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Distinguishable Cash, Bosonic Bitcoin, and Fermionic Non-fungible Token

Zae Young Kim Center for Quantum Spacetime, Sogang University, 35 Baekbeom-ro, Mapo-gu, Seoul 04107, Korea    Jeong-Hyuck Park park@sogang.ac.kr Department of Physics, Sogang University, 35 Baekbeom-ro, Mapo-gu, Seoul 04107, Korea
Abstract

Modern technology has brought novel types of wealth. In contrast to hard cash, digital currency does not have a physical form. It exists in electronic forms only. To date, it has not been clear what impacts its ongoing growth will have, if any, on wealth distribution. Here, we propose to identify all forms of contemporary wealth into two classes: distinguishable or identical. Traditional tangible moneys are all distinguishable. Financial assets and cryptocurrencies, such as bank deposits and Bitcoin, are boson-like, while non-fungible tokens are fermion-like. We derive their ownership-based distributions in a unified manner. Each class follows essentially the Poisson or the geometric distribution. We contrast their distinct features such as Gini coefficients. Furthermore, aggregating different kinds of wealth corresponds to a weighted convolution where the number of banks matters and Bitcoin follows Bose–Einstein distribution. Our proposal opens a new avenue to understand the deepened inequality in modern economy, which is based on the statistical physics property of wealth rather than the individual ability of owners. We call for verifications with real data.

Introduction.—When two one-dollar banknotes are randomly gifted to two people, there occur total four possible ways of distributions. While counting so, it has been naturally assumed that both notes are distinguishable from each other, since they are for sure distinct physical objects, not to mention the different serial numbers printed on them. In contrast, when two cents are credited to a pair of savings bank accounts, there are three possibilities, because the two cents as deposits are indistinguishable. Deposits do not have a physical form. They exist in the form of abstract numbers by ‘claim’ and ‘trust’ between the bank and the account holders. While one’s can add up to a natural number, say kk\in\mathbb{N},

1+1++1=k,1+1+\cdots+1=k\,, (1)

all the one’s are intrinsically identical and indistinguishable from one another. The notion of being indistinguishable, or interchangeably identical, is a fundamental property of elementary particles in physics: bosons can share quantum states but fermions subject to the Pauli exclusion principle cannot. Consequently, their statistical distributions differ significantly. While the identical property holds certainly for particles at quantum scale, there appears no clear-cut limit of applicability to larger macroscopic objects.

In this paper, we propose to identify all kinds of wealth into two classes: distinguishable or identical. All the traditional tangible moneys i.e. hard cash including minted coins and banknotes are of physical existence and belong to the distinguishable class. In contrast, financial assets like bank deposits, stocks, bonds, and loans belong to the boson-like identical class. Furthermore, all the electronic forms of wealth share the identical property. At deep down level of information technology or atomic physics, they comprise of chain of bits which have finite length. The pieces of information stored are accordingly limited mostly to the amounts and, hence, are abstract like the deposit or the natural number (1). With no restriction on the amount of possession, cryptocurrencies, e.g. Bitcoin [1] are boson-like. Contrarily, having unique digital identifiers, non-fungible tokens (NFTs) may be identified as fermions. Having said so, we shall demonstrate that generic identical wealth can be universally and effectively described by Gentile statistics [2] which postulates a cutoff for the maximal amount of possession.

It is an established fact that distinguishable, bosonic, and fermionic particles follow respectively the Maxwell–Boltzmann, Bose–Einstein, and Fermi–Dirac statistics, which are all about the number of the particles themselves for a given energy. On the contrary, our primary interest in this work is to derive the ownership-based distributions of wealth, i.e. the number of owners who possess a certain amount of wealth, while the owners are assumed to be always distinguishable. Further, it is our working assumption that wealth is distributed in a ‘random’ manner. This should be the case if ideally the owners were all equal. It goes beyond the scope of the present paper to test the hypothesis against real data.

Basic scheme through elemental examples.—We start with an elementary example of distributing MM number of minted one-cent coins to NN number of people in a random manner. We let nkn_{k} be the number of people each of whom owns kk number of coins, k=0,1,2,k=0,1,2,\cdots. As we focus on ‘private ownership’ meaning no allowance of sharing, the opposite notion “knk_{n}” does not make sense (except kn=1k_{n=1}), which in a way breaks the symmetry between people and coins both of which are distinguishable. There are two constraints nkn_{k}’s satisfy

k=0nk=N,k=0knk=M.\begin{array}[]{ll}{\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}~{}n_{k}=N\,,}&\qquad{\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}~{}kn_{k}=M\,.}\end{array} (2)

Irrespective of our notation, an effective upper bound in the sums exists such as 0kM0\leq k\leq M. Our primary aim is to compute the total number of all possible or ‘degenerate’ ways of distributions for a given set {nk\{n_{k}’s}\}. Hereafter, generically for any kinds of wealth, we denote such a total number by Ω\Omega and further factorise it into two numbers, Ω=Υ×Φ\Omega=\Upsilon\times\Phi, where Υ\Upsilon is all about the grouping of the owners into {nk\{n_{k}’s}\} and thus is independent of the sorts of wealth. The properties of wealth are to be reflected in Φ\Phi. Specifically, the total number of possible cases for the NN number of people to be grouped into n0,n1,n2,n_{0},n_{1},n_{2},\cdots is

Υ=N!n0!n1!n2!=N!k=0nk!.\Upsilon=\frac{N!}{n_{0}!n_{1}!n_{2}!\cdots}=\frac{N!}{\prod_{k=0}^{\infty}n_{k}!}\,. (3)

While so, that for the MM coins to be grouped into

1,1,,1n1,2,2,,2n2,k,k,,knk,,\underbrace{1,1,\cdots,1}_{n_{1}},\,\underbrace{2,2,\cdots,2}_{n_{2}},\,\cdots\cdots\,\underbrace{k,k,\cdots,k}_{n_{k}},\cdots\,, (4)

is, as the coins are distinguishable,

Φ=M!(1!)n1(2!)n2=M!k=1(k!)nk.\Phi=\frac{M!}{(1!)^{n_{1}}(2!)^{n_{2}}\cdots}=\frac{M!}{\prod_{k=1}^{\infty}(k!)^{n_{k}}}\,. (5)

Crucially, for each case in Υ\Upsilon, any of Φ\Phi can equally occur. Thus, the total number of possible distributions for a given set {nk\{n_{k}’s}\} is the product ΥΦ=Ω\Upsilon\Phi=\Omega. The degeneracy Φ\Phi as counted in (5) is significant since it depends on nkn_{k}’s. Insignificant degeneracies that are independent of nkn_{k}’s may be taken into account which will multiply Φ\Phi by an overall constant. For example, extra distinctions depending on whether the distribution of each coin occurs in the morning or afternoon will give an overall factor 2M2^{M} to Φ\Phi. Yet, our primary interest is to obtain the most probable distribution of nkn_{k}. Following the standard analysis in statistical physics at equilibrium, e.g. [3], we shall assume NN to be sufficiently large, apply the variational method induced by δnk\delta n_{k} to lnΩ=lnΥ+lnΦ\ln\Omega=\ln\Upsilon+\ln\Phi, and acquire the extremal solution. Accordingly, any insignificant degeneracy independent of nkn_{k}’s becomes irrelevant and ignorable. It merely shifts lnΦ\ln\Phi by a constant.

We turn to savings accounts. We consider the MM cents to be now credited to distinguishable NN savings accounts. Since deposits are boson-like identical, the total number of possible distributions Ω\Omega is essentially Υ\Upsilon (3) itself up to multiplying an insignificant overall constant. This irrelevant degeneracy can arise when the bank accounts keep records of all the details of the crediting of the deposits, e.g. the time of transaction, which would make the credited MM cents to appear seemingly distinguishable. However, all the information of each credit are recorded in a chain of bits which has a finite length, say l=l0+l1l=l_{0}+l_{1} that decomposes into l0l_{0} for the very record of the amount kk and l1l_{1} reserved for any extra information. While the former is rigidly fixed, the extra pieces of information are rather stochastic and hence contribute to lnΦ\ln\Phi by a constant shift, l1ln2{l_{1}\!}\ln 2, which is hence ignorable.111In this reason, we prefer to say credits are boson-like rather than (precisely) bosons. Further, we note that the extra information is generically postdictive: they do not preexist before the transactions take place, or before the ownerships settle down.

Lastly, fermion-like wealth or NFTs set M=1M=1 and thus fix the ownership-based distribution rather trivially: nk=(N1)δk0+δk1n_{k}=(N-1)\delta^{0}_{k}+\delta^{1}_{k}. Below, for each kind of wealth we shall introduce what we call the “Gentile” parameter, Λ\Lambda\in\mathbb{N}, which sets an upper bound on the possession number kk as 0kΛ0\leq k\leq\Lambda and interpolates boson at Λ=\Lambda=\infty and fermion at Λ=1\Lambda=1. For distinguishable traditional moneys in a ‘free’ country, the parameter may be set to coincide with the total number of each kind, e.g. MM in (2), or to be less by law. However, electronic forms of wealth can transform to one another. For example, the total amount of deposits at a bank is not fixed due to the external transfers between accounts at different banks. The total amount of each Bitcoin UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) is not fixed either, since they can “combine” and “split” to other UTXOs [1]. Thus, the total number of each species of identical wealth is not a constant. For this reason and also a technical reason later to justify the approximation of lnnk!nkln(nk/e)\ln n_{k}!\simeq n_{k}\ln(n_{k}/e), we shall keep Λ\Lambda as an independent key parameter which characterises, as a matter of principle, boson-like or fermion-like identical wealth.

Master formula.—For a unifying general analysis, we consider distinguishable and identical wealth together. We call each unit of wealth an object and postulate that there are D=d+d¯D=d+\bar{d} distinct kinds of objects: dd of them are distinguishable and d¯\bar{d} of them are identical. We label them by a capital index, I=1,2,,DI=1,2,\cdots,D, which decompose into small ones, I=(i,d+ı¯)I=(i,d+\bar{\imath}\,) where i=1,2,,di=1,2,\cdots,d for the distinguishable species and ı¯=1,2,,d¯\bar{\imath}=1,2,\cdots,\bar{d} for the identical species. An II-th kind object has value wIw_{I}\in\mathbb{N}. For example, the present-day euro coin series set d=8{d=8} with w1=1{w_{1}=1}, w2=2{w_{2}=2}, ,w8=200\cdots,{w_{8}=200} in the unit of cent. We then denote a generic ownership over them by a DD-dimensional non-negative integer-valued vector, k=(k1,k2,,kD)\vec{k}=(k_{1},k_{2},\cdots,k_{D}) of which each component kIk_{I} denotes the number of owned IIth-kind objects and is bounded by a cutoff Gentile parameter: 0kIΛI0\leq k_{I}\leq\Lambda_{I}. In particular, we set ΛI=\Lambda_{I}=\infty for bosonic II and ΛI=1\Lambda_{I}=1 for fermionic II. We let nkn_{\vec{k}} be the number of the owners with such a ownership k\vec{k}. The total number of owners is then

N=knkk1=0Λ1k2=0Λ2kD=0ΛDnk,N\,=\,\sum_{\vec{k}}~{}n_{\vec{k}}\,\equiv\,\sum_{k_{1}=0}^{\,\Lambda_{1}}\sum_{k_{2}=0}^{\,\Lambda_{2}}\cdots\sum_{k_{D}=0}^{\,\Lambda_{D}}~{}n_{\vec{k}}\,, (6)

and the total number of the IIth-kind objects is

MI=kkInkNmI.M_{I}=\sum_{\vec{k}}\,k_{I}n_{\vec{k}\,}\equiv Nm_{I}\,. (7)

Hereafter, k\sum_{\vec{k}} and k\prod_{\vec{k}} are our shorthand notations for the sum and the product of all kIk_{I}’s from zero to ΛI\Lambda_{I}’s, as in (6) above and (8) below.

On one hand, as the owners are distinguishable, the number of partitions or groupings of the NN owners into the different ownerships of nkn_{\vec{k}}’s (6) is, generalising (3),

Υ=N!knk!N!k1=0Λ1k2=0Λ2kD=0ΛDnk!.\Upsilon=\frac{N!}{\,\prod_{\vec{k}}n_{\vec{k}}!\,}\,\equiv\,\frac{N!}{\prod_{k_{1}=0}^{\Lambda_{1}}\prod_{k_{2}=0}^{\Lambda_{2}}\cdots\prod_{k_{D}=0}^{\Lambda_{D}}\,n_{\vec{k}}!\,}\,. (8)

On the other hand for the partitions of the objects, only the distinguishable class of objects contributes, as in (5),

Φ=i=1d[Mi!k(ki!)nk].\Phi=\prod_{i=1}^{d}\left[\frac{M_{i}!}{\prod_{\vec{k}}\left(k_{i}!\right)^{n_{\vec{k}}}}\right]\,. (9)

For each partition of owners in Υ\Upsilon, any of the partitions of distinguishable objects in Φ\Phi can equally occur. Therefore, the final, total number of possible outputs for a given set {nk\{n_{\vec{k}}’s}\} is the product, Ω=Υ×Φ\Omega=\Upsilon\times\Phi.

We proceed to apply the variational method to lnΩ\ln\Omega and aim to acquire the extremal solution of nkn_{\vec{k}}. While doing so, there are constraints to impose:

δN=kδnk=0,δMi=kkiδnk=0,δM¯w=k(ı¯=1d¯wı¯kı¯)δnk=0.\begin{array}[]{l}\delta N=\sum_{\vec{k}}~{}\delta n_{\vec{k}}=0\,,\\ \delta M_{i}=\sum_{\vec{k}}~{}k_{i}\delta n_{\vec{k}}=0\,,\\ \delta\bar{M}_{w}=\sum_{\vec{k}}~{}\left(\sum_{\bar{\imath}=1}^{\bar{d}}~{}w_{\bar{\imath}}k_{\bar{\imath}}\right)\delta n_{\vec{k}}=0\,.\end{array} (10)

Namely, the total number of owners and those of distinguishable objects of each kind are all conserved, as we assume them to be indestructible. For the identical class of objects, since they may transform to other species, we impose that only their total value

M¯w=k(ı¯=1d¯wı¯kı¯)nkNm¯w\bar{M}_{w}=\sum_{\vec{k}}\left(\textstyle{\sum_{\bar{\imath}=1}^{\bar{d}}}~{}w_{\bar{\imath}\,}k_{\bar{\imath}}\right)n_{\vec{k}}\equiv N{\bar{m}}_{w} (11)

is conserved. To proceed, we employ a well-known approximation for the factorial, lnnk!nkln(nk/e)\ln n_{\vec{k}}!\simeq n_{\vec{k}}\ln(n_{\vec{k}}/e), which is valid for large nkn_{\vec{k}} only. Our Gentile cutoff parameter ΛI\Lambda_{I} then effectively prevents nkn_{\vec{k}} from getting too small, by setting the upper bound on kIk_{I}. It follows then, from δlnnk!=δnklnnk\delta\ln n_{\vec{k}}!=\delta n_{\vec{k}}\ln n_{\vec{k}}, that the variation of lnΩ\ln\Omega reads

δlnΩ=kδnk[lnnk+i=1dln(ki!)]=0.\delta\ln\Omega=-\sum_{\vec{k}}~{}\delta n_{\vec{k}}\left[\ln n_{\vec{k}}+\sum_{i=1}^{d}~{}\ln(k_{i}!)\right]=0\,. (12)

Around the extremal distribution, this variation should vanish, while δnk\delta n_{\vec{k}}’s must meet the constraints (10), otherwise they are arbitrary. Therefore, only up to some constants α,βi,β¯\alpha,\beta_{i},\bar{\beta}, putting

αδN+(i=1dβiδMi)+β¯δM¯wδlnΩ=0,\alpha\delta N+\left(\sum_{i=1}^{d}\beta_{i}\delta M_{i}\right)+\bar{\beta}\delta\bar{M}_{w}-\delta\ln\Omega=0\,, (13)

we should have for every k\vec{k} without sum,

lnnk+α+i=1d[ln(ki!)+βiki]+β¯ı¯=1d¯wı¯kı¯=0.\ln n_{\vec{k}}+\alpha+\sum_{i=1}^{d}\,\Big{[}\ln(k_{i}!)+\beta_{i}k_{i}\Big{]}+\bar{\beta}\sum_{\bar{\imath}=1}^{\bar{d}}~{}w_{\bar{\imath}}k_{\bar{\imath}}=0\,. (14)

This gives the desired extremal solution,

nk=NPk,Pk=[i=1dPi(ki)][ı¯=1d¯P¯ı¯(kı¯)],\begin{array}[]{ll}n_{\vec{k}}=NP_{\vec{k}}\,,&\quad P_{\vec{k}}=\left[\prod_{i=1}^{d}\,P_{i}(k_{i})\right]\left[\prod_{\bar{\imath}=1}^{\bar{d}}\,\bar{P}_{\bar{\imath}}(k_{\bar{\imath}})\right]\,,\end{array} (15)

where PkP_{\vec{k}} is our master probability distribution given by the products of Λ\Lambda-truncated Poisson and geometric distributions,

Pi(ki)=𝒩ieβikiki!,𝒩i=1ki=0Λieβiki/ki!,P¯ı¯(kı¯)=𝒩ı¯eβ¯wı¯kı¯,𝒩ı¯= 1eβ¯wı¯ 1e(Λı¯+1)β¯wı¯.\begin{array}[]{ll}\displaystyle{P_{i}(k_{i})={\cal N}_{i~{}}\frac{e^{-\beta_{i}k_{i}}}{{k_{i}!}}}\,,&\qquad\displaystyle{{\cal N}_{i}=\frac{1}{\sum_{k_{i}=0}^{\Lambda_{i}}~{}{e^{-\beta_{i}k_{i}}}/{{k_{i}!}}}}\,,\\ \displaystyle{\bar{P}_{\bar{\imath}}(k_{\bar{\imath}})={\cal N}_{\bar{\imath}~{}}e^{-\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}k_{\bar{\imath}}}}\,,&\qquad\displaystyle{{\cal N}_{\bar{\imath}}=\frac{\,1-e^{-\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}}\,~{}\qquad}{\,1-e^{-(\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}+1)\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}}}}\,.\end{array} (16)

To write this we have solved α\alpha in terms of NN and the normalisation constants, 𝒩I{\cal N}_{I}’s, such that kPk=1\sum_{\vec{k}}\,P_{\vec{k}}=1 and

kkiPk=(1𝒩ieβiΛiΛi!)eβi=mi,kkı¯Pk=1(Λı¯+1)eΛı¯β¯wı¯+Λı¯e(Λı¯+1)β¯wı¯(eβ¯wı¯1)[1e(Λı¯+1)β¯wı¯].\begin{array}[]{l}\displaystyle{\sum_{\vec{k}}\,{k_{i}P_{\vec{k}}}=\left(1-{\cal N}_{i}\frac{e^{-\beta_{i}\Lambda_{i}}}{\Lambda_{i}!}\right)e^{-\beta_{i}}=m_{i}\,,}\\ \displaystyle{\sum_{\vec{k}}\,{k_{\bar{\imath}}P_{\vec{k}}}=\frac{1-(\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}+1)e^{-\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}}+\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}e^{-(\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}+1)\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}}}{\left(e^{\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}}-1\right)\left[1-e^{-(\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}+1)\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}}\right]}\,.}\end{array} (17)

It remains to determine βi,β¯\beta_{i},\bar{\beta} from (17) and (11). In particular, when Λi={\Lambda_{i}=\infty}, we get eβi=mi{e^{-\beta_{i}}=m_{i}} and a precise Poisson distribution holds with 𝒩i=emi{\cal N}_{i}=e^{-m_{i}}. On the other hand, when d¯=1{\bar{d}=1} and Λı¯={\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}=\infty} or Λı¯=1{\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}=1}, we obtain eβ¯wı¯=mı¯1±mı¯{e^{-\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}}=\frac{m_{\bar{\imath}}}{1\pm m_{\bar{\imath}}}} and recover the Bose–Einstein or Fermi–Dirac distributions having an exponential tail,

mı¯=kkı¯Pk=1eβ¯wı¯1,m_{\bar{\imath}}\,=\,\sum_{\vec{k}}\,{k_{\bar{\imath}}P_{\vec{k}}}\,=\,\frac{1}{e^{\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}}\mp 1}\,, (18)

which quantify the ‘popularity’ (or inverse ‘rarity’ c.f. [4]) of the digital wealth. As the geometric distribution is essentially the exponential Boltzmann–Gibbs law, we may identify β¯\bar{\beta} as the inverse “temperature”, see also [5].

The distribution of the total value follows

𝒫(v)=kδwkvPk,{\cal P}(v)=\sum_{\vec{k}}~{}\scalebox{1.1}{{\hbox{\delta}}}_{\vec{w}{\cdot\vec{k}}}^{\displaystyle{v}}~{}P_{\vec{k}}\,, (19)

where δwkv\scalebox{1.1}{$\delta$}_{\vec{w}{\cdot\vec{k}}}^{\displaystyle{v}} is the Kronecker-delta with wk=I=1DwIkI{\vec{w}{\cdot\vec{k}}}=\sum_{I=1}^{D}w_{I}k_{I} amounting to a total value vv. Essentially (19) is a weighted convolution whose generating function reads for Λi=\Lambda_{i}=\infty,

Z(q)=v=0𝒫(v)qv=kPkqwk=[i=1demi(qwi1)]×[ı¯=1d¯(eβ¯wı¯1eβ¯wı¯qwı¯)(e(Λı¯+1)β¯wı¯q(Λı¯+1)wı¯e(Λı¯+1)β¯wı¯1)].\begin{array}[]{lll}Z(q)&=&\displaystyle{\sum_{v=0}^{\infty}~{}{\cal P}(v)q^{v}\,=\,\sum_{\vec{k}}~{}P_{\vec{k}\,}q^{\vec{w}\cdot{\vec{k}}}=\left[\prod_{i=1}^{d}~{}e^{m_{i}\left(q^{w_{i}}-1\right)}\right]}\\ \lx@intercol\displaystyle{\,\qquad\times{\left[\prod_{\bar{\imath}=1}^{\bar{d}}\left(\frac{e^{\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}}-1}{e^{\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}}-q^{w_{\bar{\imath}}}}\right)\left(\frac{e^{(\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}+1)\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}}-q^{(\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}+1)w_{\bar{\imath}}}}{e^{(\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}+1)\bar{\beta}w_{\bar{\imath}}}-1}\right)\right]\,.}}\hfil\lx@intercol\end{array} (20)

While the truncated Poisson distribution Pi(ki)P_{i}(k_{i}) (16) with a finite cutoff Λi\Lambda_{i} can be applicable to rare valuable items that are not necessarily hard cash, henceforth, for simplicity, we set Λi={\Lambda_{i}=\infty} (distinguishable) and Λı¯={\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}=\infty} (bosonic) or Λı¯=1{\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}}=1} (fermionic).222The geometric distribution P¯ı¯(kı¯)\bar{P}_{\bar{\imath}}(k_{\bar{\imath}}) with other finite values of Λı¯\Lambda_{\bar{\imath}} appears applicable to some Ethereum’s flexible token standard (ERC-1155) [6]. The Poisson and the bosonic/fermionic geometric distributions

Pp(m,k)=emmkk!,P¯b(m,k)=11+m(m1+m)k,P¯f(m,k)=(1m)δk0+mδk1=(1m)(m1m)k,\begin{array}[]{ll}P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k)=e^{-m\,}\frac{m^{k}}{k!}\,,&\quad\bar{P}_{\mathrm{b}}(m,k)=\frac{1}{1+m}\Big{(}{\frac{m}{1+m}}\Big{)}^{k}\,,\\ \lx@intercol~{}\bar{P}_{\mathrm{f}}(m,k)=(1-m)\delta^{0}_{k}+m\delta^{1}_{k}=(1{-m})\Big{(}{\frac{m}{1-m}}\Big{)}^{k}\,,\hfil\lx@intercol\end{array} (21)

are then the elemental ‘atomic’ distributions in (16). Here, m>0{m>0} is the mean value in each distribution. For the fermionic distribution, it should be less than one, such as m=1/Nm=1/N. Further, the variance is mm or m(1±m)m(1\pm m) for the distinguishable or bosonic/fermionic cases. In the vanishing limit m0m\rightarrow 0, they all reduce to a Kronecker-delta distribution: Pp(0,k)=P¯b/f(0,k)=δk0P_{\mathrm{p}}(0,k)=\bar{P}_{\mathrm{{b/f}}}(0,k)=\delta_{k}^{0}.

Poisson versus Geometric.—As relevant to both financial assets and cryptocurrencies, here we make various comparisons between Pp(m,k)P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k) and P¯b(m,k)\bar{P}_{\mathrm{b}}(m,k) allowing arbitrary m>0m>0 and unrestricted k=0,1,2,,k=0,1,2,\cdots,\infty.

While P¯b(m,k)\bar{P}_{\mathrm{b}}(m,k) is a monotonically decreasing function in kk, from Stirling’s formula, lnk!klnkk+ln2πk\ln k!\simeq k\ln k-k+\ln\sqrt{2\pi k}, Pp(m,k)P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k) assumes the maximal value,

Max[Pp(m,k)]1/2πmatkm.{\rm{Max}}\big{[}P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k)\big{]}\simeq 1/\sqrt{2\pi m}~{}~{}~{}\mbox{at}~{}~{}k\simeq m\,. (22)

That is to say, the Poisson distribution is on-peak for the owners of the averaged wealth m=M/Nm=M/N, namely the ‘middle class’. Further, the ratio of the two distributions

P¯b(m,k)/Pp(m,k)=emk!/(m+1)k+1{\bar{P}_{\mathrm{b}}(m,k)}/{P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k)}={e^{m}k!}/{(m+1)^{k+1}} (23)

shows that the geometric distribution has a thicker tail than Poisson one for k>>m{k>>m}. Yet, complementary to this, an inequality holds:

k>mP¯b(m,k)<k>mPp(m,k),\sum_{k>m}~{}\bar{P}_{\mathrm{b}}(m,k)~{}<~{}\sum_{k>m}~{}P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k)\,, (24)

which implies that the probability for k>mk>m is larger in the Poisson distribution compared to the geometric one, see FIG. 1. In fact, in the large mm limit, we have [7]

limmk=m+1Pp(m,k)=12,limmk=m+1P¯b(m,k)=e1.\begin{array}[]{ll}\displaystyle{\lim_{m\rightarrow\infty}\!\sum_{k=m{+1}}^{\infty}\!\!\!P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k)=\frac{1}{2}\,,{}}&~{}\displaystyle{\lim_{m\rightarrow\infty}\!\sum_{k=m{+1}}^{\infty}\!\!\!\bar{P}_{\mathrm{b}}(m,k)=e^{-1}\,.}\end{array} (25)

Thus, 50%50\% or about 37%37\% of the holders have more than the mean value in the Poisson or geometric distribution.

Refer to caption
Figure 1: The probability to own more than mean value mm: k>mPp(m,k)\sum_{k>m}\,P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k) (Poisson for distinguishable wealth, red) vs. k>mP¯b(m,k)\sum_{k>m}\,\bar{P}_{\mathrm{b}}(m,k) (geometric for identical wealth, blue), with varying mean value mm (horizontal axis). The former is always larger than the latter. They converge to 1/2{1/2} and e10.367879{e^{-1}\simeq 0.367879} in the large mm limit (25).

We compare Shannon entropy, S=kP(k)lnP(k)S=\sum_{k}\,-P(k)\ln P(k). Since both P(k)P(k) and lnP(k)-\ln P(k) are non-negative, the entropy is bounded S0S\geq 0. The saturation occurs when everyone has the equal amount of wealth i.e. the average value mm implying P(k)=δkmP(k)=\delta^{m}_{k}, i.e. either P(k)=0P(k)=0 or lnP(k)=0\ln P(k)=0. For the Poisson and geometric distributions, this happens only in the vanishing limit m0m\rightarrow 0. For a given arbitrary value of mm, it is famously the geometric distribution P¯b(m,k)\bar{P}_{\mathrm{b}}(m,k) that sets the entropy maximal,

S¯b(m)=(m+1)ln(m+1)mlnm.\bar{S}_{\mathrm{b}}(m)=(m+1)\ln(m+1)-m\ln m\,. (26)

The entropy of the Poisson distribution Pp(m,k)P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k) [8],

Sp(m)=12ln(2πem)112m+O(m2)S_{\mathrm{p}}(m)=\frac{1}{2}\ln(2\pi em)-\frac{1}{12m}+O(m^{-2}) (27)

is then roughly half of the maximum (26) for large mm.

We draw the Lorenz curves of Pp(m,k)P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k) and P¯b(m,k)\bar{P}_{\mathrm{b}}(m,k) as FIG. 3 and FIG. 3, by setting x=j=0kP(j)x=\sum_{j=0}^{k}\,P(j) and y=1mj=0kjP(j)y=\frac{1}{m}\sum_{j=0}^{k}\,j\,P(j). Since P(0)0{P(0)\neq 0} in both cases, the curves should include an interval 0xP(0){0\leq x\leq P(0)} for trivial y=0{y=0}. While we depict the Lorenz curve of Pp(m,k)P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k) numerically, for the geometric distribution P¯b(m,k)\bar{P}_{\mathrm{b}}(m,k), we solve for kk in terms of xx,

k+1=ln(1x)ln(1+1/m),k+1=-\,\frac{\ln(1-x)}{\ln(1+1/m)}\,, (28)

and obtain an analytic expression of the Lorenz curve:

y(x)={x+(1x)ln(1x)mln(1+1/m)for1m+1x<10for0x1m+1,y(x)=\left\{\begin{array}[]{cll}\displaystyle{x+\frac{(1-x)\ln(1-x)}{m\ln(1+{1}/{m})}}&~{}\mbox{for}{}&\displaystyle{\frac{1}{m+1}\leq x<1}\\ 0&~{}\mbox{for}{}&\displaystyle{0\leq x\leq\frac{1}{m+1}}\end{array}\right.\,, (29)

of which the large mm limit is known [9].

Lastly, we compute the Gini coefficient defined by

𝖦[m]:=k=0Λk=0Λ|kk|2mP(k)P(k)=1+1mk=0ΛP(k)[kP(k)2k=0kkP(k)].\!\begin{array}[]{lrl}{\small{\mathsf{G}}}[m]&:=&\sum_{k=0}^{\Lambda}\sum_{k^{\prime}=0}^{\Lambda}~{}\frac{\left|k-k^{\prime}\right|}{2m}P(k)P(k^{\prime})\\ {}&=&1+\frac{1}{m}\sum_{k=0}^{\Lambda}\,P(k)\left[kP(k)-2\sum_{k^{\prime}=0}^{k}\,k^{\prime}P(k^{\prime})\right]\,.\end{array} (30)

For Pp(m,k)P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k), from 1(k!)2=1π(2k)!0πdθ(2cosθ)2k\frac{1}{(k!)^{2}}=\frac{1}{\pi(2k)!}\scalebox{1.2}{$\int_{0}^{\pi}$}d\theta\,(2\cos\theta)^{2k}, we get c.f. [10]

𝖦p[m]=1π0π𝑑θe2m(1cosθ)(1+cosθ).{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{p}}[m]=\displaystyle{\frac{1}{\pi}\int_{0}^{\pi}\!d\theta~{}e^{-2m(1-\cos\theta)}(1+\cos\theta)}\,. (31)

For P¯b(m,k)\bar{P}_{\mathrm{b}}(m,k) and additionally P¯f(m,k)\bar{P}_{\mathrm{f}}(m,k), we have333 Alternative to (30), we may compute the Gini coefficient through an integral of the Lorenz curve (29), 𝖦b[m]=(mm+1)2(12mln(1+1/m)+1m+1m2),{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{b}}^{\prime}[m]=\left(\frac{m}{m+1}\right)^{2}\left(\frac{1}{2m\ln(1+1/m)}+\frac{1}{m}+\frac{1}{m^{2}}\right)\,, which differs from 𝖦b[m]{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{b}}[m] in (32) by at most 2.4%2.4\% at m0.53m\simeq 0.53.

𝖦b[m]=1+m1+2m,𝖦f[m]=1m.\begin{array}[]{ll}{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{b}}[m]=\frac{1+m}{1+2m}\,,&\qquad{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{f}}[m]=1-m\,.\end{array} (32)

We note then

𝖦p[m]<𝖦b[m]for arbitrary m>0and𝖦f[m]<𝖦p[m]<𝖦b[m]for0<m<1.\begin{array}[]{rcl}{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{p}}[m]\,<\,{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{b}}[m]&\quad\mbox{for}&\mbox{\,arbitrary\,}~{}m>0~{}~{}\mbox{and}\\ {\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{f}}[m]\,<\,{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{p}}[m]\,<\,{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{b}}[m]&\quad\mbox{for}&\quad 0<m<1\,.\end{array} (33)

Especially in the large mm limit, we get 𝖦p[]=0{{{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{p}}}[\infty]=0} (the perfect equality) and 𝖦b[]=12{{{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{b}}}[\infty]=\frac{1}{2}}. In the opposite vanishing limit, the Gini coefficients are all unity, 𝖦p,b,f[0]=1{{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{p},\mathrm{b},\mathrm{f}}[0]=1}, hence economically most unequal. Though the fermionic Gini coefficient 𝖦f[m]=1m{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{f}}[m]=1-m can be close to unity as m=1/N<<1m=1/N<<1, due to the severe restriction of the possession, i.e. k=0,1{k=0,1}, it is the smallest among the three.

Refer to caption
Figure 2: Lorenz curves of the Poisson distribution Pp(m,k)P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k) for distinguishable wealth. i) m={m=\infty}, 𝖦p=0{{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{p}}=0} (4545-degree line of perfect equality), ii) m=100{m=100}, 𝖦p0.056{{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{p}}\simeq 0.056}, iii) m=1{m=1}, 𝖦p0.52{{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{p}}\simeq 0.52}, iv) m=0.1{m=0.1}, 𝖦p0.91{{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{p}}\simeq 0.91}, and v) m=0{m=0}, 𝖦p=1{{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{p}}=1} as y=δx0{y=\delta^{0}_{x}\,}. Each curve includes y=0{y=0} for an interval 0xem0\leq x\leq e^{-m}. Only when m0.35m\approx 0.35, “80/2080/20 rule” holds.
Refer to caption
Figure 3: Lorenz curves of the geometric distribution P¯b(m,k)\bar{P}_{\mathrm{b}}(m,k) for identical wealth. i) m={m=\infty}, 𝖦b=12{{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{b}}=\frac{1}{2}} as saturated by y=x+(1x)ln(1x)y=x+(1-x)\ln(1-x) [9], ii) m=1{m=1}, 𝖦b0.68{{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{b}}\simeq 0.68}, iii) m=0.1{m=0.1}, 𝖦b0.93{{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{b}}\simeq 0.93}, and iv) m=0{m=0}, 𝖦b=1{{\small{\mathsf{G}}}_{\mathrm{b}}=1} as y=δx0{y=\delta^{0}_{x}}. Each curve includes y=0{y=0} for an interval 0x1m+10\leq x\leq\frac{1}{m+1}. From (29), only when m0.47m\approx 0.47, “80/2080/20 rule (aka Pareto principle)” holds.

More than one bank.—We now consider the deposits of savings accounts at more than one bank which allow external transfers and adopt the same minimal unit of currency. That corresponds to the equal-weighted convolution (19) of the geometric distributions: with wı¯1{w_{\bar{\imath}}\equiv 1},

P¯d¯(m,k)=(d¯+k1)!(d¯1)!k!(d¯m+d¯)d¯(mm+d¯)k,Z¯d¯(m,q)=k=0P¯d¯(m,k)qk=[d¯d¯m(q1)]d¯,\begin{array}[]{l}\displaystyle{\bar{P}_{\bar{d}\,}(m,k)=\frac{(\bar{d}+k-1)!}{(\bar{d}-1)!\,k!}\left(\frac{\bar{d}}{m+\bar{d}}\right)^{\bar{d}}\left(\frac{m}{m+\bar{d}}\right)^{k}\,,}\\ \displaystyle{\bar{Z}_{\bar{d}\,}(m,q)=\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}~{}\bar{P}_{\bar{d}\,}(m,k)q^{k}=\left[\frac{\bar{d}}{\bar{d}-m(q-1)}\right]^{\bar{d}}\,,}\end{array} (34)

where d¯\bar{d} is the number of the banks. Remarkably,444In contrast, rather natural from the very distinguishability, the equal-weighted convolution of the Poisson distributions is closed: l=0kPp(m1,l)Pp(m2,kl)=Pp(m1+m2,k).\sum_{l=0}^{k}~{}P_{\mathrm{p}}(m_{1},l)P_{\mathrm{p}}(m_{2},k-l)\,=\,P_{\mathrm{p}}(m_{1}+m_{2},k)\,. for d¯2\bar{d}\geq 2, P¯d¯(m,k)\bar{P}_{\bar{d}\,}(m,k) is no longer a monotonically decreasing function in kk. It assumes the maximal value,

Max[Pd¯(m,k)]12πm(11d¯)(1+md¯)atk(11d¯)m.\textstyle{{\rm{Max}}\big{[}P_{\bar{d}\,}(m,k)\big{]}\simeq\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi m\left(1-\frac{1}{\bar{d}}\right)\left(1+\frac{m}{\bar{d}}\right)}}~{}~{}\mbox{at}\,~{}{k^{\star}\simeq\left(1-\frac{1}{\bar{d}}\right)m\,.}} (35)

The fact k<m{k^{\star}<m} implies that P¯d¯(m,k)\bar{P}_{\bar{d}}(m,k) is a more unequal distribution compared to the Poisson one Pp(m,k)P_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k) (22). Nonetheless, in the large d¯\bar{d} limit, P¯d¯(m,k)\bar{P}_{\bar{d}\,}(m,k), Z¯d¯(m,q)\bar{Z}_{\bar{d}\,}(m,q), and the maximum (35) all reduce to those of the Poisson distribution or (22),

limd¯P¯d¯(m,k)=emmkk!,limd¯Z¯d¯(m,q)=em(q1).\begin{array}[]{ll}\displaystyle{\lim_{\bar{d}\rightarrow\infty}\,\bar{P}_{\bar{d}\,}(m,k)=e^{-m\,}\frac{m^{k}}{k!}}\,,&\quad\displaystyle{\lim_{\bar{d}\rightarrow\infty}\,\bar{Z}_{\bar{d}\,}(m,q)=e^{m(q-1)}}\,.\end{array} (36)

An intuitive explanation is as follows. When the number of the banks is infinite, each bank has most likely zero or only one unit of the deposits. The identical wealth then effectively becomes distinguishable by the distinct banks. In this way, P¯d¯(m,k)\bar{P}_{\bar{d}\,}(m,k) interpolates the geometric and the Poisson distributions, or FIG. 3 and FIG. 3. More banks there are, smaller the Gini coefficient is.

Boson-like Bitcoin.—As a cryptocurrency, Bitcoin [1] belongs to the identical class of wealth. Although each UTXO has its unique cryptographic hash, it generates insignificant ignorable information. UTXOs of a common value are identical, while those of different values are distinguishable, c.f. [11, 12]. The value of every UTXO is discretised in a minimal unit called ‘satoshi’. In this unit, we have wı¯ı¯w_{\bar{\imath}}\equiv\bar{\imath} where ı¯\bar{\imath} runs from one to d¯=2.1×1015\bar{d}=2.1\times 10^{15} which is the hard cap encoded in Bitcoin’s source code. For each UTXO worthy of ı¯\bar{\imath} satoshi, the ownership-based distribution and the expected number are from (16) given by geometric and Bose–Einstein distribution respectively,

P¯ı¯(kı¯)=(1eı¯β¯)eı¯β¯kı¯,kı¯=0kı¯P¯ı¯(kı¯)=1eı¯β¯1.\begin{array}[]{ll}\displaystyle{\bar{P}_{\bar{\imath}}(k_{\bar{\imath}})=\left(1-e^{-\bar{\imath}\bar{\beta}}\right)e^{-\bar{\imath}\bar{\beta}k_{\bar{\imath}}}}\,,&\quad\displaystyle{\sum_{k_{\bar{\imath}}=0}^{\infty}~{}k_{\bar{\imath}}\bar{P}_{\bar{\imath}}(k_{\bar{\imath}})=\frac{1}{e^{\bar{\imath}\bar{\beta}}-1}\,.}\end{array} (37)

The generating function of the total value (20) is then

Z(q)=ı¯=1d¯1eı¯β¯1(eβ¯q)ı¯=v=0𝒫(v)qv,\displaystyle{Z(q)=\prod_{\bar{\imath}=1}^{\bar{d}}\frac{1-e^{-\bar{\imath}\bar{\beta}}}{1-\big{(}e^{-\bar{\beta}}q\big{)}^{\bar{\imath}\,}}=\sum_{v=0}^{\infty}~{}{\cal P}(v)q^{v}}\,, (38)

and thus, for vd¯v\leq\bar{d} the total-value-based distribution is

𝒫(v)=𝒫(0)𝔓(v)evβ¯,𝒫(0)=ı¯=1d¯(1eı¯β¯),\begin{array}[]{ll}\displaystyle{{\cal P}(v)={\cal P}(0)\mathfrak{P}(v)e^{-v\bar{\beta}}\,,}&\quad\displaystyle{{\cal P}(0)=\prod_{\bar{\imath}=1}^{\bar{d}}\left({1-e^{-\bar{\imath}\bar{\beta}}}\right)\,,}\end{array} (39)

where 𝔓(v)\mathfrak{P}(v) is the number-theory partition of the non-negative integer vv, which appears here since the UTXO values are equally spaced i.e. wı¯=ı¯w_{\bar{\imath}}=\bar{\imath}, as is the case with a simple harmonic quantum oscillator.

We need to determine β¯\bar{\beta} in terms of the mean total value, i.e. m¯w=M¯w/N{\bar{m}}_{w}=\bar{M}_{w}/N (11),

s=0s𝒫(s)=qqZ(q)|q=1=ı¯=1d¯ı¯eı¯β¯1=m¯w.\displaystyle{\sum_{s=0}^{\infty}~{}s{\cal P}(s)=\left.q\partial_{q}Z(q)\right|_{q=1}=\sum_{\bar{\imath}=1}^{\bar{d}}~{}\frac{\bar{\imath}}{e^{\bar{\imath}\bar{\beta}}-1}={\bar{m}}_{w}}\,. (40)

Practically putting d¯={\bar{d}=\infty}, we approximate the above sum by a semi-infinite integral,

ı¯=1d¯ı¯eı¯β¯1β¯20dxxex1=π26β¯2,\sum_{\bar{\imath}=1}^{\bar{d}}~{}\frac{\bar{\imath}}{e^{\bar{\imath}\bar{\beta}}-1}\,\simeq\,\bar{\beta}^{-2}\int_{0}^{\infty}{{\rm d}}x~{}\frac{x}{e^{x}-1}=\frac{\pi^{2}}{6\bar{\beta}^{2}}\,, (41)

and fix β¯\bar{\beta},

β¯π6m¯w.\bar{\beta}\simeq\frac{\pi}{\sqrt{6{\bar{m}}_{w}}}\,. (42)

Further, from the Hardy–Ramanujan formula of the partition, we obtain for large enough vv,

𝒫(v)𝒫(0)14v3eπ2v/3vβ¯,\frac{{\cal P}(v)}{{\cal P}(0)}\simeq\frac{1}{4v\sqrt{3}}\,e^{\pi\sqrt{2v/3}\,-\,v\bar{\beta}}\,, (43)

such that its maximum

Max[𝒫(v)𝒫(0)]3β¯22π2e(π2/6)β¯1{\rm{Max}}\left[\frac{{\cal P}(v)}{{\cal P}(0)}\right]\simeq\frac{\sqrt{3}\bar{\beta}^{2}}{2\pi^{2}}\,e^{{(\pi^{2}/6)}\bar{\beta}^{-1}} (44)

is positioned at v{v^{\star}} which is smaller than the mean value,

vπ26β¯2(1+124β¯/π22)2<m¯w=π26β¯2.v^{\star}\simeq\frac{\pi^{2}}{6\bar{\beta}^{2}}\left(\frac{1+\sqrt{1-24\bar{\beta}/\pi^{2}}}{2}\right)^{2}\,<\,{\bar{m}}_{w}\,=\,\frac{\pi^{2}}{6\bar{\beta}^{2}}\,. (45)

This inequality implies that, despite the large d¯\bar{d} limit which we have tactically assumed, in contrast to the many bank limit (36), the Bitcoin distribution with wı¯=ı¯{w_{\bar{\imath}}=\bar{\imath}} is still more unequal than the Poisson one (22): 𝒫(v){\cal P}(v) (43) has thicker tail than Pp(m,k)(me/k)kP_{\mathrm{p}}(m,k)\sim(me/k)^{k}.

According to [13], as of 2022, the total number of addresses reads N109N\sim 10^{9}, and the total value of all the UTXOs is roughly M¯w1015\bar{M}_{w}\sim 10^{15} satoshi. We then estimate m¯w106{\bar{m}}_{w}\sim 10^{6} and, from (42), β¯103\bar{\beta}\sim 10^{-3}, the smallness of which justifies our integral approximation (41).555For β¯=103{\bar{\beta}=10^{-3}} and d¯104\bar{d}\geq 10^{4}, the error of (41) is less than 0.1%0.1\%.

Discussion.—To conclude, traditional tangible moneys are distinguishable; yet financial assets and cryptocurrencies are all identical. The usage of the boson-like wealth results in more unequal geometric-type distribution compared to the Poisson-type distribution of the distinguishable wealth. While so, aggregating different kinds of wealth leads to a weighted convolution. In particular, the existence of more than one bank softens the economic inequality of the geometric distribution by a monopolistic bank. Similar to (36) which is for bosonic geometric distributions, the equal-weighted-convolution of fermionic geometric distributions (21) also converges to a Poisson distribution in the large limit of total amount M¯\bar{M} with fixed mean value m=M¯/Nm=\bar{M}/N : the (binomial) convolution

P¯M¯(m,k)=M¯!(M¯k)!k!(11N)M¯k(1N)k\bar{P}_{\bar{M}}(m,k)=\frac{\bar{M}!}{(\bar{M}-k)!k!}\left(1-\frac{1}{N}\right)^{\bar{M}-k}\left(\frac{1}{N}\right)^{k} (46)

converges to a Poisson distribution,

limM¯P¯M¯(m,k)=emmkk!.\displaystyle{\lim_{\bar{M}\rightarrow\infty}\,\bar{P}_{\bar{M}}(m,k)=e^{-m\,}\frac{m^{k}}{k!}}\,. (47)

This provides an alternative derivation of the Poisson distribution of distinguishable objects. Even though hard cashes are distinguishable, each of them is unique and thus its distribution should coincide with that of NFT, i.e. the fermionic geometric distribution (21). After considering multiple of them of the same value, through the equal-weighted-convolution, the Poisson distribution emerges consistently out of the bosonic as well as fermionic geometric distributions, (36) and (47).

The distribution of Bitcoin is given by the number-theory partition. For completeness, the convolution of a geometric and a Poisson distribution, as for hard cash and savings account, reads

P^(m,m¯,k):=j=0kP(m,j)P¯(m¯,kj)=emm¯+1(m¯m¯+1)kj=0k1j!(m+m/m¯)j,\begin{array}[]{lrl}\hat{P}(m,{\bar{m}},k)&:=&\displaystyle{\sum_{j=0}^{k}\,P(m,j)\bar{P}({\bar{m}},k-j)}\\ {}&=&\displaystyle{\frac{e^{-m}}{{\bar{m}}+1}\left(\frac{{\bar{m}}}{{\bar{m}}+1}\right)^{\!k\,}\sum_{j=0}^{k}\frac{1}{j!}\big{(}m+m/{\bar{m}}\big{)}^{j}}\,,\end{array} (48)

which carries a power-law tail em/m¯m¯+1(m¯m¯+1)k\,\frac{e^{m/{\bar{m}}}}{{\bar{m}}+1}\big{(}\frac{{\bar{m}}}{{\bar{m}}+1}\big{)}^{k} for large kk.

Putting wı¯=1w_{\bar{\imath}}=1 and wı¯=1w_{\bar{\imath}}=-1 separately for a pair of P¯d¯(m,k)\bar{P}_{\bar{d}}(m,k)’s (34), we can further aggregate deposit and debt: for net balance aa\in\mathbb{Z}, we have

𝒫d¯(m1,m2,a):=k1=0k2=0δk1k2a𝒫d¯(m1,k1)𝒫d¯(m2,k2),{\cal P}_{\bar{d}}(m_{1},m_{2},a):=\sum_{k_{1}=0}^{\infty}\sum_{k_{2}=0}^{\infty}~{}\delta^{a}_{k_{1}-k_{2}}{\cal P}_{\bar{d}}(m_{1},k_{1}){\cal P}_{\bar{d}}(m_{2},k_{2})\,, (49)

where m10{m_{1}\geq 0} and m20{m_{2}\geq 0} are the mean values of deposit and debt respectively. In particular, for d¯=1{\bar{d}=1} we get

𝒫d¯=1(m1,m2,a)={1m1+m2+1(m1m1+1)a for a01m1+m2+1(m2m2+1)|a| for a<0.{\cal P}_{\bar{d}=1}(m_{1},m_{2},a)=\left\{\begin{array}[]{lll}\frac{1}{m_{1}+m_{2}+1}\left(\frac{m_{1}}{m_{1}+1}\right)^{a}&\mbox{~{}for~{}}&a\geq 0\\ \frac{1}{m_{1}+m_{2}+1}\left(\frac{m_{2}}{m_{2}+1}\right)^{\left|a\right|}&\mbox{~{}for~{}}&a<0\,.\end{array}\right. (50)

A priori, the Poisson and geometric distributions (21) depend on the mean ‘number’ m=M/N{m=M/N} (dimensionless), rather than any ‘value’ (“dimensionful”). Therefore, any adjustment of the minimal unit, e.g. demolishing cents and keeping euros only, can change the number MM and affect the distributions.

It would be of interest to investigate any phase transition for the master distribution (15) through the changes of variables, even if NN is finite c.f. [14]. As Bitcoin is boson-like, one may wonder about Bose–Einstein condensation especially to the minimal ı¯=1{\bar{\imath}=1} UTXO. For this, we consider its popularity normalised by the mean total value (40), or the ratio 1eβ¯1/[ı¯=1ı¯eı¯β¯1]\frac{1}{e^{\bar{\beta}}-1}/\big{[}\sum_{\bar{\imath}=1}^{\infty}~{}\frac{\bar{\imath}}{e^{\bar{\imath}\bar{\beta}}-1}\big{]}. This quantity increases monotonically from zero at β¯=0\bar{\beta}=0 and converges to one as β¯\bar{\beta} grows. In particular, when β¯3\bar{\beta}\geq 3, it becomes greater than 0.90.9. This “low temperature” might be attainable if Bitcoin gets ever extremely popular: (somewhat unrealistically) large NN with M¯w\bar{M}_{w} bounded by the hard cap.

We have restricted our work to be theoretical. Yet, the resulting distributions including FIG. 3 and FIG. 3 appear consistent with real data, for example [15, 16, 17]. Besides, the (truncated) Poisson-type distribution (16) can be applied not only to tangible moneys, but also to various objects, including citations of research papers [18].

Taking into account the individual differences of owners, or other extra factors, may weaken the assumed ‘randomness’. Even so, we expect that the difference of inequality in distributions persists depending on the class of wealth, distinguishable or identical. We call for thorough verifications with wide applications.

Lastly, while we have borrowed the notion of indistinguishability from particle & statistical physics for the description of financial wealth, namely econophysics [19, 20, 21], our results like (36) may help to understand how macroscopic objects formed by many identical particles appear distinguishable, i.e. through the generation of large degeneracy of quantum states.

Acknowledgments.—We wish to thank Marc Jourdan, Chunghyoung Lee, Sukgeun Lee, Hocheol Lee, and Glassnode Support Team for helpful communications. This work is supported by Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) Grants, NRF-2016R1D1A1B01015196 and NRF-2020R1A6A1A03047877 (Center for Quantum Spacetime).

References