properties of individual supernovae or other sources.

To apply the 2-process model to APOGEE data, we must first determine the values of qccX(z)q^{X}_{\rm cc}(z) and qIaX(z)q^{X}_{\rm Ia}(z) from the ensemble of measurements, then determine the amplitudes Acc,A_{\rm cc,*} and AIa,A_{\rm Ia,*} for each star. We can then predict each star’s abundances and measure the residuals, i.e., the difference between the observed abundances and the 2-process predictions.

2.2 Inferring the 2-process vectors from median sequences

Similar to W19, we infer the process vectors qccX(z)q^{X}_{\rm cc}(z) and qIaX(z)q^{X}_{\rm Ia}(z) from the observed median sequences of [X/Mg][{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}] vs. [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] for the low-Ia and high-Ia stellar populations. We do this separately in each bin of [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}], and we will henceforth drop the zz-dependence from our notation with the understanding that qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} can change from bin to bin. In principle we could perform a global χ2\chi^{2} fit to the abundances of stars in each [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] bin, but inferring the process vectors from the median sequences is much easier, and it is also more robust because outliers (whether physical or observational) have minimal impact on median values in a large data set. The median values of [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] are significantly different between the two populations even at high [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}], so there is sufficient leverage to separate the CCSN and SNIa contributions. Statistical errors on the median abundance ratios are very small because there are many stars in each bin, though we are still sensitive to systematic errors in the abundance measurements.

W19 assumed a power-law zz-dependence of the process vectors, but here we allow a general metallicity dependence. For each element and each [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] bin, there are two measurements, [X/Mg]med[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm med} of the low-Ia and high-Ia populations, to fit with two parameters, qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia}, so the 2-process model can exactly reproduce the observed median sequences by construction. We adopt a general (bin-by-bin) zz-dependence in part to capture possibly complex trends, but for purposes of this paper our primary motivation is to ensure that the mean star-by-star residuals from the 2-process predictions are close to zero at all [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]. Although the more restrictive power-law formulation usually allows a good fit to the observed median sequences, there are departures for some elements in some [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] ranges, and residuals could easily be dominated by these global differences rather than star-to-star variations.

Using the observed values of [Fe/Mg]pl[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl} and of the median values of [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] on the high-Ia and low-Ia sequences in the [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] bin under consideration, we define

Rhigh(AIaAcc)high=10[Fe/Mg]high10[Fe/Mg]pl110[Fe/Mg]plR_{\rm high}\equiv\left({A_{\rm Ia}\over A_{\rm cc}}\right)_{\rm high}={10^{[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm high}}-10^{[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl}}\over 1-10^{[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl}}} (21)

and

Rlow(AIaAcc)low=10[Fe/Mg]low10[Fe/Mg]pl110[Fe/Mg]pl.R_{\rm low}\equiv\left({A_{\rm Ia}\over A_{\rm cc}}\right)_{\rm low}={10^{[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm low}}-10^{[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl}}\over 1-10^{[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl}}}~. (22)

From equation (20) we have

10[X/Mg]high\displaystyle 10^{[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm high}} =\displaystyle= qccX+RhighqIaX\displaystyle q^{X}_{\rm cc}+R_{\rm high}q^{X}_{\rm Ia} (23)
10[X/Mg]low\displaystyle 10^{[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm low}} =\displaystyle= qccX+RlowqIaX.\displaystyle q^{X}_{\rm cc}+R_{\rm low}q^{X}_{\rm Ia}~. (24)

Solving these equations yields

qIaX=10[X/Mg]high10[X/Mg]lowRhighRlowq^{X}_{\rm Ia}={10^{[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm high}}-10^{[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm low}}\over R_{\rm high}-R_{\rm low}} (25)

and

qccX=10[X/Mg]low10[X/Mg]high10[X/Mg]lowRhigh/Rlow1.q^{X}_{\rm cc}=10^{[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm low}}-{10^{[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm high}}-10^{[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm low}}\over R_{\rm high}/R_{\rm low}-1}~. (26)

If there is no difference between [X/Mg][{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}] on the two sequences we get qccX=10[X/Mg]q^{X}_{\rm cc}=10^{[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]} and qIaX=0q^{X}_{\rm Ia}=0. For a point with [Fe/Mg]low=[Fe/Mg]pl[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm low}=[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl}, we get Rlow=0R_{\rm low}=0 and qccX=10[X/Mg]lowq^{X}_{\rm cc}=10^{[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm low}}, which is as expected because such a point has no SNIa contribution. We use equations (25) and (26) to infer qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} and qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} for each element X in each bin of [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] (see Figures 4-7 below).

2.3 Fitting stellar values of AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}

Equations (13) and (18) provide a simple way to estimate a star’s 2-process amplitudes AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} from its Mg and Fe abundances. This is the method used by W19, and because Mg and Fe are well measured by APOGEE it is accurate enough for many purposes. However, for our goal of studying the correlations of residual abundances it has an important disadvantage: random measurement errors in [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] will induce spurious apparent correlations in the residuals of other elements. For example, if a star’s measured [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] fluctuates low, its AccA_{\rm cc} will be underestimated, and all of the star’s other α\alpha-elements will tend to lie above the 2-process prediction. TW21 examined the closely connected question of residual abundances after conditioning on [Fe/H][{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}] and [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]. They described the spurious correlations that arise from random Mg and Fe abundance errors as “measurement aberration,” caused by defining the residual abundances relative to a (randomly) incorrect reference point.

We can mitigate the effects of measurement aberration by estimating a star’s AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} from multiple abundances, since the random errors in these abundances tend to average out. As discussed in §5 below, we choose to infer AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} from the abundances of six elements (Mg, O, Si, Ca, Fe, Ni) that have small statistical errors in APOGEE and that collectively provide good leverage on the 2-process amplitudes because they have a range of relative contributions from SNIa vs. CCSN. These elements are not expected to have significant contributions from sources other than CCSN and SNIa. We fit each star’s AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} by χ2\chi^{2} minimization using the observational measurement uncertainties reported by APOGEE.

In practice, we take the parameter estimates from Mg and Fe as an initial guess, then iterate between optimizing AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}, an approach that is computationally cheap and quickly converges to a 2-d χ2\chi^{2} minimum. To avoid fit parameters being affected by outlier abundances (which could well be observational errors), we eliminate O, Si, Ca, or Ni from the fit if their abundance differs by more than 5σ5\sigma from the value predicted based on the initial guess. This criterion leads to the elimination of 206 O measurements, 118 Si measurements, 279 Ca measurements, and 625 Ni measurements from our sample of 34,410 stars. Fitting six abundances with two parameters does not add any more freedom to the model, but instead of fitting Mg and Fe exactly it chooses compromise values that give the best overall fit to the selected elements. We demonstrate the reduced measurement aberration from six-element fitting in Fig. 15 below.

3 APOGEE data sample

We use data from the 17th data release (DR17) of the SDSS/APOGEE survey (Majewski et al., 2017). The APOGEE disk sample consists primarily of evolved stars with 2MASS (Skrutskie et al., 2006) magnitudes 7<H<13.87<H<13.8, sampled largely on a grid of sightlines at Galactic latitudes b=0b=0^{\circ}, ±4\pm 4^{\circ}, and ±8\pm 8^{\circ} and many Galactic longitudes. Targeting for APOGEE is described in detail by Zasowski et al. (2013, 2017), Beaton et al. (2021), and Santana et al. (2021). APOGEE obtains high-resolution (R22,500R\sim 22,500) H-band spectra (1.51-1.70 μ\mum) using 300-fiber spectrographs (Wilson et al., 2019) on the 2.5m Sloan Foundation telescope (Gunn et al., 2006) at Apache Point Observatory in New Mexico and the 2.5m du Pont Telescope (Bowen & Vaughan, 1973) at Las Campanas Observatory in Chile. The great majority of spectra in the main APOGEE sample have signal-to-noise ratio per pixel SNR>80{\rm SNR}>80 (with a typical pixel width 0.22\approx 0.22Å). Spectral reductions and calibrations are performed by the APOGEE data processing pipeline (Nidever et al., 2015), which provides input to the APOGEE Stellar Parameters and Chemical Abundances Pipeline (ASPCAP; Holtzman et al. 2015; Garc´ıa Pérez et al. 2016). ASPCAP uses a grid of synthetic spectral models (Mészáros et al., 2012; Zamora et al., 2015) and H-band linelists (Shetrone et al., 2015; Hasselquist et al., 2016; Cunha et al., 2017; Smith et al., 2021) compiled from a variety of laboratory, theoretical, and astrophysical sources, fitting effective temperatures, surface gravities, and elemental abundances.

A detailed description of the APOGEE DR17 data will be presented by J. Holtzman et al. (in preparation), updating the comparable description of the APOGEE DR16 data by Jönsson et al. (2020). These papers explain the spectral fitting and calibration procedures, the estimation of observational uncertainties, and comparisons to literature values. Notably, the DR17 abundances used here employ a synthetic spectral grid generated by Synspec (Hubeny & Lanz, 2017) with NLTE treatments of Na, Mg, K, and Ca (Osorio et al., 2020). These spectra are based on MARCS atmospheric models (Gustafsson et al., 2008), with spherical geometry in the logg{\rm log}\,g range used for our analysis. The Synspec synthesis uses these structures but assumes plane parallel geometry. DR17 uses improved H-band wavelength windows for the s-process element Ce (Cunha et al., 2017), providing higher precision measurements than previous APOGEE data releases. We do not distinguish isotopes for any elements, as APOGEE does not have the resolution to clearly separate different isotopic lines.

Stellar abundance measurements are subject to statistical errors arising from photon noise and data reduction and to systematic errors that arise because one is fitting the data with imperfect models. These imperfections include incomplete or inaccurate linelists, astrophysical effects such as departures from local thermodynamic equilibrium (LTE), and observational effects such as inexact spectral linespread functions. The systematic effects will change with stellar parameters such as TeffT_{\rm eff}, logg{\rm log}\,g, and metallicity, but if the range of parameters in the sample is small then the differential systematics within the sample will be limited, so the systematics will produce zero-point offsets but will not add much in the way of scatter or correlated abundance deviations for stars of the same [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}].

For the analyses of this paper, we have several goals that affect the choice of sample selection criteria:

  1. 1.

    Minimize statistical errors to improve measurements of residuals from 2-process predictions.

  2. 2.

    Minimize differential systematic errors across the sample so that scatter and correlated residuals are minimally affected by systematics.

  3. 3.

    Cover a substantial fraction of the disk to probe populations with a range of enrichment histories.

  4. 4.

    Retain a large enough sample to enable accurate measurements of median trends, scatter, and correlations.

Plots of [X/Mg][{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}] vs. [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] show that DR17 ASPCAP abundances still have systematic trends with logg{\rm log}\,g (see Griffith et al. 2021a). However, to get a large sample one cannot afford to take too narrow a range of logg{\rm log}\,g. Luminous giants provide the best coverage of a wide range of the disk.

From the DR17 data set, we remove stars with the ASPCAP STAR_BAD or NO_ASPCAP_RESULT flags set, and we remove stars with flagged [Fe/H][{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}] or [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}] measurements. We use only stars targeted as part of the main APOGEE survey (flag EXTRATARG=0) to avoid any selection biases associated with special target classes. We use the DR17 “named” abundance tags X_FE, which apply additional reliability cuts for each element (see §5.3.1 of Jönsson et al. 2020). As a compromise among the considerations above, we have adopted the following sample selection cuts:

  1. 1.

    R=313kpcR=3-13\,{\rm kpc}, |Z|2kpc|Z|\leq 2\,{\rm kpc} (399,573 stars)

  2. 2.

    0.75[Mg/H]0.45-0.75\leq[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]\leq 0.45 (387,218 stars)

  3. 3.

    SNR200{\rm SNR}\geq 200 for [Mg/H]>0.5[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]>-0.5; SNR100{\rm SNR}\geq 100 for [Mg/H]<0.5[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]<-0.5 (160,133 stars)

  4. 4.

    logg=12.5{\rm log}\,g=1-2.5 (65,611 stars)

  5. 5.

    Teff=40004600T_{\rm eff}=4000-4600 (34,410 stars) .

Numbers in parentheses indicate the number of sample stars remaining after each cut. Spectroscopic distances for computing RR and ZZ are taken from the DR17 version of the AstroNN catalog (see Leung & Bovy 2019a); at distances of many kpc, these spectroscopic estimates are more precise than those from Gaia parallaxes. We use a lower SNR{\rm SNR} threshold below [Mg/H]=0.5[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=-0.5 to retain a sufficient number of low metallicity stars. The combination of cuts 4 and 5 eliminates red clump (core helium burning) stars (see Vincenzo et al. 2021a), which might have different measurement systematics from red giant branch (RGB) stars and could thus artificially add scatter or correlated deviations. The APOGEE red clump stars are themselves a well controlled and powerful sample (Bovy et al., 2014), and it would be useful to repeat some of our analyses below for the red clump sample and to understand the origin of any differences.

We compute [X/H][{\rm X}/{\rm H}] values as the sum of the ASPCAP quantities X_FE and FE_H. We take the quantity X_FE_ERR as the statistical measurement uncertainty in [X/H][{\rm X}/{\rm H}]. Although FE_H has its own statistical uncertainty, we are primarily interested in differential scatter among elements, and all abundances in a given star use the same value of FE_H. ASPCAP abundance uncertainties are estimated empirically as a function of SNR, TeffT_{\rm eff}, and metallicity using repeat observations of a subset of stars (see §5.4 of Jönsson et al. 2020). These empirical errors are usually larger (by a factor of several) than the χ2\chi^{2} model-fitting uncertainty. This procedure means that the adopted observational uncertainty for a given element is representative of that for stars with the same global properties and SNR but does not reflect the specifics of the individual star’s spectrum near the element’s spectral features. In the rare cases where the χ2\chi^{2} model-fitting uncertainty exceeds the empirical uncertainty, the fitting uncertainty is reported instead. Some stars have flagged values of individual elements, in which case we keep the star in the sample but omit the star from any calculations involving those elements. These cuts eliminate 562 Ce values but no more than two values for other elements.

The C and N surface abundances of RGB stars differ from their birth abundances because the CNO cycle preferentially converts 12C to 14N and some processed material is dredged up to the convective envelope (e.g., Iben 1965; Shetrone et al. 2019). However, because the extra N nuclei come almost entirely from C nuclei, leaving the O abundance much less perturbed, the number-weighted C+N abundance is nearly equal to the birth abundance, with theoretically predicted differences 0.01\sim 0.01 dex over most of the logg{\rm log}\,g range considered here (Vincenzo et al., 2021b). We therefore take C+N as an “element” in our analysis, computing

[(C+N)/H]=\displaystyle[{\rm(C+N)}/{\rm H}]= log10(10[C/H]+8.39+10[N/H]+7.78)\displaystyle\log_{10}\left(10^{[{\rm C}/{\rm H}]+8.39}+10^{[{\rm N}/{\rm H}]+7.78}\right)- (27)
log10(108.39+107.78),\displaystyle\log_{10}\left(10^{8.39}+10^{7.78}\right)~,

where 8.39 and 7.78 are our adopted logarithmic values of the solar C and N abundances (Grevesse et al., 2007) on the usual scale where the hydrogen number density is 12.0. We somewhat arbitrarily set the uncertainty in [(C+N)/H][{\rm(C+N)}/{\rm H}] equal to the ASPCAP uncertainty in [C/Fe][{\rm C}/{\rm Fe}], i.e., to C_FE_ERR. While the fractional error in N may exceed the fractional error in C, N contributes only 20% to C+N for a solar C/N ratio.

Table 1: Zero-point offsets and TeffT_{\rm eff} trend slopes
Elem Offset 103αT10^{3}\alpha_{T} Elem Offset 103αT10^{3}\alpha_{T}
Mg 0.0000.000 0.940.94 K 0.0020.002 1.681.68
O 0.016-0.016 2.282.28 Cr 0.0480.048 4.354.35
Si 0.0380.038 3.22-3.22 Fe 0.0530.053 0.760.76
S 0.0080.008 5.295.29 Ni 0.0300.030 1.331.33
Ca 0.0710.071 6.01-6.01 V 0.2220.222 14.914.9
C+N 0.0220.022 4.124.12 Mn 0.0020.002 16.316.3
Na 0.0430.043 8.898.89 Co 0.032-0.032 8.868.86
Al 0.0500.050 12.3-12.3 Ce 0.1250.125 2.64-2.64

As discussed by Jönsson et al. (2020) and Holtzman et al. (in prep.), the APOGEE abundances include zero-point shifts of up to 0.2 dex (though below 0.05 dex for most elements) chosen to make the mean abundance ratios of solar metallicity stars in the solar neighborhood satisfy [X/Fe]=0[{\rm X}/{\rm Fe}]=0. These zero-point shifts are computed separately for giant and dwarf stars. Here we use a particular set of logg{\rm log}\,g and TeffT_{\rm eff} cuts and a sample that spans the Galactic disk. We have therefore chosen to apply additional zero-point offsets that force the median abundance ratio trends of the high-Ia population in our sample to run through [X/Mg]=0[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]=0 at [Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0. These offsets are reported in Table 1; the Mg offset is zero by definition. The order of elements in the Table follows that used in plots below, based on dividing elements into related physical groups. The V and Ce offsets are 0.222 dex and 0.125 dex, while others are below 0.1 dex and mostly below 0.05 dex. Since logg{\rm log}\,g trends are also present in APOGEE at this level, we regard it as reasonable to treat these as calibration offsets rather than assume that the Sun is atypical of stars with similar [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]. However, this is a debatable choice. The most important offset is the one applied to Fe because the [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] abundances determine the values of AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}, though we note that our choice of [Fe/Mg]pl[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl} has a similar impact and is uncertain at a similar level. Furthermore, we identify [Fe/Mg]pl[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl} from data that have the Fe offset applied (Figure 1), and much of the impact of a different offset would be absorbed by the associated change in [Fe/Mg]pl[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]_{\rm pl}. The zero-point offsets for other elements have a small but not negligible impact on our derived values of qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia}. They should have minimal impact on residual abundances, since the 2-process model is calibrated to reproduce the observed median sequences. Table 1 also lists slopes of trends with TeffT_{\rm eff} that are discussed in §5.1 below (see equation 30).

We adopt a high, SNR200{\rm SNR}\geq 200 threshold for most of our analyses because we want to minimize the impact of observational errors on our results, especially the statistics and correlations of residual abundances. However, for some purposes we want to improve our coverage of the inner Galaxy, where distance and extinction leave fewer stars bright enough to pass this high threshold. For these analyses we lower the SNR threshold to 100 at all [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] values, which increases the sample to 55,438 (a factor of 1.6) and increases the number of stars at R=35kpcR=3-5\,{\rm kpc} by a factor of 4.3. We refer to this as the SN100 sample, but our calculations and plots use the higher threshold sample unless explicitly noted otherwise.

4 Median sequences and 2-process vectors

We separate our sample into low-Ia and high-Ia populations (conventionally referred to as “high-α\alpha” and “low-α\alpha,” respectively), using the same dividing line as W19:

{[Mg/Fe]>0.120.13[Fe/H],[Fe/H]<0[Mg/Fe]>0.12,[Fe/H]>0.\begin{cases}[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]>0.12-0.13[{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}],&[{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}]<0\cr[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]>0.12,&[{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}]>0.\cr\end{cases} (28)

For consistency with W19, we apply this separation to the APOGEE abundances before adding the zero-point offsets in Table 1, but we include the offsets in all of our subsequent calculations and plots. The distribution of our sample stars in [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}] vs. [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}], together with the median sequences and inferred CCSN iron fractions, have been shown previously in Figure 1.

Refer to caption

Figure 4: (Left) [X/Mg][{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}] vs. [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] for the α\alpha elements of sample stars, color-coded as low-Ia (red) or high-Ia (blue). Stars are randomly downsampled by a factor of four to reduce crowding. Connected large points show the median values in bins of [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}], which the 2-process model fits exactly by construction. (Right) Solar-scaled values of the CCSN and SNIa process vector components for each element, qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} (circles) and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} (triangles), inferred by fitting the observed median sequences. Red and blue curves show the CCSN fractions fccXf^{X}_{\rm cc}, which depend on the values of qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} and on the amplitude ratio AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} at the corresponding point on the median sequence (eq. 7). Our abundances include zero-point calibrations (Table 1) that force the high-Ia sequence to pass through [X/Mg]=0[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]=0 at [Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0. For solar abundances, fccX=qccXf^{X}_{\rm cc}=q^{X}_{\rm cc}, so blue curves in the right panels always pass through the open circle at [Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0.

Refer to caption

Figure 5: Same as Fig. 4 but showing the light odd-ZZ elements Na, Al, and K and the element combination C+N.

Refer to caption

Figure 6: Same as Fig. 4 but for even-ZZ iron-peak elements.

Refer to caption

Figure 7: Same as Fig. 4 but for odd-ZZ iron-peak elements and the s-process element Ce.

The left panels of Figure 4 show [X/Mg][{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}] vs. [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] distributions for other α\alpha-elements (O, Si, S, Ca) in the low-Ia and high-Ia populations, with median sequences shown by connected large points. These can be compared to corresponding distributions in Figure 8 of W19, based on DR14 data; not surprisingly, the results are similar. The median [O/Mg] trends are nearly flat, with only a small separation between the low-Ia and high-Ia median sequences, as expected if the production of both O and Mg is dominated by CCSN with metallicity-independent yields. If real, the 0.05\approx 0.05-dex separation between the sequences suggests a small contribution to O abundances from a delayed source, perhaps AGB stars rather than SNIa. For Si and Ca the sequence separations are progressively larger, implying larger SNIa contributions to these elements as predicted by nucleosynthesis models (e.g., Andrews et al. 2017; Rybizki et al. 2017). For S the two median sequences are very close, implying minimal SNIa contribution to S production, and they are sloped, implying S yields from CCSN that decrease with increasing metallicity. They diverge slightly at high [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}], implying a growing qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia}.

The right panels of Figure 4 show the values of qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} derived from these median sequences via equations (26) and (25), using the ratios AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} along the two sequences shown in Figure 1. As discussed in §2.2, with a general metallicity dependence the 2-process model fits the observed median sequences exactly; empirical evidence for the qualitative validity of the model will come from the reduction of scatter and correlations in residual abundances shown below in §5. For O the inferred qccX0.9q^{X}_{\rm cc}\approx 0.9 at all [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}], declining slightly at the highest metallicity. For Si and Ca the inferred values of qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} at solar [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] are 0.19 and 0.26, respectively. For S the low-Ia median sequence crosses above the high-Ia median sequence at low metallicity, a violation of the 2-process model assumptions that leads to slightly negative values of qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia}. Given the large observational scatter in S abundances, this sequence-crossing appears compatible with observational fluctuations, so we do not regard it as a serious problem. The inferred qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} for S declines continuously with increasing [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}], tracking the sloped median sequences. Because our zero-point offsets are chosen to give [X/Mg]=0[{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]=0 on the high-Ia sequence at [Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0, and because stars with [Mg/Fe]=[Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]=[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0 have AIa=Acc=1A_{\rm Ia}=A_{\rm cc}=1 by definition, our fits always yield qccX+qIaX=1q^{X}_{\rm cc}+q^{X}_{\rm Ia}=1 at [Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0 (see equation 20). However, this constraint does not apply at other metallicities. Red and blue curves in these panels show the fraction of each element that is inferred to come from CCSN in stars on the low-Ia or high-Ia sequence (equation 6). Even if qIaX>0q^{X}_{\rm Ia}>0, the low-Ia population has fccX1f^{X}_{\rm cc}\approx 1 at low [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] because these stars have [Mg/Fe][Mg/Fe]pl[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]\approx[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]_{\rm pl}, implying (at least according to the 2-process model assumptions) that nearly all enrichment is from CCSN.

Figure 5 shows [X/Mg][{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}] vs. [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] distributions, median sequences, and inferred 2-process vectors for Na, Al, K, and the element combination C+N. Because they have odd atomic numbers, the nucleosynthesis of Na, Al, and K is fundamentally different from that of α\alpha-elements even within massive stars. C and N are both expected to have significant contributions from AGB stars in addition to prompt contributions from CCSN and massive star winds, and the AGB yields of N are predicted to have substantial metallicity dependence (e.g., Karakas 2010; Ventura et al. 2013; Cristallo et al. 2015). Similar to W19, the median sequences for K and Al show little separation between the low-Ia and high-Ia populations, indicating a dominant contribution from CCSN; in detail, the DR17 data show a slightly larger sequence separation for Al and slightly smaller for K. More significantly, the DR17 data show [Al/Mg] trends that are essentially flat over this [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] range while the DR14 data showed an increasing trend that implied CCSN yields increasing with metallicity.

As in W19, [Na/Mg] trends show a large separation between low-Ia and high-Ia populations implying a substantial delayed contribution to Na enrichment. Standard nucleosynthesis models predict that SNIa and AGB contributions are small compared to CCSN (Andrews et al., 2017; Rybizki et al., 2017), so this evidence for delayed enrichment comes as a surprise. The Na features in APOGEE spectra are weak, making the abundance measurements noisy and susceptible to systematic errors, but there is no obvious effect that would cause artificially boosted Na measurements at this level for high-Ia stars relative to low-Ia stars of the same [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]. A comparable sequence separation is also found in GALAH DR2 (Griffith et al., 2019). The qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} values inferred from the 2-process fit are comparable in magnitude over most of the [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] range. The inferred metallicity-dependence is complex, but given the scatter and uncertainties of the Na measurements it should be treated with caution.

While W19 considered P as an additional odd-ZZ elements, the analyses in Jönsson et al. (2020) suggest that APOGEE’s P measurements in DR16 are not robust. The P abundances are improved in DR17, but they remain subject to significant systematics, and we have elected to omit P from this paper.

The two [(C+N)/Mg] sequences show a separation nearly as large as the two [Na/Mg] sequences, again implying a substantial delayed contribution. Nucleosynthesis models predict a moderate AGB contribution to C and a dominant AGB contribution to N (Andrews et al., 2017; Rybizki et al., 2017), so this result is qualitatively expected. The inferred metallicity dependence is complex, with qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} rising with [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] before leveling out and dropping at high metallicity, and the opposite trend for qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia}. We caution, however, that the separation into prompt and delayed contributions is not quantitatively accurate for elements that have large AGB contributions because it is based on tracking Fe from SNIa, and the delay time distributions for AGB enrichment and SNIa enrichment are different (see, e.g., Figure 5 of Johnson & Weinberg 2020). Our present analysis does not allow us to separate the roles of C and N in these trends, though for stars with asteroseismic mass measurements one can apply corrections from stellar evolution models to infer birth abundances of the two elements (see Vincenzo et al. 2021b). The observed [(C+N)/Mg] sequences can themselves provide a quantitative test of chemical evolution models that track both elements. The high-Ia medians of [(C+N)/Mg], [Na/Mg], and [Al/Mg] all show drops in the lowest metallicity bin 0.75[Mg/H]<0.65-0.75\leq[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]<-0.65. This bin contains just 53 stars, so this drop could simply be a statistical fluctuation, though it might also be affected by accreted halo stars becoming a significant fraction of the high-Ia population at this low metallicity (see §7).

Figures 6 and 7 show sequences and 2-process parameters for iron peak elements with even atomic number (Cr, Fe, Ni) and odd atomic number (V, Mn, Co), respectively. Trends are similar to those shown for DR14 data by W19, though in W19 the [Cr/Mg][{\rm Cr}/{\rm Mg}] trends are flatter with [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and the [V/Mg][{\rm V}/{\rm Mg}] trends are steeper and with somewhat larger separation between the low-Ia and high-Ia sequences. For Fe, qIaX=qccX=0.5q^{X}_{\rm Ia}=q^{X}_{\rm cc}=0.5 at all [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] as a consequence of adopting [Mg/Fe]pl=0.3log102[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]_{\rm pl}=0.3\approx\log_{10}2 and assuming metallicity independence. For Cr we also infer qIaXqccX0.5q^{X}_{\rm Ia}\approx q^{X}_{\rm cc}\approx 0.5 at [Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0. APOGEE Cr abundances exhibit apparent systematics for a significant fraction of stars above solar metallicity (Griffith et al., 2021a), so we regard the median sequences and inferred 2-process parameters as unreliable in the super-solar regime. While [Ni/Mg][{\rm Ni}/{\rm Mg}] trends are similar to [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] trends, the separation of low-Ia and high-Ia sequences is smaller, implying that CCSN contribute 60% of the Ni at solar abundances vs. 50% for iron. We find somewhat higher CCSN fractions at solar abundances for Co and V, 67% and 74%, respectively. (To phrase things still more precisely, in a star with [Fe/Mg]=[Ni/Mg]=[Co/Mg]=[V/Mg]=[Mg/H]=0, we infer that 50/60/67/74% of the star’s Fe/Ni/Co/V atoms were produced in CCSN.)

As in W19 we find that Mn has the largest SNIa contribution of any APOGEE element. Note that Bergemann et al. (2019) find a 0.15-dex difference between 1D LTE and 3D NLTE abundances from H-band Mn I lines, with little dependence on [Fe/H][{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}], TeffT_{\rm eff}, or logg{\rm log}\,g; here we take the ASPCAP Mn determinations at face value. Although the low-Ia median sequence in [Mn/Mg][{\rm Mn}/{\rm Mg}] is steeply rising, this slope can be largely explained by the increasing SNIa enrichment fraction along the sequence, so that the inferred metallicity dependence of qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} is weak. We infer a sharp rise in qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} at super-solar metallicity, needed to explain the rising [Mn/Mg][{\rm Mn}/{\rm Mg}] trend on the high-Ia sequence. Given the spectral modeling and calibration uncertainties in the super-solar regime, the rising trend of qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} should be viewed with some caution, but it could suggest a change in the physical properties of SNIa progenitors or explosion mechanisms in super-solar stellar populations. A similar pattern of rising qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} at [Mg/H]>0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]>0 is seen for C+N, Na, V, Co, and (more weakly) Ni. These common trends could indicate a delayed source (SNIa or AGB) that becomes important for all of these elements at high metallicity, though they could also be a sign that our assumptions for separating prompt and delayed components are breaking down in this regime. Like Na, Al, and C+N, the median trend of the high-Ia population drops sharply in the lowest [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] bin for [Mn/Mg] and [Co/Mg], and to a lesser extent for [Ni/Mg].

Figure 7 also presents results for the s-process element Ce. Like Na, V, and K, APOGEE Ce abundances have relatively large statistical uncertainties (mean of 0.043 dex in our sample), and the large scatter about the median trends is likely dominated by observational errors. DR14 did not include Ce abundances, so we cannot compare to W19. However, the large separation between the low-Ia and high-Ia sequences and the non-monotonic metallicity dependence of the high-Ia sequence are qualitatively similar to results from GALAH DR2 for the neutron capture elements Y and Ba (Griffith et al., 2019). A rising-then-falling metallicity dependence is expected for AGB nucleosynthesis of heavy s-process elements: at low [Fe/H] the number of seeds available for neutron capture increases with increasing metallicity, but at high [Fe/H] the number of neutrons per seed becomes too low to produce the heavier s-process elements (Gallino et al., 1998). As with C+N, the decomposition into prompt and delayed components implied by the qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} values should be regarded as qualitative because the delay time distribution for AGB Ce production should differ from that of SNIa Fe production.

We report the values of qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} for all elements in Tables 4 and 5 in the Appendix , along with the values of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} along the two median sequences (Table 6). The value of AccA_{\rm cc} follows from equation (13). These quantities can be used in equation (20) to exactly reproduce the median sequences shown in Figures 4-7. The values of fcc,X=qccX(z=1)f^{X}_{\rm cc,\odot}=q^{X}_{\rm cc}(z=1) (equation 8) can be used to correct observed solar abundances to the abundances produced by CCSN, which can then be used to test the predictions of supernova models, as done by W19 (their fig. 20), by Griffith et al. (2019) (their fig. 17), and most comprehensively by Griffith et al. (2021b), who carefully investigate the interplay between IMF-averaged supernova yields and black hole formation scenarios. The solar values of qIaX=1qccXq^{X}_{\rm Ia}=1-q^{X}_{\rm cc} can be similarly used as a test of SNIa yield models, a task we defer to future work.

5 Residual abundances and their correlations

With the 2-process vectors determined by fitting the median [X/Mg][{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}] sequences of the low-Ia and high-Ia populations, we proceed to fit the values of AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} for all individual sample stars as described in §2.3. We perform a χ2\chi^{2}-minimization fit to the abundances [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}], [O/H], [Si/H], [Ca/H], [Fe/H], and [Ni/H], using the reported ASPCAP observational uncertainties for each measurement. We choose these six elements because they have small mean observational uncertainties, ranging from 0.0084 dex (Fe) to 0.0136 dex (Ca), because they have no major known systematic uncertainties in APOGEE data, because the production of these elements is theoretically expected to be dominated by CCSN and SNIa, and because their qIaX/qccXq^{X}_{\rm Ia}/q^{X}_{\rm cc} ratios span a wide range, giving strong collective leverage on AIaA_{\rm Ia} and AccA_{\rm cc}. The only other abundance with a mean observational error in this range is [(C+N)/Mg], but we do not use this quantity in our fits because it does not represent a single element and because the production of C and (especially) N is expected to have significant AGB contributions. The [Mn/H] abundance also has a small mean observational uncertainty (0.0144 dex), but the strong and unusual metallicity dependence of qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} above [Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0 could distort inferred AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} ratios in this regime if it is incorrect. The 2-process amplitudes inferred from this six-element fit are close to those inferred from [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] alone via equations (13) and (18), but they have smaller statistical uncertainties, are robust to observational errors in these two abundances alone, and mitigate artificial correlations among residual abundances from measurement aberration (see Fig. 15 below).

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Figure 8: Distribution of stars in the 2-process parameters AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} vs. AccA_{\rm cc}, in zones of Galactocentric radius (columns) and midplane distance (rows) as labeled. AccA_{\rm cc} measures the abundance of CCSN elements (e.g., Mg) relative to solar, and AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} measures the ratio of SNIa to CCSN enrichment; AIa=Acc=1A_{\rm Ia}=A_{\rm cc}=1 for solar abundances. Red and blue points show stars in the low-Ia and high-Ia population, respectively. To improve coverage of the inner Galaxy, this plot uses the SN100 sample, which has a SNR threshold of 100 at all [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] values. Although we use six elements to fit stellar values of AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}, they are generally close to the values implied by Mg and Fe, so this plot resembles a plot of [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] vs. [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] but with transformed variables that are linearly proportional to the inferred CCSN and SNIa content.

Figure 8 plots the distribution of stars in the plane of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} vs. AccA_{\rm cc} in zones of Galactic RR and |Z||Z|, with red and blue points denoting stars in the low-Ia and high-Ia populations, respectively. For this plot we have used our SN100 sample to improve coverage of the inner Galaxy. Although we use our six-element fits for AIaA_{\rm Ia} and AccA_{\rm cc}, this map does not look noticeably different if we use the values inferred from [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] alone. The xx-axis quantity AccA_{\rm cc} is simply a linear measure of metallicity as traced by CCSN elements, in solar units. This plot is analogous to Figure 4 of H15, showing [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] vs. [Fe/H][{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}], and still more closely analogous to Figure 3 of W19, showing [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] vs. [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]. Similar to those element-ratio maps, the low-Ia population is more prominent at small RR and large |Z||Z|, and the metallicity (AccA_{\rm cc}) distribution of the high-Ia population shifts towards lower values at larger RR. However, the non-linear relations between [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and AccA_{\rm cc} (equation 13) and between [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] and AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} (equation 18) highlight three features that are less obvious in these earlier maps. First, the median trend of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} in the low-Ia population rises continuously and approximately linearly with AccA_{\rm cc} up to Acc1.5A_{\rm cc}\approx 1.5, reaching AIa/Acc0.5A_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc}\approx 0.5. Second, for Acc<1A_{\rm cc}<1 the high-Ia stars also show a clear trend of increasing AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} with AccA_{\rm cc}, especially evident in the R7kpcR\geq 7\,{\rm kpc} annuli. Both of these trends follow from the fact that the low-Ia and high-Ia sequences in [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}] are sloped below [Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0 (see Fig. 1), and their persistence in a plot based on six-element fits implies that these slopes are not caused by vagaries of [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}] abundance ratio measurements. Third, the 0.04\approx 0.04-dex scatter of [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] along the low-Ia and high-Ia sequences, which is dominated by intrinsic scatter rather than measurement noise (Bertran de Lis et al., 2016; Vincenzo et al., 2021a), translates to substantial scatter in AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} at a given metallicity within each population. In the solar annulus (R=79kpcR=7-9\,{\rm kpc}) the distribution of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} is clearly bimodal at sub-solar metallicity, with typical values of 00.30-0.3 for the low-Ia population and 0.61.20.6-1.2 for the high-Ia population. This bimodality reflects the bimodality of [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] values, which Vincenzo et al. (2021a) demonstrate is an intrinsic feature of the underlying stellar populations that is robust to |Z||Z|-dependent and age-dependent selection effects in the APOGEE sample.

Turning to residual abundances, Figure 9 shows examples of measured vs. predicted abundances for four stars. Recall that for each sample star we fit the two free parameters AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} using the measured abundances of six elements, then predict all of the abundances using these two process amplitudes and the global values of qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} that have been inferred from the median trends of the full sample. The first two stars in Figure 9 are low metallicity members (Acc=0.584A_{\rm cc}=0.584 and 0.307) of the low-Ia population (AIa=0.054A_{\rm Ia}=0.054 and -0.005), one with a χ2\chi^{2} value near the median for all sample stars and one with a high χ2\chi^{2} value near the 98th-percentile of the χ2\chi^{2} distribution. (Negative AIaA_{\rm Ia} values can arise for stars with [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] values above the low metallicity plateau.) The third and fourth stars are solar metallicity (Acc=1.036A_{\rm cc}=1.036, 1.131) stars from the high-Ia population, again one that is near the median of the χ2\chi^{2} distribution and one near the 98th-percentile.

For the first star, the 2-process model reproduces the observed abundance pattern quite well, though the χ2\chi^{2} value of 30.8 for 14 degrees of freedom (16 elements fit with two free parameters) is inconsistent with a purely statistical fluctuation for Gaussian measurement errors with the reported observational uncertainties. The largest residuals are for S (0.13 dex), V (0.09 dex), Na (0.07 dex), and Cr (0.05 dex), elements with relatively large observational uncertainties in APOGEE. The second star shows 0.2\sim 0.2-dex residuals for several elements, including C+N, Al, V, and Ce, some overpredicted and some underpredicted. The predicted abundances of the third star are all nearly solar, since AIaAcc1A_{\rm Ia}\approx A_{\rm cc}\approx 1, and the observed abundances are also near solar, with the largest residual being 0.08 dex for Na. The fourth star shows large residuals (0.3\sim 0.3 dex) for Na and Ce and smaller (0.1\sim 0.1 dex) but statistically significant residuals for C+N and Mn. We will discuss other examples of high-χ2\chi^{2} outliers in §6.

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Figure 9: Examples of 2-process fits to element abundance ratios, for two low-Ia stars (rows one and two) with sub-solar [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and two high-Ia stars (rows three and four) with near-solar [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]. The first and third stars have χ2\chi^{2} values near the median of the distribution for sample stars, while the second and fourth stars have χ2\chi^{2} values near the 98th-percentile of this distribution. The model has two free parameters for each star and is fit to the six elements listed in blue on the horizontal axis (Mg, O, Si, Ca, Fe, Ni). In each panel, filled points with error bars show the measured value of [X/H] and the ASPCAP error. Open circles show the abundances predicted by the 2-process fit. Solid and dotted lines are present to guide the eye. Colored bars along the bottom of each panel group α\alpha elements (blue), light odd-ZZ elements (green), even-ZZ iron-peak elements (red), and odd-ZZ iron-peak elements (magenta).

5.1 Removing trends with TeffT_{\rm eff}

We have limited the range of logg{\rm log}\,g and TeffT_{\rm eff} in our sample in order to minimize the differential impact of abundance measurement systematics on our results. Nonetheless, there are subtle trends of residual abundances with TeffT_{\rm eff} over this range, as illustrated for four elements in the top row of Figure 10. In this and all subsequent plots we adopt the sign convention

Δ[X/H][X/H]data[X/H]model.\Delta[{\rm X}/{\rm H}]\equiv[{\rm X}/{\rm H}]_{\rm data}-[{\rm X}/{\rm H}]_{\rm model}~. (29)

Mn residuals have the strongest trend, with the median abundance residual changing from 0.0470.047 to 0.033-0.033 as TeffT_{\rm eff} increases from 4050K4050\,{\rm K} to 4550K4550\,{\rm K}. Co residuals have a weaker trend of the same sign, Ca residuals have a trend of similar magnitude but opposite sign, and Ni residuals have almost no trend with TeffT_{\rm eff}.

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Figure 10: (Top) Correlation of abundance residuals (measured abundance - 2-process prediction) with TeffT_{\rm eff} for Ca, Ni, Mn, and Co. Magenta points and lines show the median residuals in 100K100\,{\rm K} bins of TeffT_{\rm eff} and the linear trends fit to these medians. (Middle) Correlation of abundance residuals for the element pairs Ca-Ni, Ca-Mn, Co-Ni, and Co-Mn (left to right). Correlation coefficients are listed in each panel. (Bottom) Same as middle using abundances that have been corrected for the temperature trends as described in the text. In all panels, points have been downsampled by a factor of ten to reduce crowding, and abundance residuals are shown in dex.

To avoid artificial correlations induced by these trends, we fit them with linear relations and apply corrections to the DR17 APOGEE abundance values:

[X/H]corr=[X/H]APO+Offset+αT(Teff4300)/100.[{\rm X}/{\rm H}]_{\rm corr}=[{\rm X}/{\rm H}]_{\rm APO}+{\rm Offset}+\alpha_{T}(T_{\rm eff}-4300)/100~. (30)

The values of the zero-point offsets (discussed in §3) and the slopes αT\alpha_{T} are listed in Table 1, with values of the latter ranging from |αT|0.001|\alpha_{T}|\sim 0.001 (Mg, O, K, Fe, Ni) to |αT|0.01|\alpha_{T}|\sim 0.01 (Ca, Na, Al, V, Mn, Co). For Mn, for example, all abundances are increased by 0.002 dex, and the abundances of stars with Teff=4600KT_{\rm eff}=4600\,{\rm K} are further increased by 0.0163×3=0.04890.0163\times 3=0.0489 dex, thus increasing the median residual abundance to near zero. We have confirmed that residual trends with TeffT_{\rm eff} and logg{\rm log}\,g are negligible for all elements after applying these corrections. Note that the abundances plotted in Figures 4-7 include the zero-point offsets but do not have the TeffT_{\rm eff} corrections applied. Median sequences and derived qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} values are negligibly affected by these TeffT_{\rm eff} trends. They matter for our subsequent analysis (and are used in all subsequent calculations and plots) because they can affect correlations of residual abundances.

The lower half of Figure 10 shows scatterplots of residual abundances for four pairs of these four abundances before (middle row) and after (bottom row) removing the TeffT_{\rm eff} trends. The Ca-Ni correlation is minimally affected because Ni residuals have almost no trend with TeffT_{\rm eff}. The correlation coefficient changes from 0.30-0.30 before correction to 0.28-0.28 after correction. However, Ca and Mn residuals have significant and opposite trends with TeffT_{\rm eff} before correction, causing an artificial anti-correlation with coefficient 0.32-0.32 that is almost entirely removed by the TeffT_{\rm eff} correction. The Co-Ni correlation, like Ca-Ni, is minimally affected by TeffT_{\rm eff} trends. However, the Mn-Co correlation is artificially boosted because residuals of both elements are anti-correlated with TeffT_{\rm eff}, and correcting the TeffT_{\rm eff} trend lowers the correlation coefficient from 0.38 to 0.19.

In sum, we apply small (0.05\lesssim 0.05-dex) detrending corrections to the ASPCAP abundances that remove weak correlations between residual abundances and TeffT_{\rm eff}.

5.2 Simulating the impact of observational errors

If all stars were perfectly described by the 2-process model, the measured abundances would still depart from the predicted abundances because of statistical errors induced by observational noise. It is tricky to predict the distribution and correlation of these noise-induced residuals because the observational uncertainties span a significant range from star-to-star and element-to-element and because some of the measured values are used to fit the 2-process amplitudes AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}. We have therefore created a simulated data set in which we take each star from the sample, set its true abundances exactly equal to the 2-process predictions given its measured AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}, then add an “observational” error to each abundance, drawn from a Gaussian distribution with the star’s ASPCAP uncertainty for that element. If an abundance measurement is flagged in the APOGEE data, then we flag it in the simulation as well. We can then apply the same analysis to the simulated data that we apply to our observed sample to understand the results that would be expected if all stars followed the 2-process model and all measurement errors were described by Gaussian noise with the reported observational uncertainties.

5.3 Distribution of residuals

The black curve in Figure 11 shows the cumulative distribution of χ2\chi^{2} values for the 34,410 sample stars, computed using all of the elements shown in Figure 9 but omitting flagged element values. The median, 95th, and 99th-percentiles of this distribution are 30, 134, and 438, respectively. Only 13% of stars have χ2\chi^{2} values below 14, the number of degrees of freedom for 16 elements and two free parameters, so either the true distribution has intrinsic element scatter relative to the 2-process model or the observational abundance errors exceed those predicted for Gaussian noise with the ASPCAP uncertainties, or both. The red curve shows the χ2\chi^{2} distribution for the simulated data set described in §5.2, and in this case 45% of stars have χ2<14\chi^{2}<14.

The green curve shows the χ2\chi^{2} distribution if AIaA_{\rm Ia} and AccA_{\rm cc} are inferred from [Mg/H] and [Fe/Mg] alone instead of the six-element 2-process fit. This leads to only a small increase in χ2\chi^{2} values. The blue curve shows the distribution of χ2\chi^{2} if we compute element residuals from the observed median sequences instead of the 2-process fits, interpolating the sequences in [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] to avoid any effects of metallicity variation across our 0.1-dex [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] bins. These χ2\chi^{2} values are substantially higher (e.g., a median value of 78, vs. 30 for the 2-process residuals), a first demonstration that the 2-process model is removing physical scatter present in the stellar abundance distribution. In other words, a star’s APOGEE abundances are typically closer to those predicted by the 2-process model than they are to the median abundances of stars of the same [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and the same population (low-Ia or high-Ia), by an amount that is highly statistically significant.

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Figure 11: Cumulative distribution of χ2\chi^{2} values for model fits to the sample of 34,110 stars. Values of χ2\chi^{2} are computed using all 16 elements shown in Figure 9, omitting flagged values. The black solid curve shows results from applying the full 2-process fit, with points marking the median, 95th-percentile, and 99th-percentile values of the distribution (listed in the lower right). The green dotted curve shows results when AIaA_{\rm Ia} and AccA_{\rm cc} values are inferred from [Mg/H] and [Fe/Mg] alone. The blue dashed curve shows results when abundances are predicted from the observed median trends (blue and red curves in the left panels of Figures 4-7), independent of the 2-process model. The red-dashed curve shows results for a simulated data sample in which all stars lie on the 2-process model and arise only from Gaussian noise with the reported abundance errors.

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Figure 12: Distribution of [X/H] deviations from model predictions, normalized by the reported abundance error. Black histograms show results using the full 2-process fit to six abundances. Blue histograms show deviations from the median sequences. Red curves show a unit Gaussian for reference. The mean ASPCAP error is listed in each panel. For the median trend deviations, the [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] deviation is zero by definition, giving a zero-width blue histogram.

Figure 12 examines the deviation distributions element-by-element. For those elements that have a mean ASPCAP abundance error smaller than 0.015 dex, the deviations from the 2-process model predictions (black histograms) are significantly narrower than the deviations from the median sequence predictions (blue). Some of this improvement arises because many of these elements are used in the 2-process fit, but even if we use only Mg and Fe to determine the 2-process parameters the deviation distributions for the other fit elements are narrower than the distribution of deviations from the median sequences. Mn and C+N, which are not used in the 2-process fit, both show narrower deviations from the 2-process predictions than from the median sequences. For other elements, with larger mean errors, there are only small differences between the 2-process deviation distribution and the median-sequence deviation distribution, presumably because the deviations in both cases are dominated by observational errors. However, the extended tails of the distributions are still noticeably reduced for Al, Cr, Co, and Ce.

Red curves show a unit Gaussian, which is narrower than the 2-process deviation distributions for all elements except Mg and Fe. The simulated star sample drawn from the 2-process model yields deviation distributions (not shown) very close to these unit Gaussians, as expected. For many elements the extended tails of the deviation distribution appear more nearly exponential than Gaussian, and for some elements there is a significant asymmetry between positive and negative deviations in these extended tails. Extended tails and asymmetries could arise from either genuine physical deviations or measurement errors. We investigate this question to a limited degree in §6, though it is difficult to quantify the relative contribution of physical and observational outliers without detailed investigation of the abundance determinations for a large number of stars.

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Figure 13: Top: Dispersion of [X/H] values relative to 2-process predictions, in dex. Filled circles show results for the data. Open squares show results from the simulation in which stars lie on the 2-process model except for Gaussian errors. Red crosses show the mean observational error. Elements used in the 2-process fit are denoted in blue on the horizontal axis. Bottom: Filled circles, repeated from the top panel, show the total dispersion. Open circles show the intrinsic dispersion estimated by subtracting in quadrature the dispersion of the simulated data set (i.e., the squares in the top panel). Open triangles show an alternative estimate of the intrinsic dispersion obtained by subtracting half of the 16-84% percentile range (±1σ\pm 1\sigma for a Gaussian distribution), in quadrature, for the simulated data from the same quantity for the observed data.

In both panels of Figure 13, filled circles show the rms difference between ASPCAP abundances and 2-process model predictions. In the upper panel, red crosses show the mean abundance error reported by ASPCAP for that element. Open squares show the rms deviations for the simulated data set. These simulated dispersions are generally very similar to the mean abundance errors, though they are significantly lower for Mg and Fe, which carry high weight in the 2-process fit. In the lower panel, we estimate the intrinsic dispersion by subtracting the dispersion of the simulated data from the dispersion of the observational data. If intrinsic and observational scatter contributed equally to the variance, then the intrinsic dispersion would be 1/2=70.7%1/\sqrt{2}=70.7\% of the total dispersion. Half of the elements have an intrinsic/total dispersion ratio near or below this value (Mg, O, Si, S, Cr, Fe, V, Co), and the other half have higher ratios that imply intrinsic dispersion dominating over the observational scatter. However, the observational contribution could be underestimated, and the intrinsic dispersion overestimated, if the reported measurement uncertainties are systematically low or if non-Gaussian tails of the measurement errors inflate the dispersion. As already noted, the residual distributions for many elements exhibit exponential tails, which could represent real deviations or non-Gaussian measurement errors. As an alternative estimate of dispersion, we have taken half of the 16-84% percentile range (±1σ\pm 1\sigma for a Gaussian distribution) for the observed residuals, then computed the same quantity for the simulated data and subtracted in quadrature, obtaining the open triangles in Figure 13. These alternative estimates characterize scatter in the core of the residual abundance distribution, with less sensitivity to large deviations (whether physical or observational).

For Mg, O, and Fe we estimate rms intrinsic scatter of only 0.003-0.005 dex, but given the weight of these elements in the 2-process fit a low scatter is expected. For other elements the rms intrinsic scatter ranges from 0.010.02\approx 0.01-0.02 dex (Si, Ca, C+N, Ni, Mn, Co) to 0.050.08\approx 0.05-0.08 dex (Na, K, V, Ce). The percentile-based intinsic scatter estimate is lower for all elements, with Mg, O, Si, S, Ca, C+N, Al, Cr, Fe, Ni, Mn, and Co having values 0.02\lesssim 0.02 dex and the Na, K, V, and Ce scatter reduced to 0.04-0.07 dex. Our estimates of intrinsic scatter, including the relative values of different elements, are similar to those inferred by TW21 for scatter in APOGEE abundances conditioned on [Mg/H] and [Mg/Fe]. We originally performed our analysis for the APOGEE DR16 data set, and while the relative ranking of elements was nearly the same, the total scatter and estimated intrinsic scatter were consistently higher. The lower estimates of intrinsic scatter in DR17 likely reflect improvements in the abundance analysis that reduce the number of large measurement errors.

In sum, the 2-process model predicts a star’s APOGEE abundances better than the median abundances of similar stars, demonstrating that much of the abundance scatter within the low-Ia and high-Ia populations arises from scatter in SNIa/CCSN ratios at fixed [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]. RMS residuals about 2-process predictions range from 0.01\sim 0.01 dex for the most precisely measured elements to 0.1\sim 0.1 dex for Na, V, and Ce. These dispersions exceed those expected from observational errors alone, implying intrinsic scatter at the 0.010.05\sim 0.01-0.05 dex level, depending on element.

5.4 Covariance of residuals

As emphasized by TW21, correlations are a more robust measure of residual structure in elemental abundance patterns than dispersion, because estimating the intrinsic dispersion requires accurate knowledge of the observational error distribution. The correlations also provide richer information about the sources of residual structure, which could include additional enrichment processes, stochastic sampling of the IMF, binary mass transfer, or even effects like variable depletion of refractory elements in proto-planetary disks or abundances boosted by giant planet engulfment. We compute elements of the covariance matrix of element pairs Xi, Xj as

Cij=(Δ[Xi/H])(Δ[Xj/H])C_{ij}=\langle(\Delta[{\rm X}_{i}/{\rm H}])(\Delta[{\rm X}_{j}/{\rm H}])\rangle (31)

with Δ[X/H]\Delta[{\rm X}/{\rm H}] defined as the difference between the observed abundance and the 2-process model prediction (equation 29).

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Figure 14: Bivariate distribution of 2-process residuals in [(C+N)/H] vs. [Ce/H]. Small dots show a random 10% subset of the full sample. Crosses show all sample stars that have |Δ[(C+N)/H]|>0.1|\Delta[{\rm(C+N)}/{\rm H}]|>0.1. The inset provides an expanded view of the core of the distribution, from -0.2 to 0.2 in Δ[Ce/H]\Delta[{\rm Ce}/{\rm H}] and -0.1 to 0.1 in Δ[(C+N)/H]\Delta[{\rm(C+N)}/{\rm H}]. Although residuals in the core of the distribution are anti-correlated, there is a population of rare stars with large positive deviations in (C+N) and Ce. Two examples of such stars are shown in Figure 20 below and discussed in §6.

Pairwise scatterplots of element residuals generally resemble the examples shown in Figure 10. In particular, for element pairs with significant correlation or anti-correlation, the scatterplot shows a consistent slope between the core of the distribution and the stars with large residuals. The one exception is (C+N) vs. Ce: the core of the distribution shows a clear anti-correlation of the residual abundances, but there is a population of rare outlier stars with large positive residuals in both (C+N) and Ce, as illustrated in Figure 14. We discuss this population further in §6. To avoid covariance estimates being driven by rare outliers, we eliminate stars with element deviations >10σobs>10\sigma_{\rm obs} before computing covariances involving that element. This censoring reverses the sign of the (C+N)-Ce covariance, which would be positive instead of negative if we retained the extreme outliers. It has a moderate impact on some other matrix elements involving Ce or (C+N) and minimal effect on other element pairs.

Figure 15a shows the residual abundance covariance matrix of our APOGEE sample. Diagonal elements are the squares of the rms deviations shown by the filled circles in Figure 13. This covariance matrix would look qualitatively similar if we did not remove the temperature trends discussed in §5.1, but the covariances involving pairs of elements with the strongest trends (largest values of |αT||\alpha_{T}| in Table 1) would be noticeably affected. Figure 15b shows the residual covariance if we determine AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} values from [Mg/H] and [Mg/Fe] alone, instead of fitting six elements. Here the correlations are stronger and almost all positive, except those involving Mg and Fe, which have vanishing residuals by definition. These artificial correlations span many elements because random Fe and Mg measurement errors lead to errors in AIaA_{\rm Ia} and AccA_{\rm cc} and thus to correlated deviations from the 2-process predictions, the effect that TW21 describe as “measurement aberration.” Fitting six elements mitigates this effect, though it does not entirely remove it. Figure 15c shows the covariance of the simulated data, which has no intrinsic residual correlations by construction. However, because AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} must be fit to abundances with random statistical errors, measurement aberration still produces off-diagonal covariances.

The most important conclusion from comparing the simulation covariance matrix to the data covariance matrix is that measurement aberration is much too small to explain the observed covariances. Our conclusion agrees with that of TW21, who investigated the correlation of residual abundances in the conditional probability distribution p([X/H])p([{\rm X}/{\rm H}]) at fixed [Fe/H][{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}] and [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}], using an APOGEE sample nearly identical to ours. TW21 also find that the measured residual correlations are much larger than those arising from measurement aberration. Artificial correlations could also arise from the abundance determination itself, e.g., from random errors in TeffT_{\rm eff} leading to correlated deviations in the abundances of multiple elements. TW21 examine this issue by approximately modeling the ASPCAP measurement procedure and conclude that artificial correlations from the measurement method are also much smaller than the observed correlations (see their figure 9).

To estimate the covariance matrix of intrinsic deviations from the 2-process model, we subtract the simulated covariance matrix (c) from the data covariance matrix (a). This subtraction produces little change because the CijC_{ij} elements for the simulation are generally much smaller than those of the data. The result is shown in Figure 15(d). The diagonal elements of this covariance matrix correspond to the open circles in Figure 13. As discussed in §5.3, the estimates of the intrinsic variance are sensitive to knowledge of the observational error distribution, so their magnitudes are uncertain. However, the prominent off-diagonal structures in §5.3 likely represent genuine physical correlations among abundance residuals. The most obvious of these structures are the block of correlations among the iron-peak elements Ni, V, Mn, and Co, and another block of correlations among the elements Ca, Na, Al, K, and Cr. Ce is also positively correlated with all members of this latter group except Al. There is also a noticeable positive correlation of Na with V, Mn, and Co.

Figure 16a converts this intrinsic covariance matrix to the corresponding correlation matrix,

cij=Cij/(CiiCjj)1/2,c_{ij}=C_{ij}/(C_{ii}C_{jj})^{1/2}, (32)

thus normalizing all diagonal elements to unity. This transformation depends on our estimate of the intrinsic variance, and if we used the percentile-based estimates (triangles in Figure 13) then the off-diagonal correlations would all be larger, though the structure would be similar. Relative to the covariance matrix, this conversion highlights the substantial correlations among elements that have small observational and total scatter. The intrinsic correlation matrix is similar in its main features to that found by TW21 (see their figure 10), including the previously noted correlations among the iron-peak element residuals, positive correlations among O, Si, and S, and positive correlations among Ca, Na, and Al (extending here to include K and Cr). Since conditioning on Mg and Fe has much in common with fitting the 2-process model, we would expect residual correlations to be similar, but details of our analysis are entirely different and independent, so we consider this agreement an encouraging indication that the correlations are qualitatively robust to these details. Many of these correlations are quite strong, e.g. 0.15 or larger, and would be stronger still if we used the percentile-based intrinsic variance estimate.

Figure 16b shows the correlations for the simulated data set. This shows that measurement aberration can induce substantial spurious correlations even with six-element fitting. The primary effects are a positive correlation between Mg and Fe and anti-correlations between these elements and the other fit elements (O, Si, Ca, Ni), and to a lesser degree among those elements themselves. In principle our subtraction of the simulated covariance matrix from the data covariance matrix should have removed these artificial correlations from our estimate of the intrinsic correlation matrix. However, given the uncertainties in this procedure (primarily our imperfect knowledge of the observational error distributions), the inferred correlations involving the fit elements should be treated with some caution. If we used only Mg and Fe to infer AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}, then the off-diagonal correlations for the simulated data set would be comparable in typical magnitude but nearly all positive.

In sum, the measured covariance of residual abundances is larger than expected from observational errors alone, demonstrating the existence of intrinsic physical correlations in the residual abundance patterns. The most prominent of these are correlations among Ca, Na, Al, K, Cr, and Ce and correlations among Ni, V, Mn, and Co.

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Figure 15: Covariance matrix of deviations between measured [X/H] values and 2-process model predictions. In each panel, filled and open circles denote positive and negative values, respectively, with area proportional to the magnitude of the matrix element and consistent scaling used across all panels. (a) Residual covariance for the APOGEE sample, with AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} fit using the six elements denoted in blue on the axes. The diagonal elements are the squares of the rms deviations shown by filled circles in Figure 13. For visual scaling, note that the diagonal elements (Na,Na) and (Ce,Ce) have values of about (0.09)2(0.09)^{2}, (S,S) has a value of about (0.05)2(0.05)^{2}, and (O,O) has a value of about (0.01)2(0.01)^{2}. (b) Residual covariance when AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} are fit using Mg and Fe only, which increases the artificial correlations induced by measurement aberration. (c) Residual covariance for the simulated data set in which all stars lie on the 2-process model prediction and have Gaussian observational errors at the level of the reported ASPCAP uncertainties. Off-diagonal elements arise from measurement aberration, but they are small compared to the observed covariances. (d) Intrinsic covariance estimated by subtracting (c) from (a).

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Figure 16: (a) Correlation matrix (eq. 32) corresponding to the intrinsic covariance matrix in Fig. 15d. For visual scaling, note that diagonal elements have a magnitude of 1.0 by definition, the O-S coefficient is 0.37, the Ni-Mn coefficient is 0.26, and the O-V coefficient is 0.10. (b) Correlation matrix corresponding to the simulated data covariance matrix (Fig. 15c). Off-diagonal coefficients in this matrix are caused by measurement aberration.

5.5 Correlations with age and kinematics

Figure 17 plots the amplitude ratio AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} inferred from our 2-process fits against the stellar age inferred from the APOGEE spectra by AstroNN (Leung & Bovy, 2019b; Mackereth et al., 2019), a Bayesian neural network model trained on a subset of APOGEE stars with asteroseismic ages. We use the DR17 AstroNN Value Added Catalog, which will be made available with the DR17 public release. Specifically we use the age_lowess_correct ages, which correct the raw neural network ages for biases at low and high age using a lowess smoothing regression (see Mackereth et al. 2017). We adopt the same Galactic zones shown previously in Figure 8 and again use the SN100 sample to improve coverage of the inner Galaxy. In the solar neighborhood (R=79kpcR=7-9\,{\rm kpc}, |Z|<0.5kpc|Z|<0.5\,{\rm kpc}) we compute the median age in narrow bins of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc}, and we repeat this median sequence in other panels for visual reference. We use this order of binning because AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} is measured much more precisely than age, so the median AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} in bins of age cannot be determined as reliably.

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Figure 17: Correlation of the 2-process amplitude ratio AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} with stellar age estimated from the APOGEE spectra by AstroNN, in zones of RR (columns) and |Z||Z| (rows) as labeled. Red and blue points show stars in the low-Ia and high-Ia population, respectively. In the R=79kpcR=7-9\,{\rm kpc}, |Z|<0.5kpc|Z|<0.5\,{\rm kpc} panel, black circles show the median age in bins of width 0.1 in AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc}. Black lines repeat this median sequence and are the same in all panels. To improve coverage of the inner Galaxy, this plot uses the SN100 sample.

Not surprisingly, the low-Ia stars are systematically older than the high-Ia stars. There is, furthermore, a continuous trend of age with AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} within both the low-Ia and high-Ia populations, and although these two populations are separated in [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] the age trend is continuous across them. The trend is similar in different Galactic zones, though in the high-Ia population at |Z|<1kpc|Z|<1\,{\rm kpc} the stars are systematically older in the inner Galaxy and younger in the outer Galaxy at fixed AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc}, by roughly 1-2 Gyr. The correlation of age with [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] within the high-Ia population is visible in previous studies (Martig et al., 2016; Miglio et al., 2021), though it is perhaps more obvious in this representation.

The primary spectroscopic diagnostic of age in APOGEE spectra comes from features that trace the C/N ratio (Masseron & Gilmore, 2015; Martig et al., 2016), because the surface C and N abundances are changed by dredge-up on the giant branch in a way that depends on stellar mass, and for red giants the age (slightly longer than the main sequence lifetime) is tightly correlated with mass. Although AstroNN works directly on spectra, it responds primarily to C and N features and returns large age uncertainties when these features are masked. It is therefore unlikely that it is “learning” a correlation between age and other abundance ratios from its asteroseismic training set and then applying that to other stars. However, the birth [C/N] ratio likely depends on stellar metallicity and [α\alpha/Fe] (Vincenzo et al., 2021b), and these birth abundance trends could induce systematic age errors that correlate with abundances.

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Figure 18: Correlation of the abundance residual Δ[X/H]\Delta[{\rm X}/{\rm H}] (in dex) with stellar age for eight selected elements as labeled. In the first and third columns, residuals are computed with respect to the median sequences, while in the second and fourth columns residuals are computed with respect to the 2-process model predictions. Red and blue points show stars in the low-Ia and high-Ia population, respectively. To reduce crowding, we plot only 25% of the stars.

Figure 18 plots residual abundances vs. AstroNN age. We return to using the high SNR-threshold sample to reduce observational contributions to the residual scatter, and we have selected a subset of elements that illustrate a range of behaviors. In the first and third columns, Δ[X/H]\Delta[{\rm X}/{\rm H}] is computed relative to the median sequence of the low-Ia or high-Ia population. We see a clear correlation between Δ[Fe/H]\Delta[{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}] and age in the high-Ia population and a weaker correlation in the low-Ia population. This correlation indicates that even though the scatter about the median sequence at fixed [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] is small (about 0.04 dex in [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}], see Vincenzo et al. 2021a), it is correlated with age in the expected sense, with younger stars showing greater Fe enrichment. Mn, which we infer to have the largest SNIa contribution of all APOGEE elements (Figure 7), shows a similarly strong correlation, and Na and Ce show similar correlations in the high-Ia population despite the larger scatter from observational errors. O residuals show no correlation with age, but Si and Ca residuals do, consistent with our inference of a significant SNIa contribution to these two α\alpha-elements (Figure 4). Residual correlations for C+N are weak, though there is a population of older high-Ia stars that have below-median C+N.

In the second and fourth columns, Δ[X/H]\Delta[{\rm X}/{\rm H}] is computed relative to the predictions of the 2-process model. The residual scatter is smaller for the well measured elements, as seen previously in Figures 12 and 13. The age trends seen previously for Fe, Mn, and Si are removed, and the trend for Ca is reduced though not entirely eliminated. We regard this flattening of age trends as evidence for the physical validity of the 2-process model, which is constructed with no knowledge of the stellar ages. However, residuals from the 2-process model could correlate with age if they are caused by other enrichment processes that have a different time dependence than SNIa. We see a slight correlation of C+N residual with age in the high-Ia population, though there is some risk of a systematic effect because of the central role of these elements in the age determinations.

More strikingly, we see a clear trend of Ce residuals and, to a lesser extent, Na residuals with age in the high-Ia population. Stars with Δ[Ce/Mg]>0.1\Delta[{\rm Ce}/{\rm Mg}]>0.1 have typical AstroNN ages of 2-3 Gyr, while stars with Δ[Ce/Mg]0\Delta[{\rm Ce}/{\rm Mg}]\approx 0 have typical ages of 4-6 Gyr. Within the high-Ia population, the trend continues to negative Δ[Ce/Mg]\Delta[{\rm Ce}/{\rm Mg}] and older ages, though there is no clear trend within the low-Ia population. These results are qualitatively consistent with the findings of Sales-Silva et al. (2021) that APOGEE’s [Ce/Fe] and [Ce/α\alpha] ratios for open clusters increase with decreasing cluster age over at least the past 4Gyr\sim 4\,{\rm Gyr}. Previous studies (e.g., da Silva et al. 2012; Nissen 2015; Feltzing et al. 2017) have also shown that abundances of s-process elements are well correlated with age in thin-disk stars. We have already noted (§4) that the separation of median sequences for [Na/Mg] is larger than expected based on the yield models used by Andrews et al. (2017) and Rybizki et al. (2017). The qualitative similarity of age trends for Na and Ce residuals suggests that a common source, presumably AGB stars, makes important contributions to both elements.

In future work we will directly examine trends with asteroseismic ages, instead of the spectroscopic estimates trained on them. However, the current sample is not ideally suited for this purpose because our logg{\rm log}\,g and TeffT_{\rm eff} cuts eliminate many of the APOGEE stars for which asteroseismic parameters from Kepler are available (Pinsonneault et al., 2018).

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Figure 19: Correlation of the Δ[Ca/H]\Delta[{\rm Ca}/{\rm H}] and Δ[Mn/H]\Delta[{\rm Mn}/{\rm H}] residual abundances with orbital eccentricity (left) and maximum midplane distance |Zmax||Z_{\rm max}| (right). As in Fig. 18, residuals in the the first and third columns are computed with respect to the median sequences, while those in the second and fourth columns are computed with respect to the 2-process model predictions. Red and blue points show stars in the low-Ia and high-Ia population, respectively. To reduce crowding, only 25% of the stars are plotted.

Figure 19 plots residual abundances for Ca and Mn against orbital parameters derived by AstroNN from APOGEE and Gaia data, computed using the fast method of Mackereth et al. (2018) implemented in galpy (Bovy, 2015), assuming the MWPotential2014 gravitational potential from Bovy (2015). The two left columns show residuals vs. eccentricity. Not surprisingly, low-Ia (“thick disk”) stars are more likely to have high orbital eccentricity than high-Ia stars. Within each population, there is a slight tendency for the highest eccentricity stars to have lower [Ca/H] and [Mn/H] relative to the median sequence, but this trend is weak, and it vanishes when examining residuals from the 2-process fits instead of from the median sequence. The right two columns show residuals vs. |Zmax||Z_{\rm max}|, the maximum distance a star’s orbit reaches from the midplane. Low-Ia “thick disk” stars are more likely to have high |Zmax||Z_{\rm max}|, though a number of stars in the high-Ia population have inferred |Zmax|>2kpc|Z_{\rm max}|>2\,{\rm kpc}. Trends (or lack thereof) are similar to those seen for eccentricity but somewhat more pronounced. In particular, high-Ia stars with |Zmax|<0.5kpc|Z_{\rm max}|<0.5\,{\rm kpc} tend to have higher [Ca/H] and [Mn/H] relative to the median sequences, an effect that is subtle (0.02-0.05 dex) but discernible with a large sample. The coldest “thin disk” stars tend to have higher fractions of elements with SNIa contributions, as expected from the trend of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} with age (Fig. 17) and the age-velocity relation.

As with eccentricity, shifting from median residuals to 2-process residuals removes these weak correlations. We have examined other elements and find no convincing correlations of individual 2-process residuals with kinematics or with Galactic position. As discussed in §8 below, grouping correlated elements sharpens sensitivity and reveals weak correlations that are difficult to discern in individual element plots like Figures 18 and 19. In §7 we give examples of stellar populations whose median residual abundances clearly depart from those of the main disk sample.

In sum, deviations from median sequences show weak but expected correlations with age and kinematics, with the stars that have higher SNIa/CCSN ratios within each population also having younger ages and colder kinematics. Changing to 2-process residuals removes most of these correlations, but within the high-Ia population the Ce and Na residuals show significant age correlations, with younger stars exhibiting higher abundances of both elements relative to stars with similar AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}.

6 High-χ2\chi^{2} Stars

The 2-process model fits the APOGEE abundances of most disk stars to an accuracy that is comparable to the reported observational uncertainties. However, the estimated intrinsic scatter about the 2-process predictions exceeds 0.01 dex for most elements (Figure 13), and the off-diagonal covariance of abundance residuals demonstrates the physical reality of intrinsic deviations even among stars that appear individually well described by the model (Figures 10 and 15). In this section we examine a selection of stars whose measured abundances are poorly described by the 2-process model, i.e., with high values of χ2\chi^{2}. We refer to these stars as outliers, but we note that with sufficiently precise measurements it is likely that most stars would show statistically robust deviations from the 2-process fit. Some of these outlier stars may simply be extreme examples of the same correlated deviations present in the main stellar population, offering clues to the physical drivers of these deviations. In other cases, unusual abundances may arise from rare physical processes that do not affect most stars. Yet other high-χ2\chi^{2} cases arise from measurement errors that are much larger than the reported observational uncertainty, for reasons that may be simple (e.g., a poorly deblended line) or subtle (e.g., inaccurate interpolations in a grid of synthetic spectra at an unusual location in abundance space).

High χ2\chi^{2} values can arise from single deviant measurements, which may have a variety of mundane observational causes. To preferentially select genuine physical outliers, we have used a modified χ2\chi^{2} criterion in which (a) we use the total scatter (filled circles in Figure 13) rather than the observational uncertainty, and (b) for each star, we omit the element that makes the single largest contribution to χ2\chi^{2}. This criterion thus requires at least two anomalous abundances, and it downweights the impact of elements that more frequently have observational errors much larger than the reported uncertainties. Figure 20 shows a selection of eight stars drawn from the top 2% of this modified χ2\chi^{2} distribution. We list both the original χ2\chi^{2} and the modified χ2\chi^{2} for each star. For reference, the 98%, 99%, and 99.5% highest values of the modified χ2\chi^{2} are 59.9, 97.0, and 154.7, respectively. We selected these eight stars after examining 40\sim 40 examples in the top 2%, illustrating a few of the common themes that we find within this high-χ2\chi^{2} population.

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Figure 20: Examples of stars that are poorly fit by the 2-process model, in a format similar to Fig. 9. In each panel, filled circles with error bars show the APOGEE abundance measurements and open circles show the abundances predicted by the best 2-process model fit. Each panel lists the star’s best-fit AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}, the χ2\chi^{2} of this fit, and the (usually lower) modified χ2\chi^{2} described in the text.

2M09431719-5350178 has nearly solar values of [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}], but it has low values (relative to the 2-process predictions) of Ca, Na, Al, K, and Ce, by 0.25\sim 0.25 dex for Ce and 0.1-0.2 dex for the other elements. This star individually exemplifies the pattern shown by the block of observed correlations in Figure 15d, and we find similar behavior in some other high-χ2\chi^{2} stars. These examples and the residual correlations themselves hint at a common physical source that contributes to these elements and is deficient in some stars. However, we do not have a clear physical interpretation of this pattern. We have not noticed comparably clean examples in which all of these elements are high, though Figure 23 (discussed in §8) shows two examples with high average deviations among these elements.

2M05551243+2447549 is a lower metallicity, high-Ia star ([Mg/H]=0.40[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=-0.40, [Fe/Mg]=0.01[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]=0.01) that shows a similar deficiency of Na, Al, and K but a Ce abundance that is enhanced by 0.34 dex, demonstrating that large deviations among these elements do not necessarily move in lockstep. This star also shows a large (0.36-dex) enhancement of S relative to the predicted, near-solar [S/Mg]. This star has broader lines than the synthetic spectral fit, suggesting high rotation, and it has a radial velocity spread of 40kms1\sim 40\,{\rm km}\,{\rm s}^{-1} over the 100 days that it was observed, implying a binary companion. While these properties could be connected to unusual abundances, it is also possible that high rotation is causing systematic errors in the ASPCAP abundance measurements, and in the spectroscopic logg{\rm log}\,g, which is low (by about 0.4 dex) relative to most stars of similar metallicity and TeffT_{\rm eff}.

2M19531095+4635518 is a metal-rich, high-Ia star ([Mg/H]=0.32[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0.32, [Fe/Mg]=0.01[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]=-0.01) that is an extreme outlier in both its standard χ2=5575\chi^{2}=5575 and its modified χ2=225\chi^{2}=225. This star has an extremely high C+N residual, with ASPCAP values of [C/Fe]=0.32 and [N/Fe]=1.04. The [O/Fe] from ASPCAP is 0.045, implying a C/O number ratio of 1.01 that puts this star just over the boundary into the carbon star regime, where the stellar spectral features become very different from those of typical, C/O<1{\rm C/O}<1 stars. The large deviations in Na, K, V, and Mn may be physical, but they could also be affected by the very strong blends that occur in the carbon star regime, such that any inaccuracies in the ASPCAP synthesis could lead to poor fits or incorrect abundance values.

2M16464736-4430101 displays a pattern that we have found in multiple examples of high-χ2\chi^{2} stars of solar or super-solar metallicity. Consistently in these stars, the Na abundance is far above the 2-process prediction (by 0.37 dex in this case), the C+N abundance is moderately elevated (0.10.2\sim 0.1-0.2 dex), the Al, K, and Cr abundances are moderately depressed, and the V, Mn, and Co abundances are slightly enhanced. Although this could be a distinctive class of chemically peculiar stars, we suspect that this pattern arises from an artifact of ASPCAP abundance determinations, in part because we find anomalous structures in [X/Fe]-[Fe/H] diagrams for Na, Al, and Mn that do not appear physical. We do not understand the origin of this artifact, though the elevated C+N hints that it could be related to inaccurate interpolation across the model grid near the carbon-star regime, where spectral syntheses change rapidly with stellar parameters.

2M19143234+5954000 has near-solar [Mg/H]=0.03[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=-0.03 and an [Fe/Mg]=0.26[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]=-0.26 that places it below the median of the low-Ia population at this metallicity (Figure 6). Its high χ2\chi^{2} value is driven by extremely low K and low V, and to a lesser extent by elevated Ce. Low K values and to some degree low V values are fairly common among high-χ2\chi^{2} stars, and the residual distributions for both elements (especially K) are asymmetric towards negative values (Figure 12). K and V both have weak, sometimes blended features in APOGEE spectra, so the abundances are more subject to statistical and systematic errors. Furthermore, follow-up of the low K population shows that many of them (including this star) have a heliocentric velocity of 70kms1-70\,{\rm km}\,{\rm s}^{-1} that happens to place two of APOGEE’s K lines on top of stronger telluric features. It therefore seems likely that the low K abundances are a consequence of imperfect telluric subtraction.

2M07384226+2131021 is a low metallicity,444We refer to stars with [Mg/H]<0.5[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]<-0.5 as low metallicity because they lie at the metal poor end of our sample and of disk populations in general, though of course halo populations reach to much lower metallicity. high-Ia star ([Mg/H]=0.55[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=-0.55, [Fe/Mg]=0.04[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]=-0.04) with highly elevated C+N (0.41 dex) and extremely elevated Ce (1.59 dex), as well as moderate enhancements (0.2\sim 0.2 dex) in Na and Cr. This star is a member of the old open cluster NGC 2420, and it was identified by Smith & Suntzeff (1987) as an extreme example of a “barium star” based on its strong excess abundances of s-process elements. The extreme Ce enhancement is in line with these previous findings. ASPCAP’s individual C and N abundances are [C/Fe]=0.27 and [N/Fe]=0.73. We find numerous examples of stars with large enhancements of both C+N and Ce, as discussed further below. These enhancements may arise from binary mass transfer from an AGB companion, or from internal AGB enrichment in star clusters, or both. These s-process enhanced stars are frequently referred to as barium stars at high metallicity and CH or CEMP-s stars at low metallicity (e.g., McClure 1985; Lucatello et al. 2005).

2M13264723-4734121 is a low metallicity, low-Ia star ([Mg/H]=0.65[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=-0.65, [Fe/Mg]=0.26[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]=-0.26) with 0.7-1.1 dex enhancements in C+N, Na, Al, and Ce. The ASPCAP values of [C/Fe] and [N/Fe] are -0.17 and 1.78, respectively, so the elevated C+N is driven entirely by the extreme N enhancement. This star is a member of ω\omega\,Cen, a globular cluster that is often hypothesized to be the stripped core of a dwarf galaxy because of its large internal [Fe/H][{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}] spread (e.g., Smith et al. 2000). The well established and distinctive pattern of enhanced N, Na, Al, and s-process elements is thought to be a signature of self-enrichment by the cluster’s evolved AGB stars (Smith et al., 2000; Johnson & Pilachowski, 2010; Mészáros et al., 2020, 2021). A significant number of the most extreme χ2\chi^{2} stars in our sample are members of ω\omega\,Cen, and we discuss the abundance pattern of these stars further in §7.

2M18120031-1350169 is a low metallicity star ([Mg/H]=0.55[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=-0.55) with unusual abundances for many elements. Its [Fe/Mg]=0.50[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]=-0.50 lies well below the low-Ia plateau at 0.3-0.3, so the 2-process fit assigns it a negative value of AIaA_{\rm Ia}. However, even if we set AIa=0A_{\rm Ia}=0 its abundances would depart strongly from the 2-process prediction, especially the high Al, high Ce, low Na, and unusual (0.31-dex) enhancement of Si. The C+N of of this star is only moderately (0.25 dex) above the 2-process prediction, but this enhancement is dominated by an unusual N abundance, with ASPCAP values of [C/Fe]=0.01 and [N/Fe]=0.72. Schiavon et al. (2017) and Fernández-Trincado et al. (2020c) have previously highlighted 2M18120031-1350169 as a N-rich star that is a likely escapee from a globular cluster, part of an extensive population of such stars identified in APOGEE (Schiavon et al., 2017; Fernández-Trincado et al., 2016, 2017; Fernández-Trincado et al., 2019a, 2020b, 2020c). The pattern of high N, Al, and Ce resembles that found for ω\omega\,Cen and could reflect a similar self-enrichment process. However, this star does not show Na enhancement, and the Si enhancement seen here does not appear in our ω\omega\,Cen stars (see Figure 22 below), though enhanced Si is found in a population of field stars in the inner halo (dubbed “Jurassic”; Fernández-Trincado et al. 2019b, 2020a), which may arise from tidally disrupted globular clusters. Intriguingly, Masseron et al. (2020a) identified 2M18120031-1350169 as one of 15 APOGEE stars with extreme P enhancement, finding [P/Fe]=1.65 using a custom analysis of the APOGEE spectrum (rather than the ASPCAP abundance). The unusually high [X/Fe] values for Mg, O, Si, and Al are also found in the other members of this P-rich population (see Figure 9 of Masseron et al. 2020a), and the high [Ce/Fe] accords with the enhanced s-process abundances found in follow-up optical spectroscopy by Masseron et al. (2020b). From the overall abundance patterns, Masseron et al. (2020a, b) argue that the chemical peculiarities of these stars do not originate in globular clusters or binary mass transfer, and they are a challenge to explain with existing stellar nucleosynthesis models. The source of 2M18120031-1350169’s unusual enrichment is unclear, but it is encouraging that a simple χ2\chi^{2} analysis readily turns up some of the most interesting stars found in independent studies.

Instead of selecting stars based on χ2\chi^{2} values, one can look for specific abundance anomaly patterns. For example, motivated by examples like 2M07384226+2131021, we have searched for stars that have unusual enhancements of both C+N and Ce. With high thresholds of 0.2 dex in C+N and 0.8 dex in Ce, we find 24 such stars in our disk sample, six of which are members of ω\omega\,Cen. Further investigation of several of these cases shows evidence of velocity variations among the multiple APOGEE visits, supporting the idea that some of these anomalous patterns arise in binary systems. If we lower the thresholds to 0.15 dex and 0.5 dex, the number of high-(C+N)/high-Ce stars rises to 87, and to 127 if we select from the larger SN100 sample. We have not yet carried out a systematic census to assess the frequency of likely binaries or of cluster members other than ω\omega\,Cen.

Stars with anomalous abundances of single elements may also be interesting, but these require careful individual vetting. For example, we found two stars with unusually high Ca abundances that arose because a particular combination of radial velocity and APOGEE fiber placed one of the Ca lines on previously unrecognized bad pixels in one of the APOGEE spectrograph detectors. Some other cases of anomalous abundances appear to arise from high rotation broadening weak features in a way that affects multiple elements. Others arise in stars that appear to be double-lined spectroscopic binaries. Rare outliers can diagnose unusual problems in data reduction and abundance measurements as well as physically unusual systems. As the above examples show, it is not always easy to tell one from the other. None of the eight stars in Figure 20 has obvious problems in its APOGEE spectrum, but they could nonetheless be affected by abundance measurement systematics.

Refer to caption

Figure 21: Properties of the 689 stars with modified χ2\chi^{2} values in the top 2% of the cumulative distribution. In all panels, red points represent stars with [Mg/H]<0.5[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]<-0.5, blue points represent stars with [Mg/H]>0.2[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]>0.2, and black points represent stars with intermediate [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]. For context, the upper left panel shows the logg-TeffT_{\rm eff} distribution for a sample of 5000 stars that satisfy the selection criteria for our main disk sample but span a wider range of logg{\rm log}\,g and TeffT_{\rm eff}. The cyan box indicates our sample selection. The upper right panel shows logg{\rm log}\,g vs. TeffT_{\rm eff} for the high-χ2\chi^{2} stars, with the background sample represented by green dots. The lower panels plot the AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} ratio against AccA_{\rm cc} (left) and orbital eccentricity (right), with green dots showing a random 10% of the full disk sample.

Figure 21 presents a more global view of the high-χ2\chi^{2} stars, selected as the sample members with modified χ2\chi^{2} values in the highest 2%, showing their distributions in logg{\rm log}\,g vs. TeffT_{\rm eff}, AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} vs. AccA_{\rm cc}, and AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} vs. orbital eccentricity (taken from the DR17 AstroNN catalog). The high-χ2\chi^{2} stars span the sample’s entire range in these parameters, but they do not follow the same distribution as the background stars (green dots, a random subset of our full sample). The high-χ2\chi^{2} stars are preferentially low metallicity, which is physically plausible because it is easier to perturb abundances (e.g., with mass transfer) if they are low to begin with, but which could also be a sign of measurement errors when features are weak. In the logg{\rm log}\,g-TeffT_{\rm eff} diagram, most of the high-χ2\chi^{2} stars have low logg{\rm log}\,g for their TeffT_{\rm eff}, which is an expected consequence of their preferentially low metallicity. However, the low metallicity stars that have high logg{\rm log}\,g are likely to be cases where anomalous abundance patterns are affecting the spectroscopic logg{\rm log}\,g estimates or where unusual properties of the spectrum (e.g., broad lines from high rotation) are producing erroneous values of logg{\rm log}\,g and perhaps of the abundances as well. We find high-χ2\chi^{2} stars throughout the thin and thick disk populations, and they are clearly overrepresented among the high eccentricity, high-Ia population that likely corresponds to accreted halo stars. We return to this point in subsequent sections.

The literature on chemically peculiar stars is voluminous and rich. The examples in Figure 20 illustrate the possibilities for pursuing such studies with 2-process residual abundances. For our high-SNR disk star sample, the top 2% of the χ2\chi^{2} distribution already corresponds to nearly 700 stars, so exploiting this approach will be a substantial research effort in its own right. While there are many ways to find chemically anomalous stars, 2-process residuals have the virtue of automatically relating a star’s abundances to values that are typical for its metallicity and [α\alpha/Fe]. This normalization makes it easier to identify stars that have moderate deviations across multiple elements but no single extreme values, such as the first example in Figure 20. Using machine learning techniques to pick out stars whose abundance patterns have low conditional probability given their values of [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}] is another potentially powerful approach to this problem, well suited to take advantage of large homogeneous data sets like APOGEE (TW21).

7 Residual abundances of selected stellar populations

One goal of 2-process modeling is to assist the identification of chemically distinctive stellar populations, generically referred to as chemical tagging. Describing a star’s NN elemental abundance measurements with two parameters and N2N-2 residuals does not create new information, but it may improve the effectiveness of tagging algorithms by extracting two dimensions that vary widely in the disk, bulge, and halo populations and that shift many abundances in a strongly correlated, non-linear way. The 2-process+residual decomposition also prevents one from multi-counting abundance deviations that all reflect the same underlying changes in the bulk levels of a star’s CCSN and SNIa enrichment. We plan to pursue chemical tagging with residual abundances in future work. Here we illustrate prospects with the simpler but related exercise of examining residual abundances of selected stellar populations.

Refer to caption

Figure 22: Median deviations from the best-fit 2-process model for stars in selected populations. Left panels show the location of the population in [Fe/Mg] vs. [Mg/H], with median low-Ia (red) and high-Ia (blue) sequences for the full sample shown for reference. Points with error bars in the right panels show the median deviation and the 1σ1\sigma uncertainty in the median computed from 1000 bootstrap resamplings of the population. (Top) Disk stars with [Mg/H]<0.5[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]<-0.5 and eccentricity greater than 0.5, with [Fe/Mg]>0.18[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]>-0.18 (black) or [Fe/Mg]<0.18[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]<-0.18 (red). (Second row) Disk stars in the outer Galaxy, with 15R17kpc15\leq R\leq 17\,{\rm kpc} and |Z|2kpc|Z|\leq 2\,{\rm kpc} (black) or 15R17kpc15\leq R\leq 17\,{\rm kpc} and Z=26kpcZ=2-6\,{\rm kpc} (red). (Third row) Stars that are probable members of the ω\omega\,Cen cluster based on angular position and radial velocity. (Fourth row) Stars that are probable members of the LMC. (Fifth row) Stars that have unusually low (black) or high (red) values of [Mg/Fe]. For all populations, we adopt an SNR cut of 100 and impose our usual logg{\rm log}\,g and TeffT_{\rm eff} cuts, except that we retain the standard SNR cut for the fifth row. Note that different panels have different vertical ranges.

Figure 21, and Figure 25 below, suggest that the high eccentricity population may have distinctive abundances, particularly those high eccentricity stars that lie significantly above the [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] plateau. This high-Ia (low-α\alpha), high eccentricity population was identified by Nissen & Schuster (2010) as the likely remnant of a disrupted dwarf galaxy. Evidence for a dynamically distinct population became much stronger with Gaia data, and the accreted population is now identified as the remnant of the relatively massive “Gaia Sausage/Enceladus” (GSE) dwarf galaxy that merged early in the Milky Way’s history (Belokurov et al., 2018; Helmi et al., 2018). In the top right panel of Figure 22, black points show the median residual abundances of the 45 stars in our SN100 disk sample that have orbital eccentricity e>0.5e>0.5, [Mg/H]<0.5[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]<-0.5, and [Fe/Mg]>0.18[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]>-0.18. We estimate uncertainties in these medians as the dispersion of medians of 1000 bootstrap resamplings, i.e., for each resampling we choose 45 stars from the sample with replacement and compute the median, then take the standard deviation of these medians as the representative error bar. The median abundances of C+N, Na, Al, Ni, V, Mn, and Co are all depressed by 0.05-0.12 dex relative to other disk stars with matched values of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc}. The median Ca abundance is elevated by a small but statistically significant 0.03 dex. By contrast, the median residual abundances for the high-eccentricity low-Ia stars ([Fe/Mg]<0.18[{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}]<-0.18) are statistically compatible with zero (red points). GSE stars are chemically distinct from other high-eccentricity stars in their [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] ratios, and they are distinct from disk stars with similar metallicity and [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] in their abundances of multiple odd-ZZ elements. The distinctive abundances of these stars may contribute to the drop of median [X/Mg] ratios in the lowest [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] bin of the high-Ia population, seen in Figures 5-7 for C+N, Na, Al, Ni, Mn, and Co.

The second row shows stars with R=1517kpcR=15-17\,{\rm kpc} and |Z|<2kpc|Z|<2\,{\rm kpc} satisfying our usual logg{\rm log}\,g, TeffT_{\rm eff}, and [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] cuts (§3) and SNR100{\rm SNR}\geq 100. The 2-process model is “trained” using stars with R=313kpcR=3-13\,{\rm kpc}, so none of the stars at R=1517kpcR=15-17\,{\rm kpc} contributed to calibrating the process vectors qccX(z)q^{X}_{\rm cc}(z) and qIaX(z)q^{X}_{\rm Ia}(z). Nonetheless, the median residual abundances of all elements in this population are within 0.02 dex (and mostly within 0.01 dex) of zero. Despite their presence in the outer reaches of the stellar disk, these stars have APOGEE abundances very close to those of low metallicity, high-Ia stars in the rest of the disk. This similarity could indicate that these stars were born at smaller RR and migrated outward, or it could simply indicate that their enrichment history was similar despite their distinctive location. The outer disk is warped, with substantially more stars in the anti-center direction at these radii residing at large positive ZZ than at large negative ZZ. Red points show stars in the same radial range with Z=26kpcZ=2-6\,{\rm kpc}. This population also has median abundances within 0.02 dex of the main disk population, except for Ce which is depressed by 0.05 dex. At larger RR (1830kpc\approx 18-30\,{\rm kpc}), Hayes et al. (2018) have found that stars in the “Triangulum-Andromeda” overdensity (Majewski et al., 2004; Rocha-Pinto et al., 2004; Sheffield et al., 2014) also have APOGEE abundance ratios similar to those of normal Milky Way disk stars.

One of the most dramatic abundance outliers in Figure 20 is a member of ω\omega\,Cen, and we first noticed ω\omega\,Cen as a distinctive population in our analysis because many of the extreme high-χ2\chi^{2} stars at low metallicity had similar sky coordinates. In the third row of Figure 22 we have selected all stars in the SN100 disk sample that have angular coordinates within 11^{\circ} of the cluster center at RA=201.7{\rm RA}=201.7^{\circ}, δ=47.48\delta=-47.48^{\circ} and heliocentric velocity v>200kms1v>200\,{\rm km}\,{\rm s}^{-1}. The 14 stars selected have a mean v=234kms1v=234\,{\rm km}\,{\rm s}^{-1} with a dispersion of 10kms110\,{\rm km}\,{\rm s}^{-1}, while other sample stars that satisfy the angular selection have heliocentric velocities of 92kms1-92\,{\rm km}\,{\rm s}^{-1} to +108kms1+108\,{\rm km}\,{\rm s}^{-1}. The ω\omega\,Cen stars have [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] values ranging from our sample cutoff of 0.75-0.75 up to 0.2-0.2. Like the star shown in Figure 20, their median residual abundances of C+N and Ce are extremely elevated (by 0.9-1 dex), and their median Na and Al residuals are +0.4 dex. Ca, K, Ni, and Co all show median deviations at the 0.1-0.2 dex level. Many of these stars have [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] below the plateau value of 0.3-0.3, so they are assigned (unphysical) negative values of AIaA_{\rm Ia}. The negative median deviations of most iron-peak elements may be a consequence of the 2-process predictions extrapolating poorly to this regime. Three of the ω\omega\,Cen stars have [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] near the median sequence of the low-Ia disk population. Like the other ω\omega\,Cen members, these three stars all have extremely elevated (0.7-1.1 dex) C+N, Na, Al, and Ce, positive Ca residuals (0.1-0.2 dex) and negative Ni residuals (0.05-0.25 dex). Mészáros et al. (2021) present an APOGEE analysis of a much larger sample (982 stars) of ω\omega\,Cen members, identifying multiple sub-populations in the (Fe,Al,Mg) distribution and examining abundance ratio trends in detail (see also Johnson & Pilachowski 2010).

In the fourth row we show residual abundances for stars identified as probable members of the LMC by Hasselquist et al. (2021), drawn from several different APOGEE programs targeting LMC stars (Nidever et al. 2020; Santana et al. 2021). For this sample we drop our geometrical cuts, but we do apply the same cuts in logg{\rm log}\,g, TeffT_{\rm eff}, [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}], and SNR to ensure a fair comparison to stars in our disk sample. We caution that of the 10655 LMC candidates in our original sample only 207 pass our logg{\rm log}\,g and [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] cuts. Most stars are lower logg{\rm log}\,g because they must be luminous in order for APOGEE to obtain high SNR spectra at the distances of the LMC. It is possible that stars passing our cut are on the tail of the logg{\rm log}\,g error distribution and have systematic abundance errors as a result.

Taking the measurements at face value, we note first that the 2-process model trained on Milky Way disk stars predicts the median LMC abundances of many APOGEE elements to 0.1 dex or better, which is an impressive degree of similarity given the radically different star formation environments and enrichment histories. However, several elements show median depressions of 0.15-0.2 dex (Na, Al, Ni, V, Co), and C+N and Mn show median depressions of 0.07 and 0.11 dex, respectively. The largest deviation is a 0.22-dex enhancement of Ce, and S and Ca show median enhancements of 0.10 and 0.06 dex. Similar deviations are found by Hasselquist et al. (2021) comparing the median [X/Mg] ratios of the LMC to values for the high-Ia Milky Way disk in the overlapping metallicity range. The [α/Fe][Fe/H][\alpha/{\rm Fe}]-[{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}] tracks of the LMC imply a low star formation efficiency at early times, and an upward turn in [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] at high [Fe/H][{\rm Fe}/{\rm H}] suggests a substantial increase of star formation 24Gyr\sim 2-4\,{\rm Gyr} in the past (Nidever et al. 2020; Hasselquist et al. 2021), in qualitative agreement with photometric studies (Harris & Zaritsky, 2009; Weisz et al., 2013; Nidever et al., 2021). The different enrichment history of the LMC has left its imprint on the relative abundances of Ce, Ni, and multiple odd-ZZ elements in addition to the [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] ratios.

Comparison of disk and LMC abundances can be improved by selecting a disk sample with the same logg{\rm log}\,g distribution as the LMC sample, as for the disk-bulge comparison by Griffith et al. (2021a). This approach can also be applied to APOGEE observations of the Sgr dwarf and tidal stream (Hayes et al., 2020), and with lower metallicity samples it can be used to compare the Milky Way disk and halo to other dwarf satellites observed by APOGEE (Hasselquist et al. 2021) and to compare the satellites among themselves. Interpretation of these results would be aided by chemical evolution models that predict relative enrichment patterns for AGB elements and elements with metallicity-dependent yields in different regimes of star formation efficiency and star formation history.

All of the above populations are selected based on geometric and kinematic criteria. The final row of Figure 22 shows residual abundances for stars in our main disk sample selected to have unusually high or low values of [Mg/Fe], roughly 200/34,4100.6%200/34,410\approx 0.6\% of the sample in each case (see Figure 1 for reference). Red points show stars that lie at least 0.03 dex above our adopted plateau value of [Mg/Fe]pl=0.30[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]_{\rm pl}=0.30. The other elements that enter the 2-process fit (O, Si, Ca, Ni) have median deviations below 0.02 dex, so this population does not seem to arise from unusual values of Mg or Fe in isolation. The median residual [Mg/Fe] is 0.008, significantly smaller than the >0.03>0.03-dex offset from [Mg/Fe]pl[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]_{\rm pl}. The 2-process model assigns negative (unphysical) values of AIaA_{\rm Ia} to these stars, and the 0.03\sim 0.03-dex median residuals for many of the elements with large qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} (0.08 dex for Ce) may be a consequence of extrapolating the model to this extreme regime. K shows an intriguing 0.04-0.04-dex median residual even though it has qIaX0q^{X}_{\rm Ia}\approx 0. A plausible scenario is that the enrichment of these rare high-[Mg/Fe] disk stars is dominated by CCSN that have moderately lower Fe and Ni yields relative to α\alpha elements, perhaps just from stochastic sampling of the IMF. As previously noted, many ω\omega\,Cen stars have high [Mg/Fe], but the high-[Mg/Fe] population as a whole does not show the extreme residual abundances of the ω\omega\,Cen population. The AstroNN parameters for these stars indicate preferentially old ages and a wide range of eccentricities, as one would expect from their high [α\alpha/Fe] ratios, but they exhibit no obvious clumping in RR and ZZ.

The stars with [Mg/Fe]<0.08[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]<-0.08 (black points) do show distinctive abundances, most notably for Na (0.17 dex) and Ce (0.11 dex). The small residuals for O, Si, Ca, and Ni again implies that this population is not produced by poor Mg or Fe measurements or by isolated variations of these two elements. These stars have a mean AstroNN age of only 2.7Gyr2.7\,{\rm Gyr}, as expected based on Figure 17 and their high values of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc}. The elevated Na and Ce residuals of this population are thus another facet of the correlation of these residuals with age, seen previously in Figure 18. However, S and C+N residuals do not show strong correlations with age but nonetheless exhibit 0.04\sim 0.04-dex enhancements in this low-[Mg/Fe] population. If we consider the far more numerous (8000\sim 8000) stars with 0.05[Mg/Fe]<0.0-0.05\leq[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]<0.0, the median residuals of Na and Ce are only 0.014 dex and 0.020 dex, respectively, and median residuals of all other elements are smaller than 0.01 dex. Thus, the very low [Mg/Fe] stars do appear to be a distinct population, in both age and abundance patterns. These stars are preferentially low eccentricity and close to the Galactic plane, as expected for a young population, but they also do not exhibit obvious clumping in RR and ZZ.

8 Beyond two processes

The covariance of residuals demonstrated in Figure 15 (and by TW21) implies that we should do more than simply look at residuals element-by-element. Theoretically, we would like to describe stellar abundances in terms of all of the astrophysical processes that contribute significantly to their origin. Empirically, we can describe star-by-star variations in terms of components that vary multiple elements in concert. The latter approach is similar in spirit to applying principal component analysis to stellar abundances (Andrews et al., 2012; Ting et al., 2012; Andrews et al., 2017), but focusing on residuals allows us to first remove the CCSN and SNIa processes that we know make dominant contributions to most APOGEE elements. Both approaches are connected to the underlying question of the dimensionality of the stellar distribution in chemical abundance space: if we have measurements of MM abundances for every star, how well can the full distribution (not just the mean trends) of those abundances in MM-dimensional space be approximated by a 1-dimensional curve, a 2-dimensional surface, a 3-dimensional hypersurface, etc.? (For related discussion see §5.1 of TW21.) In this section we first discuss the generalization of the 2-process model to additional processes (§8.1) and the relation between process fluctuations and residual correlations (§8.2). We then turn to an empirical approach of fitting correlated residual components (§8.3) and look for correlations of those components with age and kinematics (§8.4).

8.1 An N-process model of abundances

As a mathematical exercise, it is trivial to generalize the 2-process model of §2 to μ=1,,N\mu=1,...,N processes. The abundance of element Xj{\rm X}_{j} in a star is given by

xj(Xj/H)(Xj/H)=μ=1NAμqμ,j.x_{j}\equiv{\left({\rm X}_{j}/{\rm H}\right)\phantom{{}_{\odot}}\over\left({\rm X}_{j}/{\rm H}\right)_{\odot}}=\sum_{\mu=1}^{N}A_{\mu}q_{\mu,j}~. (33)

We use greek subscripts to denote processes and latin subscripts to denote elements, and for compactness we have omitted the zz-dependence of qμ,jq_{\mu,j} and have not introduced a separate index to denote the star. As with the 2-process model, the process vectors qμ,jq_{\mu,j} are taken to be universal at a given metallicity across all stars in the population, while the amplitudes AμA_{\mu} vary from star-to-star and are defined to be Aμ=1A_{\mu}=1 for a star with solar abundances. The generalizations of equations (19,20,6,8) are:

[Xj/H]\displaystyle[{\rm X}_{j}/{\rm H}] =\displaystyle= log10(Aμqμ,j),\displaystyle\log_{10}\left({\sum A_{\mu}q_{\mu,j}}\right)~, (34)
[Xj/Mg]\displaystyle[{\rm X}_{j}/{\rm Mg}] =\displaystyle= log10(Aμqμ,jAcc),\displaystyle\log_{10}\left({{\sum A_{\mu}q_{\mu,j}}\over A_{\rm cc}}\right)~, (35)
fccXj\displaystyle f^{X_{j}}_{\rm cc} =\displaystyle= Accqcc,jAμqμ,j,\displaystyle{A_{\rm cc}q_{{\rm cc},j}\over\sum A_{\mu}q_{\mu,j}}~, (36)
fcc,Xj\displaystyle f^{X_{j}}_{{\rm cc},\odot} =\displaystyle= qcc,j(z=1)qμ,j(z=1),\displaystyle{q_{{\rm cc},j}(z=1)\over\sum q_{\mu,j}(z=1)}~, (37)

where all sums are over μ=1,N\mu=1,...N.

In our discussion below we will take μ=1\mu=1 to represent CCSN and μ=2\mu=2 to represent SNIa. The obvious choice for μ=3\mu=3 is AGB enrichment, while larger μ\mu could represent rarer processes that are important for some elements, such as neutron star mergers, magnetar winds, etc. However, we caution that partitioning enrichment channels into a moderate number of discrete processes is an approximate exercise, and a characterization that is adequate for one stellar abundance sample may become inadequate for a sample with higher measurement precision or a different range of stellar populations. For example, at one level of precision it may be fine to treat CCSN enrichment as a single IMF-averaged process, while at higher precision or for a metal-poor stellar population one may need to consider stochastic variations in IMF sampling. The mass dependence of AGB yields is different for different elements, and because the lifetimes of stars depend strongly on mass it may not be adequate to describe AGB enrichment in terms of a single IMF-averaged process. For any source (CCSN, SNIa, AGB, etc.), the relative production of elements that have very different metallicity dependence will change to some degree with the enrichment history of the stellar population.

Despite these caveats, an N-process description offers a powerful way to isolate two largely distinct aspects of Galactic chemical evolution (GCE) models: nucleosynthetic yields and enrichment history. While the enrichment history — which is itself affected by accretion, star formation, and gas flows — can strongly affect metallicity distribution functions, it has much more restricted impact on element ratios. In the N-process language, the enrichment history determines the joint distribution of process amplitudes p({Aμ})p(\{A_{\mu}\}) and its trends with age and kinematics, but the nucleosynthetic yields determine the process vectors qμ,jq_{\mu,j} with little dependence on enrichment history. For 2-process modeling with APOGEE data, we have the advantage that some elements (O, Mg) are expected to arise almost entirely from CCSN and that Fe and Ni provide well measured diagnostics of SNIa enrichment. To characterize a third process, we would like one or more well measured elements that have minimal contributions from SNIa to serve as markers of this process. There are no ideal candidates in current APOGEE data, though Ce is a possibility, and if C and N could be individually corrected to birth abundance values then they might provide a further foothold for quantifying AGB enrichment. With GALAH data or joint APOGEE-GALAH data sets (Nandakumar et al., 2020), neutron capture elements such as Ba, Y, and Eu may provide valuable diagnostics of additional processes.

8.2 Process fluctuations and residual correlations

The N-process model provides a conceptual language for thinking about residual abundance correlations like those shown in Figs. 15 and 16. First, we adjust equation (33) to allow “intrinsic noise” in individual abundances that is not described by the N-process model,

xj=μ=1NAμqμ,j+ηjxj,x_{j}=\sum_{\mu=1}^{N}A_{\mu}q_{\mu,j}+\eta_{j}x_{j}~, (38)

where ηj2\langle\eta_{j}^{2}\rangle would be the fractional variance of the residual abundance of element Xj{\rm X}_{j} if we knew each star’s AμA_{\mu} exactly, and we assume ηj=0\langle\eta_{j}\rangle=0 and ηjηk=0\langle\eta_{j}\eta_{k}\rangle=0 for jkj\neq k. If the model includes all processes that are important for the production of element Xj{\rm X}_{j} then we expect ηj21\langle\eta_{j}^{2}\rangle\ll 1. The 2-process fit is applied to elements that we expect to be dominated by μ=1\mu=1, 2 (CCSN and SNIa). At given values of A1A_{1}, A2A_{2}, the stellar population has mean values of the process amplitudes A¯μ\bar{A}_{\mu} for μ>2\mu>2. The mean abundances in the population are

x¯j(A1,A2)=A1q1,j+A2q2,j+μ>2A¯μqμ,j.\bar{x}_{j}(A_{1},A_{2})=A_{1}q_{1,j}+A_{2}q_{2,j}+\sum_{\mu>2}\bar{A}_{\mu}q_{\mu,j}~. (39)

To predict the correlations of observed abundance residuals, we must allow for the fact that we do not know each star’s true values of A1A_{1} and A2A_{2} but instead have estimates of these quantities, which we denote by A^1\hat{A}_{1} and A^2\hat{A}_{2}. Our abundance measurements are also affected by observational noise

x^j=xj+ϵjxj,\hat{x}_{j}=x_{j}+\epsilon_{j}x_{j}~, (40)

where ϵj2\langle\epsilon_{j}^{2}\rangle is the fractional variance of the measurement errors. The residual abundances for a given star are

Δxj=x^jx¯j(A^1,A^2).\Delta x_{j}=\hat{x}_{j}-\bar{x}_{j}(\hat{A}_{1},\hat{A}_{2})~. (41)

To approximate these residuals we introduce

δA1A^1A1,δA2A^2A2\delta A_{1}\equiv\hat{A}_{1}-A_{1},\qquad\delta A_{2}\equiv\hat{A}_{2}-A_{2} (42)

and

ΔAμAμA¯μ(A1,A2),μ>2,\Delta A_{\mu}\equiv A_{\mu}-\bar{A}_{\mu}(A_{1},A_{2}),\qquad\mu>2~, (43)

using δ,Δ\delta,\Delta to represent observational and intrinsic differences, respectively. We make the first-order Taylor expansion

A¯μ(A^1,A^2)A¯μ(A1,A2)+A¯μA1δA1+A¯μA2δA2.\bar{A}_{\mu}(\hat{A}_{1},\hat{A}_{2})\approx\bar{A}_{\mu}(A_{1},A_{2})+{\partial\bar{A}_{\mu}\over\partial A_{1}}\delta A_{1}+{\partial\bar{A}_{\mu}\over\partial A_{2}}\delta A_{2}~. (44)

Writing

x¯j(A^1,A^2)=A^1q1,j+A^2q2,j+μ>2A¯μ(A^1,A^2)qμ,j\bar{x}_{j}(\hat{A}_{1},\hat{A}_{2})=\hat{A}_{1}q_{1,j}+\hat{A}_{2}q_{2,j}+\sum_{\mu>2}\bar{A}_{\mu}(\hat{A}_{1},\hat{A}_{2})q_{\mu,j} (45)

and

x^j=A1q1,j+A2q2,j+μ>2Aμqμ,j+ηjxj+ϵjxj\hat{x}_{j}=A_{1}q_{1,j}+A_{2}q_{2,j}+\sum_{\mu>2}A_{\mu}q_{\mu,j}+\eta_{j}x_{j}+\epsilon_{j}x_{j} (46)

and applying equations (42-46) to equation (41) yields, after some manipulation,

Δxj\displaystyle\Delta x_{j} =\displaystyle= (ηj+ϵj)xj+μ>2ΔAμqμ,j\displaystyle(\eta_{j}+\epsilon_{j})x_{j}+\sum_{\mu>2}\Delta A_{\mu}q_{\mu,j} (47)
+δA1q1,j+δA2q2,j\displaystyle+\,\delta A_{1}q_{1,j}+\delta A_{2}q_{2,j}
δA1(μ>2A¯μA1qμ,j)δA2(μ>2A¯μA2qμ,j).\displaystyle-\,\delta A_{1}\left(\sum_{\mu>2}{\partial\bar{A}_{\mu}\over\partial A_{1}}q_{\mu,j}\right)-\delta A_{2}\left(\sum_{\mu>2}{\partial\bar{A}_{\mu}\over\partial A_{2}}q_{\mu,j}\right)~.

The first term represents the sum of “intrinsic noise” and observational noise. The second term is the most physically interesting, showing the impact of random fluctuations in additional processes beyond CCSN and SNIa. The last four terms represent the “measurement aberration” discussed by TW21 and in §5.4 above.

To obtain an expression for covariance that is tractable enough to be conceptually useful, we ignore the last two terms of equation (47), and we assume that δA1δA2=0\langle\delta A_{1}\delta A_{2}\rangle=0, that δAμΔAν=0\langle\delta A_{\mu}\Delta A_{\nu}\rangle=0, and that ΔAμΔAν=0\langle\Delta A_{\mu}\Delta A_{\nu}\rangle=0 for μν\mu\neq\nu. It is not clear that any of these approximations is accurate in a realistic case, but the resulting expression does illuminate several of the effects that influence the covariance of residuals:

ΔxjΔxk\displaystyle\langle\Delta x_{j}\Delta x_{k}\rangle \displaystyle\approx ηj2+ϵj2xj2δjkKron\displaystyle\langle\eta_{j}^{2}+\epsilon_{j}^{2}\rangle x_{j}^{2}\delta^{\rm Kron}_{jk} (48)
+μ>2(ΔAμ)2qμ,jqμ,k\displaystyle+\sum_{\mu>2}\langle(\Delta A_{\mu})^{2}\rangle q_{\mu,j}q_{\mu,k}
+(δA1)2q1,j2+(δA2)2q2,j2.\displaystyle+\langle(\delta A_{1})^{2}\rangle q_{1,j}^{2}+\langle(\delta A_{2})^{2}\rangle q_{2,j}^{2}~.

If measurement aberration is small enough to be neglected, then off-diagonal covariances all arise from the second term. These off-diagonal covariances can be small either because the variation in process amplitudes at fixed (A1,A2)(A_{1},A_{2}) is small, so that (ΔAμ)21\langle(\Delta A_{\mu})^{2}\rangle\ll 1, or because the μ>2\mu>2 processes make small contributions to the abundances of elements xjx_{j} or xkx_{k}, so that qμ,jqμ,k1q_{\mu,j}q_{\mu,k}\ll 1. Covariances alone offer no way to distinguish these two cases. However, if the second term dominates over the other three, then the off-diagonal correlation will be large for elements that come largely from a single μ>2\mu>2 process, even if the covariance is small because (ΔAμ)21\langle(\Delta A_{\mu})^{2}\rangle\ll 1.

As a concrete example of this point, consider a pair of elements whose production is dominated by AGB stars. Because AGB enrichment is delayed in time like SNIa, we expect AAGBA_{\rm AGB} to increase with both A1A_{1} and A2A_{2}, and at solar abundances we expect AAGB1A_{\rm AGB}\approx 1. Even if the variance of AAGBA_{\rm AGB} is small, it is responsible for most of the variation in the two elements, so the correlation coefficient ΔxjΔxk/(Δxj)2(Δxk)2\langle\Delta x_{j}\Delta x_{k}\rangle/\sqrt{\langle(\Delta x_{j})^{2}\rangle\langle(\Delta x_{k})^{2}\rangle} will be near unity even though ΔxjΔxk\langle\Delta x_{j}\Delta x_{k}\rangle itself is small. In fact the correlation coefficient can be large even if the elements themselves have large contributions from CCSN and SNIa, because the variation at fixed (A1,A2)(A_{1},A_{2}) still comes from other processes. However, in this case it is more challenging to distinguish the true correlations caused by additional processes from the artificial correlations induced by measurement aberration (non-zero δA1\delta A_{1} and δA2\delta A_{2}).

In light of this discussion, the large correlation coefficients seen in Figure 16 or in Figure 8 of TW21 are not surprising. Even when element abundances are predicted to high accuracy by a 2-parameter model, or by conditioning on two elements, the intrinsic correlations of the residual abundances will be high if they are dominated by a small number of additional processes.

An interesting feature of equation (48) is that it generates only positive correlations if the qμ,jq_{\mu,j} are positive. Anti-correlations can arise if the process amplitudes themselves are anti-correlated, ΔAμΔAν<0\langle\Delta A_{\mu}\Delta A_{\nu}\rangle<0, a possibility that (for simplicity) we did not allow in deriving equation (48). They could also arise from processes that deplete some elements (negative qμ,jq_{\mu,j}) but produce others, which could happen in unusual circumstances. Measurement aberration may easily lead to δA1δA2<0\langle\delta A_{1}\delta A_{2}\rangle<0, since one is fitting parameters to abundances that have contributions from both processes. The largest anti-correlations in Figure 16 involve elements that contribute to the (A1,A2)(A_{1},A_{2}) fit, and similar features appear in the simulated data, which suggests that these anti-correlations are dominated by measurement aberration. If intrinsic anti-correlations can be well established empirically then they could be quite physically informative, since they are not easy to produce.

8.3 Fitting additional components

While we would ideally like to infer values of qμ,jq_{\mu,j} for additional processes from the 2-process residuals, then fit to obtain values of AμA_{\mu} for individual stars as we did for AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}, it is not clear that there is any practical way to do this without theoretical priors on what elements to assign to what processes. For the current APOGEE data, the challenge is exacerbated by the fact that the residuals from the 2-process predictions are usually not much larger than the estimated observational noise, and the observational error distribution is itself uncertain. Correlation of residuals can be measured at high significance in a large sample, but the residual abundances of individual stars are mostly measured at low or moderate significance. In future work, we will use chemical evolution simulations that incorporate multiple enrichment channels and stochastic variations to guide strategies for isolating additional processes from observed abundance distributions.

Refer to caption

Figure 23: Examples of 4-process fits to element abundance ratios, in a format similar to Fig. 9. In each panel, filled circles with error bars show the APOGEE abundance measurements and open circles show the abundances predicted by the best 2-process model fit. Red triangles show the abundances predicted after fitting a component of amplitude D3D_{3} to the residual abundances of Ca, Na, Al, Cr, and Ce. Blue triangles show the predicted abundances after fitting a component of amplitude D4D_{4} to the residual abundances of Ni, V, Mn, and Co. The change in an element’s predicted abundance in dex is the product of DμD_{\mu} with the corresponding value of rμ,jr_{\mu,j} in Table 2 or 3. Each panel lists the χ2\chi^{2} values for the 2-process and 4-process fits. The first two stars have unusually low values of D3D_{3}; the next two have unusually high values of D3D_{3}; the next two have unusually low and high values of D4D_{4}; and the final two have unusually low values of both D3D_{3} and D4D_{4}.

For a data-driven approach, the most obvious tack is to apply principal component analysis (PCA) to our estimate of the intrinsic covariance matrix of residual abundances in Figure 15d. The new components would be the eigenvectors of this matrix that have the largest eigenvalues and thus explain the largest fraction of the variance. However, there is no reason to expect the physical enrichment processes to produce orthogonal components in abundance space, so even if the intrinsic covariance matrix were perfectly known the eigenvectors would represent mixtures of the physical processes. We have also found that the results of PCA are sensitive to minor details of how we treat the data and measure the covariance, making physical interpretation difficult. For now we adopt a simpler approach that is loosely motivated by the discussion in §8.2.

We pick a subset of elements that show significant correlations and that we suspect on physical grounds should be treated as a group. For each group, we have a covariance matrix of residual abundances Cjk=ΔjΔkC_{jk}=\langle\Delta_{j}\Delta_{k}\rangle. Suppose that the residuals within this element group arise from a single process μ\mu plus uncorrelated “noise” that may include both observational noise and intrinsic element-by-element scatter:

Δj,=Dμ,rμ,j+ϵj,.\Delta_{j,*}=D_{\mu,*}r_{\mu,j}+\epsilon_{j,*}~. (49)

In contrast to our notation in §8.2, Δj,\Delta_{j,*}, ϵj,\epsilon_{j,*}, and rμ,jr_{\mu,j} are all in dex, and we use DμD_{\mu} in place of AμA_{\mu} because it represents a deviation from the mean amplitude A¯μ(Acc,AIa)\bar{A}_{\mu}(A_{\rm cc},A_{\rm Ia}) rather than an amplitude that is defined to be unity at solar abundances.

Under these assumptions, the predicted covariance matrix of these elements is

Cjk,pred=Dμ2rμ,jrμ,k+sj2δjkKron,C_{jk,{\rm pred}}=\langle D_{\mu}^{2}\rangle r_{\mu,j}r_{\mu,k}+s_{j}^{2}\delta^{\rm Kron}_{jk}~, (50)

where sj2=ϵj2s_{j}^{2}=\langle\epsilon_{j}^{2}\rangle represents the variance in the residual abundance Δj\Delta_{j} that is not explained by the correlated deviations. As previously noted, from covariances alone we cannot distinguish between large {rμ,j}\{r_{\mu,j}\} with small Dμ2\langle D_{\mu}^{2}\rangle and small {rμ,j}\{r_{\mu,j}\} with large Dμ2\langle D_{\mu}^{2}\rangle. We arbitrarily take Dμ2=1\langle D_{\mu}^{2}\rangle=1 and infer the corresponding values of rμ,jr_{\mu,j} by minimizing the cost function

cost=j=1Nμ1k=j+1Nμ(Cjk,predCjk,obs)2,{\rm cost}=\sum_{j=1}^{N_{\mu}-1}\sum_{k=j+1}^{N_{\mu}}\left(C_{jk,{\rm pred}}-C_{jk,{\rm obs}}\right)^{2}~, (51)

i.e., by minimizing the squared deviation between the predicted and observed off-diagonal values of the covariance matrix for the NμN_{\mu} elements in the group. The values of sjs_{j} then follow from matching the predicted and observed diagonal components (equation 50). We require Nμ4N_{\mu}\geq 4 to have sufficient off-diagonal constraints Nμ(Nμ1)/2N_{\mu}(N_{\mu}-1)/2 to determine the NμN_{\mu} values of rμ,jr_{\mu,j}. Since we have assumed Dμ2=1\langle D_{\mu}^{2}\rangle=1, we see from equation (49) that if rμ,j>sjr_{\mu,j}>s_{j} then the typical residual abundances of XjX_{j} can be explained predominantly by the correlated fluctuations with other elements in the group, while if sj>rμ,js_{j}>r_{\mu,j} then independent fluctuations dominate over this correlated contribution. The relative values of rμ,jr_{\mu,j} indicate the relative deviations of elements XjX_{j} associated with process fluctuations DμD_{\mu}.

Based on Figure 16a we have selected two element groups, one (μ=3\mu=3) comprised of Ca, Na, Al, K, Cr, and Ce, and the second (μ=4\mu=4) comprised of Ni, V, Mn, and Co. There is some arbitrariness in this choice. For example, Na and K show significant correlations with the iron-peak group in addition to Ca, Al, and Ce, and Al is (weakly) anti-correlated with Ce and (weakly) positively correlated with Ni, V, and Co. One must be cautious about naively applying nucleosynthesis intuition to residual abundances because we have already removed the main effects of CCSN and SNIa through the 2-process fit. For example, even though K comes mainly from CCSN and Mn comes mainly from SNIa, the deviations from typical K and Mn abundances at a given AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} could be physically linked.

Conceptually, we could imagine that Ca, Na, Al, K, Cr, and Ce all have contributions from AGB stars, and that positive and negative values of D3D_{3} represent stars that have more or less than the average amount of AGB enrichment relative to stars with the same AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} (2nd term on the r.h.s. of equation 47). The μ=4\mu=4 component could be driven by a subset of SNIa (or even CCSN) that have higher yields of Ni, V, Mn, and Co, and positive and negative values of D4D_{4} would represent stars enriched by more or fewer than the average number of such unusual supernovae. However, this physical interpretation is by no means unique. These caveats notwithstanding, our approach offers a plausible way to combine physical expectations with data-driven lessons to search for correlated element deviations on a star-by-star basis.

Table 2: Coefficients of component μ=3\mu=3
Elem r3r_{3} s3s_{3} σ68\sigma_{68} r3/r3,Cer_{3}/r_{3,{\rm Ce}}
Ca 0.01710.0171 0.01250.0125 0.01930.0193 0.5630.563
Na 0.02920.0292 0.08730.0873 0.06990.0699 0.9610.961
Al 0.00650.0065 0.03460.0346 0.03020.0302 0.2140.214
K 0.01090.0109 0.06470.0647 0.05420.0542 0.3590.359
Cr 0.01020.0102 0.04340.0434 0.03460.0346 0.3360.336
Ce 0.03040.0304 0.08500.0850 0.08490.0849 1.0001.000

Note. — Coefficients for the elements comprising component 3. For a star with amplitude deviation D3D_{3} the model prediction of [X/H][{\rm X}/{\rm H}] changes by D3r3D_{3}r_{3} dex (equation 49). The variance not explained by the correlated contribution is s32s_{3}^{2} (equation 50). When fitting D3D_{3} values for individual stars, elements are weighted by the inverse-square of σ68\sigma_{68} (equation 52).

Table 3: Coefficients of component μ=4\mu=4
Elem r4r_{4} s4s_{4} σ68\sigma_{68} r4/r4,Vr_{4}/r_{4,{\rm V}}
Ni 0.00870.0087 0.01510.0151 0.01580.0158 0.3640.364
V 0.02390.0239 0.07870.0787 0.06500.0650 1.0001.000
Mn 0.01430.0143 0.02560.0256 0.02710.0271 0.5980.598
Co 0.01970.0197 0.03850.0385 0.03630.0363 0.8250.825

Note. — Coefficients for the elements comprising component 4.

Tables 2 and 3 report our inferred values of rμ,jr_{\mu,j} and sjs_{j} for these two components. The sum of rμ,j2r_{\mu,j}^{2} and sj2s_{j}^{2} is equal to the variance of the element’s residual deviations from the 2-process fit (equation 50). For a star with a given value of DμD_{\mu}, the change in the predicted [Xj/H][{\rm X}_{j}/{\rm H}] from adding component μ\mu is Dμrμ,jD_{\mu}r_{\mu,j} (equation 49). We estimate the value of DμD_{\mu} for each star from the weighted average

D^μ,=j=1NμΔj,rμ,j/σ68,j2j=1Nμrμ,j2/σ68,j2,\hat{D}_{\mu,*}={\sum_{j=1}^{N_{\mu}}\Delta_{j,*}r_{\mu,j}/\sigma_{68,j}^{2}\over\sum_{j=1}^{N_{\mu}}r_{\mu,j}^{2}/\sigma_{68,j}^{2}}~, (52)

which minimizes (Dμ,rμ,jΔj,)2/σ68,j2\sum(D_{\mu,*}r_{\mu,j}-\Delta_{j,*})^{2}/\sigma_{68,j}^{2}. We weight by the inverse of the variance estimated from the 16-84% percentile range of the observed residual abundance distribution, which is less sensitive to outliers than the variance itself; we list the values of σ68\sigma_{68} in the fourth column of Tables 2 and 3. This choice weights the elements more uniformly than if we used the observational error estimates. We omit elements that have flagged data values for a given star. The final column of the tables gives the relative change of the elements associated with each component. A given value of D3D_{3} changes the predicted Ce and Na abundances by about twice as much as the predicted Ca and K abundances and by 3\sim 3-5 times as much as the predicted Cr and Al abundances. The range of r4r_{4} values is somewhat smaller, with V the element most sensitive to D4D_{4} and Ni the least sensitive. With the exception of Ca, the values of sjs_{j} exceed those of rμ,jr_{\mu,j}, indicating that the correlated deviations associated with these two processes explain only a small portion of the observed residual abundance variance for these elements. This finding is consistent with the results of TW21, who concluded that at least five “components” (implemented there as individual conditioning elements) beyond Mg and Fe are needed to reduce residual fluctuations in APOGEE abundances to a level consistent with observational uncertainties alone.

Figure 23 shows examples of fits to eight stars that have unusually large values (in the outer 2% tails) of |D3||D_{3}| or |D4||D_{4}| or both. In each of these cases, the large D3D_{3} or D4D_{4} reduces coherent residuals across most or all of the elements in the component, typically 0.05 dex or larger. However, there are also examples (not shown) where a single highly discrepant abundance drives a large component amplitude. Not surprisingly, for these stars selected to have large |D3||D_{3}| or |D4||D_{4}| the 4-process fit achieves a large χ2\chi^{2} reduction relative to the 2-process fit, but the median reduction across the whole sample is only 4.8. The first star shown in Figure 23 is also the first star shown in the selection of high-χ2\chi^{2} stars in Figure 20. The addition of D3D_{3} and (unimportant in this case) D4D_{4} reduces χ2\chi^{2} from 277 to 78, though it still does not produce agreement within the reported observational uncertainties for all of the deviant elements. This pattern, a substantial χ2\chi^{2} reduction but significant remaining deviations after the 4-process fit, holds for most of the D3D_{3} examples, though the D4D_{4} component typically explains the deviations (usually smaller) in Ni, V, Mn, and Co fairly well. The final two stars in Figure 23 have unusually large negative values of both D3D_{3} and D4D_{4}.

8.4 Correlations with age and kinematics

Refer to caption


Figure 24: Top: Distribution of stars in the plane of component amplitudes D3D_{3}, D4D_{4}. Black dots show a 25% random sampling of stars in the 2%-98% range of each distribution, while colored points show stars outside the listed 2% and 98% boundaries. A value of D3=1D_{3}=1 corresponds to a deviation of D3r3=0.0304D_{3}r_{3}=0.0304 dex for the most sensitive component element (Ce) and 0.0065 dex for the least sensitive (Al). A value of D4=1D_{4}=1 corresponds to a deviation of D4r4=0.0239D_{4}r_{4}=0.0239 dex for the most sensitive component element (V) and 0.0087 dex for the least sensitive (Ni). Bottom: Distributions of D3D_{3} (black) and D4D_{4} (red) for the full sample (solid histograms) and for the subset of stars with R<7kpcR<7\,{\rm kpc} and Zmax<0.2kpcZ_{\rm max}<0.2\,{\rm kpc} (dashed curves). Other geometric cuts produce distributions similar to the solid histograms, but the inner thin disk stars tend to have slightly higher values of D3D_{3} and D4D_{4}.

In the top panel of Figure 24, colored points show (D3,D4)(D_{3},D_{4}) for stars in the outer 2% tails of the D3D_{3} or D4D_{4} distributions, and black dots show a random sampling of stars in the inner 96% of both distributions. The values of D3D_{3} and D4D_{4} are essentially uncorrelated, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.04-0.04, changing to 0.07-0.07 if we restrict to the inner 96%. The lower panel plots the distribution of component amplitudes, which are slightly skew-negative for both D3D_{3} and D4D_{4}. For the most part, we find no obvious trends of D3D_{3} or D4D_{4} with Galactic position. However, stars near the midplane in the inner Galaxy (R=37kpcR=3-7\,{\rm kpc}, Zmax<0.2kpcZ_{\rm max}<0.2\,{\rm kpc}) tend to have slightly higher values of D3D_{3} and D4D_{4}, as shown by the shifted distributions in this panel. In other words, stars of the inner thin disk tend to have slightly elevated values of the ten elements that contribute to these components, relative to other stars with the same values of AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}. The mean values of D3D_{3} and D4D_{4} for this population are higher by 0.44 and 1.31, corresponding to mean differences D3r3D_{3}r_{3} and D4r4D_{4}r_{4} of only 0.013 dex and 0.031 dex for the two most sensitive elements (Ce and V, respectively), and smaller shifts for other elements. This subtle change of chemistry is detectable because we have many stars to average over and have controlled through 2-process fitting for the much larger differences between the inner thin disk and the full sample in AccA_{\rm cc} and AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} (mean offsets of 0.56 and 0.42, respectively, corresponding to shifts of 0.2\sim 0.2 dex in [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and 0.1\sim 0.1 dex in [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}]). If we define the inner thin disk based on the current midplane distance rather than dynamically estimated maximum distance, i.e., by |Z|<0.2kpc|Z|<0.2\,{\rm kpc} instead of Zmax<0.2kpcZ_{\rm max}<0.2\,{\rm kpc}, then the shift of the D4D_{4} distribution is similar but the shift of the D3D_{3} distribution is weaker, with a mean offset of only 0.25 instead of 0.44.

Refer to caption

Figure 25: Distributions of stars in the 2%-tails of the D3D_{3} distribution (left column) or D4D_{4} distribution (right column), with the same color coding as in Fig. 24. Black dots show a 25% random sampling of the full distribution. Top panels show the 2-process plane AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} vs. AIaA_{\rm Ia}. Middle and bottom rows plot AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} vs. AstroNN values of stellar age and orbital eccentricity, respectively. Stars with extreme values of D3D_{3} and D4D_{4} are found throughout these distributions. Low D3D_{3} stars tend to have younger ages than the full population. The population of high eccentricity stars with AIa/Acc>0.2A_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc}>0.2 tends to have low values of D3D_{3} and D4D_{4}; these “accreted halo” stars also have values of [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] (and thus AccA_{\rm cc}) near the minimum of our sample.

Figure 25 plots the D3D_{3} outliers (left) and the D4D_{4} outliers (right) in the planes of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} vs. AccA_{\rm cc}, AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} vs. age, and AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} vs. eccentricity, with a random subset of the full sample plotted for comparison. The outliers arise throughout the (Acc,AIa/Acc)(A_{\rm cc},A_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc}) distribution with no obvious clustering, though there is some overrepresentation of low-D4D_{4} outliers among metal-rich stars that are in between the low-Ia and high-Ia populations (Acc0.81.5A_{\rm cc}\approx 0.8-1.5, AIa/Acc0.50.9A_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc}\approx 0.5-0.9). The outliers are present at all ages, though there is a clear tendency for high-D3D_{3} stars to have younger ages (by 23Gyr\sim 2-3\,{\rm Gyr}) in the high-Ia population, and a significant number of high-D3D_{3} stars have low AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} and young estimated ages. There is also a concentration of low-D4D_{4} stars at ages of 6-8 Gyr.

Outliers are also widely distributed in the plane of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} vs. eccentricity. However, there is a clear excess of stars with low D3D_{3} and low D4D_{4} that have high eccentricity and elevated values of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} relative to other high eccentricity disk stars. This population also has low values of [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] (and thus of AccA_{\rm cc}), near the lower boundary of our sample. The second-to-last star in Figure 23 is a member of this high-eccentricity population, with e=0.985e=0.985, though it was chosen for this plot based on its D3D_{3} and D4D_{4} values alone. We have already seen this population stand out in the sample of high-χ2\chi^{2} stars (Figure 21), and the top row of Figure 22 shows that the “accreted halo” stars (a.k.a. GSE stars) have negative residuals of all four elements in the D4D_{4} component and of two of the elements (Na and Al) in the D3D_{3} component. The extreme D3D_{3} and D4D_{4} values are another signature of the distinctive abundance patterns of this population.

We view this analysis as a first step in exploiting the information encoded by correlated patterns of residual abundances. The component formalism introduced here offers a data-motivated way to compute average deviations of correlated elements with appropriate relative weights, obtaining measurements that are higher SNR than the deviations of individual elements. The geometric, age, and kinematic patterns in Figures 24 and 25 demonstrate that the D3D_{3} and D4D_{4} component amplitudes are capturing genuine physical distinctions among stellar populations. However, extreme values of these components arise in stars throughout the disk with a wide range of ages, kinematics, and CCSN and SNIa enrichment levels.

9 Conclusions

We have developed a novel approach to statistical analysis of multi-element abundance distributions of large stellar samples and applied it to the final (DR17) data release of APOGEE-2 (from SDSS-IV), which includes a homogeneous re-analysis of spectra from APOGEE in SDSS-III. Our primary sample consists of 34,410 stars with 3kpcR13kpc3\,{\rm kpc}\leq R\leq 13\,{\rm kpc}, |Z|2kpc|Z|\leq 2\,{\rm kpc}, 0.75[Mg/H]0.45-0.75\leq[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]\leq 0.45, 1logg2.51\leq{\rm log}\,g\leq 2.5, and 4000KTeff4600K4000\,{\rm K}\leq T_{\rm eff}\leq 4600\,{\rm K}, with the last two cuts adopted to limit the impact of differential systematics on abundance measurements. We consider the α\alpha-elements Mg, O, Si, S, and Ca, the light odd-ZZ elements Na, Al, and K, the even-ZZ iron-peak elements Cr, Fe, and Ni, the odd-ZZ iron-peak elements V, Mn, and Co, the s-process element Ce, and the element combination C+N, employed because C+N is conserved during dredge-up processes that change the individual C and N surface abundances in the convection zones of red giants. Following W19 and Griffith et al. (2019), we fit the median [X/Mg][Mg/H][{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}]-[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] trends of low-Ia and high-Ia populations with a 2-process model that approximates stellar abundance patterns as the sum of a CCSN contribution that tracks Mg enrichment and an SNIa contribution that tracks the SNIa Fe enrichment. For elements with substantial contributions from processes other than CCSN and SNIa, the 2-process model approximately separates a “prompt” and “delayed” enrichment component. With the global model parameters (qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} for each element X in 0.1-dex bins of [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]) determined from the median sequences, we proceed to fit each sample star’s measured abundances with two free parameters (AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}) that scale the amplitude of the two processes (equation 1; Figure 3). We characterize each star by its values of AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} and the residuals Δ[X/H]\Delta[{\rm X}/{\rm H}] from this 2-process fit.

9.1 Median sequences and their implications

For the 14 elements in common with W19’s analysis (based on DR14), we find similar results for median sequences and thus draw similar conclusions about the relative CCSN and SNIa contributions. Among the α\alpha-elements, Si and Ca are inferred to have significant SNIa contributions, though not as large as those of iron-peak elements. Among the light odd-ZZ elements, Al and K appear to be dominated by CCSN, but the low-Ia and high-Ia populations have substantially different [Na/Mg] ratios, implying a large delayed contribution to Na that could be associated with SNIa or AGB sources. Among the iron-peak elements, Mn is inferred to have the largest SNIa contribution. The most significant differences from DR14 are that the increasing metallicity trend of [Al/Mg] becomes flat in DR17 and that the steeply rising trends of [V/Mg] with metallicity become shallower. While W19 fit the median trends with power-law metallicity dependence for the CCSN and SNIa processes, here we adopt a generalized metallicity dependence in bins of [Mg/H] such that the 2-process model reproduces the observed [X/Mg] sequences exactly. Several elements — Na, V, Mn, Co, and to a lesser extent Ni — show evidence of rapidy rising SNIa yields for [Mg/H]>0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]>0, though this conclusion is sensitive to the accuracy of APOGEE’s abundances in the super-solar metallicity regime.

For [(C+N)/Mg] and [Ce/Mg], both new to this study, we find substantial gaps between the median sequences of low-Ia and high-Ia stars, implying a substantial contribution from delayed sources. For these elements, the delayed source is probably AGB enrichment rather than SNIa. The metallicity dependence of the high-Ia [Ce/Mg] sequence is non-monotonic, peaking at [Mg/H]0.2[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]\approx-0.2, similar to the behavior seen in GALAH DR2 for the neutron-capture elements Y, Ba, and La (Griffith et al., 2019). The rising trend at low [Mg/H] can be understood from the increase of seed nuclei for neutron capture, which shifts to a falling trend when the ratio of seed nuclei to free neutrons becomes too large to allow the s-process to reach heavy nuclei (Gallino et al., 1998). The low-Ia/high-Ia median trends for [(C+N)/Mg] and [Ce/Mg] are a powerful empirical test for supernova and AGB yield predictions. The qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} values that we derive for other elements allow tests of supernova yield models (e.g., Griffith et al. 2021b) that are insensitive to uncertainties in other aspects of disk chemical evolution.

9.2 Residual abundance scatter and correlations

Turning to residual abundances, we find that the distribution of Δ[X/H]\Delta[{\rm X}/{\rm H}] residuals from the 2-process predictions is narrower than the distribution of residuals from the observed median sequences for all of the elements that APOGEE measures well (i.e., with mean observational uncertainties below 0.03 dex; see Figure 12). This reduction implies that much of the observed scatter in [Mg/Fe] at fixed [Mg/H] within the low-Ia and high-Ia populations is intrinsic (Bertran de Lis et al., 2016; Vincenzo et al., 2021a), reflecting real variations in SNIa/CCSN enrichment ratios, and that accounting for these variations correctly predicts variations in other elements. Similarly, we find that using residuals from the 2-process predictions rather than residuals from median sequences largely removes trends with stellar age and orbital parameters (Figures 18 and 19). However, Ce and Na residuals both show clear correlations with age in the high-Ia population, with the youngest stars showing higher abundances of both elements relative to other stars with similar AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia}.

After subtracting the observational uncertainties reported by ASPCAP from the observed Δ[X/H]\Delta[{\rm X}/{\rm H}] scatter, we infer rms intrinsic scatter in the 2-process residuals ranging from 0.005\sim 0.005 dex to 0.04\sim 0.04 dex for most elements, with values up to 0.08\sim 0.08 dex for Na, K, V, and Ce (Figure 13). Our estimates of the characteristic intrinsic scatter and of the relative scatter among different elements agree quite well with the estimates of TW21 for scatter in abundances conditioned on [Fe/H] and [Mg/Fe], and with those of Ness et al. (2019) for scatter conditioned on [Fe/H] and age.

More informative than the element-by-element scatter is the covariance of residual abundances between elements (equation 31). We find significant off-diagonal covariances among many elements, with many values clearly exceeding the expected covariance from observational errors alone (Figure 15). Our estimates of 2-process residual correlations (Figure 16) agree qualitatively with those found by TW21 for conditional abundance residuals despite many differences in methodology, a reassuring indication of the robustness of the results. Correcting the observed covariances for observational contributions remains uncertain because the observational error distributions are not fully understood. The clearest findings are two “blocks” of correlated residuals, one involving Ca, Na, Al, K, Cr, and Ce and the other comprised of Ni, V, Mn, and Co. For most correlated element pairs, the bi-variate distribution of residuals shows a consistent slope between the core of the distribution and the tails (see Figure 10 for examples). This structure suggests that the residuals are mostly driven by a continuous spectrum of variations, e.g., by the relative contribution of processes beyond CCSN and SNIa, or by stochastic sampling of the CCSN and SNIa populations combined with imperfect mixing in the ISM. The one striking exception to this rule is the (C+N)-Ce correlation (Figure 14), where the core of the distribution shows a clear anti-correlation but a population of rare outliers exhibits strong positive deviations of both (C+N) and Ce. These highly enhanced stars could be a consequence of mass transfer from AGB companions or of second-generation AGB enrichment in star clusters.

9.3 High-χ2\chi^{2} stars and selected populations

By automatically normalizing a star’s abundances to those of other stars with similar [Mg/H] and [Mg/Fe], 2-process fitting makes it easy to identify outlier stars with unusual measured abundance patterns. This approach is especially valuable for cases with moderate deviations (e.g., 0.05-0.1 dex) across multiple elements, which might be difficult to pick out in an eyeball scan of [X/Fe]-[Fe/H] diagrams. Unfortunately, easy identification does not mean easy interpretation, and a key challenge is distinguishing physical outliers from cases where measurement errors are much larger than the reported observational uncertainties. Among the physical outliers, some may be extreme examples of the same variations that produce residual correlations in the bulk of the population, while others may arise from rare physical processes that affect only a small fraction of stars.

Figure 20 presents a selection of eight stars from the 700\sim 700 that comprise the top 2% of the residual χ2\chi^{2} distribution. These examples include two stars with depressed Na, Al, and K abundances and low or high Ce, a carbon star that also has high measured abundances of Na, Al, and V, a “barium” star first identified by Smith & Suntzeff (1987) that is one of the extreme (C+N)-Ce outliers, a member of the ω\omega\,Cen globular cluster with 0.5-1 dex enhancements in C+N, Na, Al, and Ce, and a N-rich star with elevated Al, Ce, and Si, which has been independently identified both as a possible globular cluster escapee (Schiavon et al., 2017; Fernández-Trincado et al., 2017; Fernández-Trincado et al., 2019a, 2020c, 2020b) and as a member of a small population of chemically peculiar stars with extreme P enhancement (Masseron et al., 2020a, b). Another star shows strong deficiencies of K and V, an effect that we see in multiple stars but that may be a consequence of radial velocity placing stellar features over strong telluric lines that are difficult to subtract precisely. Another shows a distinctive pattern of enhanced Na, elevated C+N and Mn, and depressed Al, K, and Cr. We also see this pattern in multiple outlier stars, but we remain unsure whether it represents an unusual physical abundance pattern or a subtle observational systematic.

Residual abundances may prove to be a powerful tool for chemical tagging studies, i.e., for identifying groups of stars that share distinctive abundance patterns suggesting a common birth environment. In this paper we have illustrated these prospects with the much simpler exercise of computing the median residual abundances of a few select stellar populations (Figure 22). Stars with high eccentricity, low metallicity ([Mg/H]0.5[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]\lesssim-0.5), and relatively low [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}] ([Mg/Fe]0.2[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]\lesssim 0.2) have been previously identified as “accreted halo” stars (Nissen & Schuster, 2010), probably formed in the “Gaia-Sausage/Enceladus” dwarf (Belokurov et al., 2018; Helmi et al., 2018). Relative to 2-process model predictions, these stars have C+N, Na, and Al abundances that are low by about 0.1 dex and Ni, V, Mn, and Co abundances that are low by 0.05\sim 0.05-0.1 dex. However, high eccentricity stars in the same [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] range with [Mg/Fe]>0.18[{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]>0.18 have median abundance residuals consistent with zero. Stars observed by APOGEE in the LMC that overlap our disk star metallicity, logg{\rm log}\,g, and TeffT_{\rm eff} range show a similar abundance pattern to the GSE stars, and a 0.2-dex enhancement of Ce. The 14 ω\omega\,Cen members that fall in our disk sample show extreme (1\sim 1-dex) enhancements of C+N and Ce and large (0.4\sim 0.4-dex) enhancements of Na and Al. Stars in the outer disk (R=1517kpcR=15-17\,{\rm kpc}), either near the midplane (|Z|2kpc|Z|\leq 2\,{\rm kpc}) or well above it (Z=26kpcZ=2-6\,{\rm kpc}) have abundances entirely consistent with those of our R=313kpcR=3-13\,{\rm kpc} sample, with the slight exception of a 0.05-dex median depression of Ce in the high-ZZ population. Each of these results is a target for chemical evolution models of these populations, and many other populations can be studied in similar fashion.

9.4 Beyond 2-process

We do not expect the 2-process model to provide a complete description of stellar abundances, and the intrinsic scatter of Δ[X/H]\Delta[{\rm X}/{\rm H}], the element-to-element correlations among residuals, the outlier stars, and the distinctive patterns of selected populations all demonstrate empirically that it does not. In §8 we have taken some first steps towards a more general “N-process” model. On the theoretical side, we have proposed a natural generalization of the 2-process formalism that can encompass an arbitrary number of additional processes, and we have shown, approximately, how variations in the relative amplitudes of those processes would translate into correlated residuals from the 2-process fits (equations 45-48). On the observational side, we have used the observed covariance matrix of residual abundances (Figure 15) to define two new “components” with weighted contributions of Ca, Na, Al, K, Cr, Ce (component 3) and Ni, V, Mn, Co (component 4). We then fit amplitudes D3D_{3} and D4D_{4} defining the deviations of these components to all stars, with D3D40\langle D_{3}\rangle\approx\langle D_{4}\rangle\approx 0 by construction. We find stars with high and low values of D3D_{3} and D4D_{4} throughout the disk and widely spread in AccA_{\rm cc}, AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc}, age, and kinematics (Figure 25). However, the GSE population has low D3D_{3} and D4D_{4}, the high-D3D_{3} stars have preferentially young ages in both the low-Ia and high-Ia populations, and the coldest subset of the inner thin disk (R=37kpcR=3-7\,{\rm kpc}, Zmax<0.2kpcZ_{\rm max}<0.2\,{\rm kpc}) has slightly elevated mean values of D3D_{3} and D4D_{4}.

9.5 Prospects and challenges

The combination of 2-process fitting and residual abundance analysis is a potentially powerful new tool for interpreting multi-element abundance measurements in large spectroscopic surveys such as APOGEE, GALAH, and SDSS-V.555This approach may also prove valuable for lower resolution surveys such as LAMOST and DESI, but its natural application is to data sets that achieve precision of 0.01-0.05 dex or better for multiple elements that probe a variety of nucleosynthetic pathways. This method has much in common with the conditional PDF method of TW21, in which one matches stars in [Fe/H], [Mg/Fe], and other abundances or parameters as desired. Each method may have practical advantages for some applications. The greatest challenge to exploiting these approaches is fully characterizing the observational contributions to abundance residuals, to their correlations and systematic trends, and to abundance outliers. One way forward is to make more comprehensive use of repeat observations (see §5.4 of Jönsson et al. 2020) to map out the distribution and correlations of “statistical” errors, which arise from photon noise but also from effects such as telluric line contamination and varying line spread functions that are difficult to predict from models and simulations. A second is to exhaustively follow up a large sample of 2-process outliers and run to ground any observational systematics that give rise to them. A third is to compare results from different abundance analysis pipelines to determine which residual abundance correlations and outlier populations are robust and which are sensitive to analysis choices. Samples of stars with observations and abundance measurements from two separate surveys, such as APOGEE and GALAH, allow a complete end-to-end comparison for elements in common, as well as extending the number of elements that trace different astrophysical sources. For some investigations, high-resolution, high-SNR observations of smaller samples that are matched in stellar parameters, such as “solar twin” studies (Ram´ırez et al., 2009; Nissen, 2015; Bedell et al., 2018), may be a valuable complement to the larger samples from massive surveys.

Residual abundance analysis imposes stiff demands on the accuracy of stellar abundance pipelines. Even after restricting our sample to 1logg2.51\leq{\rm log}\,g\leq 2.5 and 4000KTeff4600K4000\,{\rm K}\leq T_{\rm eff}\leq 4600\,{\rm K}, we find trends of residuals with TeffT_{\rm eff} that we must remove before measuring element-to-element correlations (Figure 10). To compare distinct populations such as bulge and disk or disk and satellites, one must create comparison samples that are matched in logg{\rm log}\,g (e.g., Griffith et al. 2021a; Hasselquist et al. 2021) and/or condition on logg{\rm log}\,g and TeffT_{\rm eff} as variables in addition to abundances (TW21). Such comparisons would become more straightforward if the logg/Teff{\rm log}\,g/T_{\rm eff} systematics in APOGEE abundances were removed either by empirical calibration or, preferably, by identifying and correcting the effects that give rise to them.

There are numerous natural follow-ons to this initial effort in residual abundance cartography, some that can be done with the existing sample, some requiring similar analysis of different APOGEE subsets, and some involving new or different observational data. Systematic examination of the high-χ2\chi^{2} population should turn up a variety of physically unusual stars, perhaps including previously unknown categories. Comparison of samples with and without binarity signatures in their radial velocity variations could reveal more subtle impacts than the C+N/Ce outliers already identified. Residual abundances offer new ground for clustering searches in the high-dimensional space of chemistry and kinematics, especially useful for uncovering populations that could span a range of [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]. With the 2-process model “trained” on samples with matched logg{\rm log}\,g and [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] ranges, one can compare residual abundance patterns among the disk, bulge, halo, dwarf satellites, and star clusters, building on the results of Griffith et al. (2021a) and Hasselquist et al. (2021) and the examples in Figure 22. A third generation of the APOKASC catalog (Pinsonneault et al. 2014, 2018; Pinsonneault et al. in prep.) will soon provide asteroseismic masses, ages, and evolutionary states for 15,000\sim 15,000 APOGEE stars in DR17. This sample can be used to look for more subtle trends of residual abundances with age, to look for trends with evolutionary state or internal rotation that could be signatures of non-standard mixing processes, and to disentangle C+N into separate C and N components (see Vincenzo et al. 2021b). Combinations of APOGEE and GALAH data will provide cross-checks on common elements and a wider range of elements tracing a greater variety of nucleosynthetic origins. In combination with Gaia space velocities, residual abundances should be well suited to the program of Orbital Torus Imaging (Price-Whelan et al., 2021), which exploits the fact that stellar abundance patterns in steady state may depend on orbital actions but should be invariant with respect to their conjugate angles. The Milky Way Mapper program of SDSS-V will obtain APOGEE spectra for an order of magnitude more stars than DR17, enabling much more comprehensive mapping of disk, bulge, and halo abundance patterns and much more powerful constraints on clustering in chemo-dynamical space.

Theoretically, this approach would benefit from a new generation of Galactic chemical evolution models that predict joint distributions of multiple elements from multiple astrophysical sources. Models that combine stellar radial migration with radially dependent gas accretion, star formation, and outflow histories have achieved impressive (but not complete) success in reproducing many aspects of the observed joint distributions of metallicity, [α/Fe][\alpha/{\rm Fe}], age, RR, and |Z||Z| (e.g., Schönrich & Binney 2009; Minchev et al. 2013, 2014, 2017; Johnson et al. 2021). A natural next step is to extend these models to additional elements, using yields that are theoretically motivated but also empirically constrained to reproduce observed median trends. Radial mixing of populations with different enrichment histories will then produce fluctuations in abundances at fixed AccA_{\rm cc} and AIaA_{\rm Ia} (or [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] and [Mg/Fe][{\rm Mg}/{\rm Fe}]). These “mixture” models will provide useful guidance for extending the 2-process formalism, sharpening the ideas outlined in §8.

We suspect that stellar migration alone will prove insufficient to explain the observed level of residual fluctuations and their correlations. Radial gas flows and galactic fountains may also be important ingredients in chemical evolution (e.g., Bilitewski & Schönrich 2012; Pezzulli & Fraternali 2016), but we again suspect that they will alter mean trends without adding scatter in residual abundances. Instead we expect that explaining the observed residual covariances will require models that incorporate localized star formation and gradual ISM mixing, and it may also require stochastic sampling of the supernova and AGB populations. Recent galactic evolution models offer steps in this direction (Armillotta et al., 2018; Krumholz & Ting, 2018; Kamdar et al., 2019). Our results provide a quantitative testing ground for such models.

Over a decade of observations and increasingly sophisticated data analysis, APOGEE has obtained an unprecedented trove of high-precision, high-dimensional stellar abundance data, probing all components of the Milky Way and several of its closest neighbors. The combination of 2-process modeling and residual abundance analysis is one way to exploit the rich complexity of this data set, taking advantage of its high dimensionality and helping to disentangle the intertwined impacts of nucleosynthetic yields and Galactic enrichment history. Systematic application of these tools to APOGEE and its brethren, and comparison to a range of theoretical models, will teach us much about the physics of nucleosynthesis in stars and supernovae, about the processes that distribute elements through the ISM and into new stellar generations, and about the particular events that have shaped our galactic home.

DHW gratefully acknowledges the hospitality of the IAS and financial support of the W.M. Keck and Hendricks Foundations during much of this work. DHW and JAJ are also supported by NSF grant AST-1909841. JAH acknowledges the support of NSF grant AST-1909897. YST gratefully acknowledges support of NASA Hubble Fellowship grant HST-HF2-51425.001 awarded by the Space Telescope Science Institute. DAGH acknowledges support from the State Research Agency (AEI) of the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities (MCIU) and the European Regional Development Fund (FEDER) under grant AYA2017-88254-P. Funding for the Sloan Digital Sky Survey IV has been provided by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Science, and the Participating Institutions. SDSS-IV acknowledges support and resources from the Center for High Performance Computing at the University of Utah. The SDSS website is www.sdss.org. SDSS-IV is managed by the Astrophysical Research Consortium for the Participating Institutions of the SDSS Collaboration including the Brazilian Participation Group, the Carnegie Institution for Science, Carnegie Mellon University, Center for Astrophysics — Harvard & Smithsonian, the Chilean Participation Group, the French Participation Group, Instituto de Astrofísica de Canarias, The Johns Hopkins University, Kavli Institute for the Physics and Mathematics of the Universe (IPMU) / University of Tokyo, the Korean Participation Group, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Leibniz Institut für Astrophysik Potsdam (AIP), Max-Planck-Institut für Astronomie (MPIA Heidelberg), Max-Planck-Institut für Astrophysik (MPA Garching), Max-Planck-Institut für Extraterrestrische Physik (MPE), National Astronomical Observatories of China, New Mexico State University, New York University, University of Notre Dame, Observatário Nacional / MCTI, The Ohio State University, Pennsylvania State University, Shanghai Astronomical Observatory, United Kingdom Participation Group, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, University of Arizona, University of Colorado Boulder, University of Oxford, University of Portsmouth, University of Utah, University of Virginia, University of Washington, University of Wisconsin, Vanderbilt University, and Yale University.

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Appendix A Tables of qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia}

Tables 4 and 5 report our inferred values of qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia}, respectively, for all 16 abundances and all 12 bins of [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]. The [Mg/H]=0[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=0 and [Mg/H]=0.5[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=-0.5 vectors (column 9 and column 4 of these tables) are plotted in Figure 3. Table 6 gives the ratio of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} along the low-Ia and high-Ia sequences, inferred from equation (18) using the measured median [Fe/Mg][{\rm Fe}/{\rm Mg}] values plotted in Figure 1. These ratios and the values of qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc} and qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia} can be used in equation (20) to exactly reproduce the median [X/Mg][{\rm X}/{\rm Mg}] vs. [Mg/H][{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}] sequences shown by the red and blue points in the left panels of Figures 4-7.

Table 4: Values of qccXq^{X}_{\rm cc}
Elem [Mg/H]=0.7[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=-0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
Mg 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
O 0.994 0.973 0.954 0.943 0.934 0.929 0.926 0.923 0.906 0.870 0.844 0.800
Si 1.034 0.975 0.899 0.872 0.852 0.833 0.824 0.814 0.784 0.747 0.703 0.726
S 1.228 1.268 1.173 1.120 1.087 1.032 0.974 0.923 0.853 0.780 0.711 0.636
Ca 0.901 0.868 0.821 0.792 0.784 0.767 0.754 0.744 0.717 0.689 0.686 0.683
C+N 0.466 0.470 0.512 0.549 0.580 0.615 0.655 0.700 0.718 0.671 0.643 0.531
Na 0.346 0.410 0.446 0.483 0.523 0.552 0.594 0.620 0.582 0.419 0.275 0.279
Al 0.847 0.825 0.829 0.854 0.887 0.917 0.941 0.955 0.968 0.946 0.906 0.966
K 0.871 0.848 0.886 0.913 0.923 0.949 0.980 1.006 1.023 1.007 1.017 0.934
Cr 0.434 0.441 0.442 0.462 0.472 0.485 0.493 0.496 0.459 0.510 0.561 0.630
Fe 0.501 0.501 0.501 0.501 0.501 0.501 0.501 0.501 0.501 0.501 0.501 0.501
Ni 0.537 0.558 0.580 0.585 0.596 0.600 0.601 0.597 0.546 0.503 0.482 0.454
V 0.717 0.679 0.678 0.678 0.679 0.703 0.729 0.735 0.692 0.588 0.573 0.739
Mn 0.265 0.272 0.292 0.310 0.332 0.341 0.354 0.360 0.320 0.207 0.165 0.272
Co 0.445 0.500 0.546 0.566 0.611 0.627 0.665 0.672 0.626 0.535 0.519 0.580
Ce 0.531 0.478 0.410 0.395 0.373 0.352 0.351 0.387 0.404 0.453 0.498 1.097

Table 5: Values of qIaXq^{X}_{\rm Ia}
Elem [Mg/H]=0.7[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=-0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
Mg 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
O 0.105 0.064 0.056 0.064 0.069 0.076 0.075 0.077 0.089 0.112 0.124 0.161
Si 0.018 0.061 0.131 0.141 0.158 0.180 0.181 0.186 0.208 0.245 0.289 0.264
S 0.413 -0.099 -0.016 -0.004 -0.007 0.034 0.059 0.077 0.121 0.170 0.211 0.265
Ca 0.206 0.143 0.183 0.218 0.243 0.261 0.262 0.256 0.262 0.274 0.269 0.269
C+N 0.366 0.490 0.460 0.411 0.367 0.325 0.299 0.300 0.342 0.441 0.518 0.667
Na 0.260 0.573 0.575 0.505 0.456 0.409 0.361 0.380 0.508 0.757 1.001 1.155
Al -0.353 0.178 0.202 0.179 0.148 0.105 0.073 0.045 0.020 0.041 0.077 0.018
K 0.066 0.085 0.068 0.062 0.065 0.043 0.016 -0.006 0.000 0.039 0.036 0.144
Cr 0.386 0.460 0.504 0.507 0.505 0.491 0.482 0.504 0.568 0.530 0.498 0.463
Fe 0.499 0.499 0.499 0.499 0.499 0.499 0.499 0.499 0.499 0.499 0.499 0.499
Ni 0.368 0.504 0.472 0.447 0.404 0.376 0.377 0.403 0.480 0.539 0.580 0.629
V 0.232 0.205 0.207 0.269 0.280 0.241 0.220 0.265 0.367 0.520 0.604 0.533
Mn 0.373 0.582 0.596 0.591 0.573 0.581 0.588 0.640 0.750 0.906 0.996 0.987
Co 0.256 0.438 0.435 0.439 0.371 0.340 0.300 0.328 0.424 0.556 0.624 0.649
Ce 0.369 0.504 0.640 0.738 0.883 0.950 0.815 0.613 0.487 0.317 0.205 -0.407

Table 6: Ratio of AIa/AccA_{\rm Ia}/A_{\rm cc} along the low-Ia and high-Ia sequences
Sequence [Mg/H]=0.7[{\rm Mg}/{\rm H}]=-0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
Low-Ia 0.055 0.036 0.051 0.053 0.058 0.089 0.128 0.189 0.350 0.548 0.636 0.632
High-Ia 0.710 0.753 0.734 0.719 0.766 0.875 0.960 1.000 1.028 1.042 1.042 1.018